Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Baltimore 21-24, playoff odds down 5.2 to 11.5%
5-5-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | -6.5 | -0.5 | ||
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +1.1 | -0.0 | ||
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.4 | +0.0 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | +6.4-5.2-7.5 | +0.9-0.2-1.1 | ||
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.4*+0.2+2.6 | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.3*-0.2+1.6 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.4*-0.6-0.8 | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.1*-1.3+0.4 | |||
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |||
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.1*+0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 11 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 23 | 33 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 9,879 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 12 | 12 | 19 | 47 | 10 | 68 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 96.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 40 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100,801 | |||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 66.4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 43 | 30 | 3 | 506 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 40.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 39 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 402,798 | |||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1,503 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 777,334 | |||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 8 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2,110 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 756,164 | |||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 50 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1,291 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 41 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 350,716 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 17 | 48 | 31 | 4 | 298 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 22 | 52 | 23 | 1 | 58,627 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 11.5 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2,462,096 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | +0.8 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.1 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.0 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | -0.0 | |
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -1.6+1.1+1.9 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0+0.2-0.2 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.0*+0.1+0.1 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.0*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 11 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 30 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 7 | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 8 | 29 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 28 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 27 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
