Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances 2018
Beat Jacksonville 20-16, playoff odds up 2.7 to 97.2%
7-2-1 .750
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | +2.7 | +0.3 | ||
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.3 | |||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -3.0*+0.5+1.9 | -0.5-0.1+0.3 | ||
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.2*+1.3+1.2 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.3*+0.2+0.3 | |||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.1*+0.3+0.4 | |||
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.1*+0.1+0.2 | |||
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.1*-0.0-0.2 | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | ||
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 65 | 35 | 125,385 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 29 | 66 | 5 | 488 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 26 | 67 | 6 | 0 | 539,777 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 5 | 63 | 28 | 5 | 1,750 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 49 | 40 | 8 | 845,133 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 23 | 47 | 30 | 0 | 2,121 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 0 | 9 | 41 | 45 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 641,758 | |||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 98.7 | 1 | 24 | 67 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1,177 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 88.4 | 0 | 7 | 60 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 251,986 | |||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 68.7 | 2 | 59 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 275 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 28.4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 48,497 | |||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 8.7 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 30 | 17 | 23 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 38 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3,724 | |||||||||
| Total: | 97.2 | % | 10 | 36 | 26 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,462,096 | ||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.6 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.1 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | -0.0 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +1.0+0.2-0.7 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.2*-0.1+0.1 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.0+0.3+0.0 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.1*-0.1-0.2 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0-0.1-0.2 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 29 | 35 | 33 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 4 | 26 | 40 | 26 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 25 | 31 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 51 | 22 | 6 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 26 | 14 | 8 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 29 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 2 | 27 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 30 | 13 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 2 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
