Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to New Orleans 7-48, playoff odds down 10.7 to 6.8%
4-6-0 .400
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -4.6 | -0.5 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +3.0 | +0.2 | ||
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | -1.5 | -0.0 | ||
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | +0.1 | |||
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +2.6-2.8-4.2 | +0.8+0.0-1.3 | ||
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.5*-1.3-0.8 | |||
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.2*+0.0+0.1 | |||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.0-0.1-0.2 | |||
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 10 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 9 | 91 | 9,221 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 8 | 81 | 8 | 3 | 63 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 82.0 | % | 1 | 68 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 92,094 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 48.2 | 35 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 506 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 21.5 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 362,394 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | 33 | 33 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1.8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 1,466 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 723,161 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 4 | 26 | 42 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 2,068 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 769,955 | ||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 10 | 36 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 1,511 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 412,012 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 20 | 50 | 27 | 2 | 414 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 29 | 49 | 21 | 87,227 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 6.8 | % | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2,462,096 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +1.1 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.2 | |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | -0.1 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.1 | |
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | +0.0 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -1.4+1.2+2.3 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.1*+0.2+0.2 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.2+0.0-0.1 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.0*+0.4+0.2 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0*+0.2-0.1 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.0*+0.3+0.1 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 10 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 62 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 8 | 24 | 57 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 66 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 33 | 33 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
