Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Oakland 21-23, playoff odds down 0.01 to 0.005%
2-8-0 .200
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | Out | -0.5 | ||
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | -0.1 | |||
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | -0.0 | |||
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.1-0.1+0.7 | |||
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | +0.0-0.3-0.0 | |||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | |||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 8 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 26.5 | % | 4 | 22 | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 438 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 60 | 20 | 20 | 5 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5,696 | |||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 8 | 27 | 43 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 60 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 54,111 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 399 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 263,036 | |||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 8 | 31 | 45 | 16 | 1,465 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 47 | 15 | 693,335 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 36 | 60 | 2,514 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 36 | 61 | 939,205 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 20 | 80 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 6 | 94 | 1,558 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 6 | 94 | 500,268 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 47 | 2,462,096 | |||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | +1.0 | |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | +0.1 | |
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | +0.1 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.0 | |
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | -0.0 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.2-0.3-1.3 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.0-0.1+0.2 | |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.1*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 8 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 20 | 20 | 40 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 20 | 35 | 10 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 24 | 6 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 42 | 17 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 50 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 55 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 20 | 60 | 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 4 | 67 | 29 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 34 | 65 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
