How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 -0.1
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 +0.1
Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 -0.0
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs New England+0.5*Out-0.3
+0.8+0.1-0.5
Indianapolis vs Miami+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Baltimore vs Oakland-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Jacksonville+0.0+0.2-0.0
Denver vs Pittsburgh-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Houston vs Tennessee+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Jets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
96-0-053.3%04292193015208,906
8.55-0-114.396342323670
85-1-02.60201927352150086,273
4-0-2Out1001
7.54-1-1Out04183432111428
74-2-00.00016223727700342,623
6.53-2-1Out0116423471,405
63-3-0Out01627402430701,440
2-2-2Out40605
5.52-3-1Out053451102,096
52-4-0Out0011347390778,143
1-3-2Out3333333
4.51-4-1Out3376011,464
41-5-0Out0012852440,501
0-4-2Out1002
3.50-5-1Out4906403
30-6-0Out192898,333
Total:0.3%00000012471216243212,462,096
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/15100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 21 Oakland 23 -0.1
Detroit 20 Carolina 19 +0.1
Washington 21 Houston 23 -0.1
Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 +0.0
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 -0.0
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 +0.0
Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 +0.0
New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets vs New England-1.7-0.8+1.0
Buffalo vs Jacksonville-0.1-0.4+0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.0-0.3+0.0
LA Chargers vs Arizona-0.0*+0.1+0.2
Philadelphia vs NY Giants-0.0-0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Atlanta-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Chicago+0.1+0.0-0.0
Indianapolis vs Miami+0.0+0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Green Bay-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Washington+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Houston vs Tennessee-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
96-0-0044240271218198100
8.55-0-19331324212061
85-1-0002001031324271982000
4-0-2100
7.54-1-11411262719921
74-2-0000028192725145100
6.53-2-1031224302272
63-3-00002821312511200
2-2-2602020
5.52-3-10027243225810
52-4-0000210273521510
1-3-26733
4.51-4-1031535331210
41-5-0001113535161
0-4-25050
3.50-5-132248252
30-6-008274718
Total:00000000000111134447910121413951