Chicago Bears Playoff Chances 2018
Beat Minnesota 25-20, playoff odds up 3.7 to 97.6%
7-3-0 .700
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | +3.3 | +0.4 | ||
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.6 | +0.0 | ||
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | +0.3 | +0.0 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.3 | +0.1 | ||
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -4.0*-0.1+1.5 | -0.6-0.3+0.2 | ||
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.2*+0.2+0.3 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.1*+0.3-0.2 | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 43 | 47 | 9 | 253,922 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 8 | 43 | 49 | 857 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 7 | 38 | 54 | 1 | 710,649 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 13 | 84 | 2 | 1 | 2,067 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 9 | 77 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 812,084 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 25 | 75 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 75 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 1,922 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 0 | 0 | 45 | 37 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 486,751 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 96.6 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 3 | 880 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 81.1 | 6 | 29 | 17 | 29 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 162,278 | |||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 40.0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 38 | 21 | 1 | 175 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 8.8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 28,299 | |||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 23 | 54 | 23 | 13 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2,193 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 97.6 | % | 7 | 19 | 52 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,462,096 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | -0.8 | |
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | -0.1 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.1 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.1 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | -0.1 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.1+0.3-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +1.3+0.5-0.5 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.1+0.2+0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.1*-0.0-0.2 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 12 | 31 | 44 | 4 | 9 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 10 | 48 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 49 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 62 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 25 | 75 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 60 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 18 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 28 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 24 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
