New Orleans Saints Playoff Chances 2018
Beat Philadelphia 48-7, playoff odds up 0.4 to 99.96%
9-1-0 .900
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.3 | +0.2 | ||
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | -0.0 | |||
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.0*In-0.1 | +0.1-0.2-0.4 | ||
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the New Orleans finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 15 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 323,250 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 90 | 10 | 1,117 | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 91 | 9 | 789,556 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 63 | 37 | 2,259 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 54 | 43 | 2 | 789,902 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 23 | 71 | 6 | 1,808 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 14 | 58 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 414,036 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 3 | 53 | 38 | 1 | 5 | 685 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 1 | 23 | 48 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 119,955 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 10 | 51 | 9 | 30 | 117 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 98.1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 46 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 18,076 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 92.3 | 38 | 54 | 8 | 13 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 48.4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 34 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1,317 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 100.0 | % | 62 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,462,096 | |||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.4 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | -0.2 | |
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.2+0.4+0.9 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 15 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 96 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 83 | 7 | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 71 | 21 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 38 | 25 | 37 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 22 | 32 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 3 | 20 | 58 | 13 | 6 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 23 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 3 | 14 | 40 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 38 | 38 | 15 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 43 | 20 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
