San Francisco 49ers Playoff Chances 2018
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 0.02%
2-8-0 .200
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | +0.2 | |||
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | Out*Out+0.0 | -0.6-0.0+0.7 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0+0.1-0.2 | |||
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.1-0.2+0.0 | |||
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the San Francisco finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 8 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 11.5 | % | 1 | 10 | 25 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4,367 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 23 | 23 | 35 | 19 | 26 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 51,365 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 17 | 33 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 296 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 249,146 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 4 | 18 | 42 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1,134 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 3 | 616,665 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 50 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 10 | 39 | 46 | 5 | 2,063 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 17 | 51 | 30 | 822,213 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 6 | 55 | 39 | 1,799 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 22 | 77 | 559,718 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 22 | 78 | 607 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 152,688 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 29 | 35 | 2,462,096 | |||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.1 | |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | +0.0 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.0 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.0 | |
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | +0.8-0.3-1.0 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +0.0-0.3-0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.0*-0.1+0.2 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | *-0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 8 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 8 | 38 | 15 | 4 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 28 | 26 | 21 | 6 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 33 | 14 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 25 | 50 | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 51 | 28 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 35 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 61 | 24 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 16 | 58 | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 28 | 71 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 25 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
