SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holding my newborn
4 a.m.
100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will finish season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132Avg.Change
New Orleans9-1-0.90013943202266100100000002.3-0.90New Orleans Saints
Kansas City9-1-0.900113314361041103000000002.4-0.22Kansas City Chiefs
LA Rams9-1-0.90010423845614210000000002.9+0.22Los Angeles Rams
Pittsburgh7-2-1.750742810271314175102011000000005.3-0.40Pittsburgh Steelers
Chicago7-3-0.70099151092922862311000000000000005.7-0.63Chicago Bears
New England7-3-0.70044094231218227001011000000000005.7+0.09New England Patriots
Houston7-3-0.7003405315141422531714311110000000007.0-1.76Houston Texans
LA Chargers7-3-0.70053020100005771426421110000000010.0+1.08Los Angeles Chargers
Washington6-4-0.600-100014101133143512234432221100000010.7+0.60Washington Redskins
Baltimore5-5-0.50056001021110617101398643322110000000013.1-0.88Baltimore Ravens
Carolina6-4-0.60080001010072371476775333211100000013.3+1.60Carolina Panthers
Seattle5-5-0.500300000000624615455765333211110000014.0-0.48Seattle Seahawks
Minnesota5-4-1.55012000141131561457756764332110000014.3+1.03Minnesota Vikings
Dallas5-5-0.500130000352602253446754554222110000014.3-2.71Dallas Cowboys
Indianapolis5-5-0.500490011364211259107677433321110000014.3-3.14Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee5-5-0.500-1100002220052121099855654322110000016.2+3.73Tennessee Titans
Cincinnati5-5-0.500-5600000001144111010768975453210000016.9+0.56Cincinnati Bengals
Green Bay4-5-1.4504000101163103676799656532211000017.2-0.27Green Bay Packers
Miami5-5-0.500-57000012311333556996688644421100018.4-0.08Miami Dolphins
Denver4-6-0.400-700001217677667876665432100019.3-2.82Denver Broncos
Cleveland4-5-1.450-34000000002145547876710966532100020.1-0.14Cleveland Browns
Philadelphia4-6-0.400-26000060001123435788810108753210021.1+3.45Philadelphia Eagles
Atlanta4-6-0.400-1300000002041134545898899764210021.5+2.42Atlanta Falcons
Detroit4-6-0.400-410000001021234446898899765310021.8-2.04Detroit Lions
Jacksonville3-7-0.300-4300000001111234446991011119741024.4+0.85Jacksonville Jaguars
Tampa Bay3-7-0.300-6200000000011123347891213121173125.7+1.57Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NY Jets3-7-0.300-460000000000011113444791012141395126.1-0.32New York Jets
Buffalo3-7-0.300-114000000000011223357810131414105126.3-0.01Buffalo Bills
NY Giants3-7-0.300-48000000000011112334689121516116126.7-1.27New York Giants
San Francisco2-8-0.200-360000000000111234691424251029.3+0.07San Francisco 49ers
Arizona2-8-0.200-1030000000000000112361123332030.2+1.11Arizona Cardinals
Oakland1-9-0.100-1340000000000001138216531.4-0.30Oakland Raiders

Lottery Big Games

Week of 11/15
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City-0.4
LA Chargers+1.0
Denver-2.2
Buffalo+0.2
Atlanta 19 Dallas 22
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Washington+0.2
Seattle-0.1
Dallas-2.2
Atlanta+2.0
Detroit 20 Carolina 19
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans-0.2
Carolina+1.3
Dallas+0.0
Detroit-1.8
Tampa Bay+0.2
NY Giants+0.2
Washington 21 Houston 23
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago-0.1
Houston-1.2
Washington+1.4
Dallas-0.3
Tennessee+0.3
Philadelphia-0.2
Atlanta+0.0
Detroit-0.0
NY Giants+0.0
Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston-0.2
Indianapolis-1.8
Tennessee+1.6
Jacksonville+0.0
Seattle 27 Green Bay 24
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle-1.4
Green Bay+1.4
NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis-0.0
Tampa Bay+1.3
NY Giants-0.9
New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans-0.4
LA Rams+0.1
Washington-0.1
Dallas-0.1
Philadelphia+1.1
NY Jets-0.0
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh-0.6
New England+0.1
Green Bay-0.0
Denver-0.1
Jacksonville+1.0
Tampa Bay-0.1
Chicago 25 Minnesota 20
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago-0.8
Seattle-0.1
Minnesota+1.0
NY Giants-0.0
Arizona 21 Oakland 23
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville-0.0
NY Jets-0.1
Arizona+1.0
Oakland-0.3
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore-0.8
Cincinnati+0.8
LA Rams vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City2.92.31.8
LA Rams2.52.63.5
Chicago5.85.95.6
Week of 11/22
Dallas vs WashingtonIf winner is:HomeTieAway
4:30 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
Washington12.59.27.9
Dallas12.015.217.9
Indianapolis vs MiamiHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston7.16.76.7
Indianapolis13.414.717.3
Miami19.517.115.2
Carolina vs SeattleHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina11.613.515.0
Seattle16.013.512.1
Atlanta21.3*21.721.7
Minnesota vs Green BayHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota12.614.316.6
Green Bay19.017.314.7
Detroit vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
12:30 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago7.06.25.2
Washington10.611.110.8
Detroit19.321.122.8
Houston vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Lottery seed
Houston6.06.88.8
Tennessee17.515.513.6
Denver vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh6.35.54.6
Houston6.86.77.1
Denver17.119.020.6
Atlanta21.721.521.4
Jacksonville24.524.724.3
New Orleans vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans2.12.73.2
LA Rams3.02.52.6
Atlanta22.320.418.6
Cincinnati vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle14.113.714.0
Cincinnati15.318.018.8
Cleveland21.819.018.1
Baltimore vs OaklandHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore12.714.815.8
Indianapolis14.414.114.0
Cincinnati16.917.116.7
Denver19.319.019.0
Oakland31.531.530.6
Buffalo vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville26.325.623.1
NY Jets26.025.726.2
Buffalo24.626.527.4
Philadelphia vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia19.722.323.4
NY Giants27.726.225.1
NY Jets vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New England6.86.25.1
Houston6.86.77.1
NY Jets24.425.327.1
LA Chargers vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
LA Chargers9.810.011.3
Arizona30.429.928.9
Tampa Bay vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit22.021.921.6
Tampa Bay24.326.527.2
San Francisco30.229.028.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)