Cleveland Browns Playoff Chances 2018
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 3.8%
4-5-1 .450
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | -0.1 | |||
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -2.7*+0.4+3.2 | -0.8+0.3+1.0 | ||
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.1+2.1+0.9 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.1*-0.2+0.7 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.2*+0.8+0.5 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.2*+0.5-0.3 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.1*-0.7+0.1 | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | ||
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 10 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.3 | % | 2 | 7 | 4 | 45 | 42 | 1 | 9,354 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 2 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 65 | 55 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 66.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 55 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 90,835 | |||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 48.9 | 2 | 6 | 41 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 446 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 358,055 | |||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 3.6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1,433 | |||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 717,940 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 37 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2,064 | |||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 46 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 769,678 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 14 | 48 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 1,412 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 18 | 46 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 419,807 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 11 | 371 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 12 | 49 | 38 | 0 | 90,644 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 3.8 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2,462,096 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.1 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.1 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.1 | |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | -0.0 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.0 | |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.0 | |
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | +1.7-1.1-2.0 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.2*+0.3-0.1 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0-0.2-0.1 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.0*-0.1-0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*-0.2-0.1 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 10 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 64 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 46 | 9 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 42 | 8 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 36 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 18 | 4 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
