Green Bay Packers Playoff Chances 2018
Did not play, playoff odds up 4.7 to 21.8%
4-5-1 .450
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | -10.6 | -0.7 | ||
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +1.9 | |||
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | +0.4 | +0.0 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.4 | +0.0 | ||
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | -0.2 | |||
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -14.1-5.2+20.2 | -0.9-0.3+1.2 | ||
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.7*-2.7+1.0 | -0.0-0.2+0.1 | ||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.3*-2.2-1.0 | +0.0*-0.2-0.2 | ||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -0.1*+0.3+0.2 | |||
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | |||
| Carolina vs Seattle | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |||
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Green Bay finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 10 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 1 | 44 | 8 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 45,016 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 97.8 | 19 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 2 | 223 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 91.2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 295,489 | ||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 50.4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 34 | 14 | 1 | 1,108 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 30.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 704,278 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | 33 | 67 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2,097 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 41 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 800,148 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1,710 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 464,949 | |||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 6 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 688 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 131,935 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 7 | 42 | 38 | 13 | 86 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 22 | 43 | 26 | 5 | 14,364 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 21.8 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2,462,096 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | +1.4 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.1 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.0 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | -0.0 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | +1.7+0.0-2.5 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1*+0.4-0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.0*+0.3+0.2 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.1*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 10 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 21 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 19 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 67 | 33 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 28 | 15 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
