Washington Redskins Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Houston 21-23, playoff odds down 0.4 to 72.8%
6-4-0 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -9.2 | -0.6 | ||
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | -2.1 | -0.1 | ||
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +1.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +1.2 | +0.0 | ||
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | +0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dallas vs Washington | -12.9+11.3+20.1 | -0.8+0.6+1.2 | ||
| Carolina vs Seattle | +0.4-4.5-0.4 | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | ||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -1.0*+3.1+1.7 | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | ||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.3*-1.1-1.2 | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.2*+2.7+0.3 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.1-0.2-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 12 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 28 | 63 | 6 | 48,683 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 8 | 56 | 36 | 219 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 5 | 57 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 279,125 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 26 | 73 | 1 | 0 | 1,102 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.8 | % | 0 | 0 | 21 | 69 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 646,842 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.0 | 6 | 82 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1,976 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 87.8 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 775,263 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 67.5 | 0 | 51 | 2 | 14 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 1,704 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 26.1 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 508,635 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 8.8 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 708 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 173,642 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 4 | 28 | 46 | 16 | 3 | 112 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 24,079 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 72.8 | % | 0 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,462,096 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +1.4 | |
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | +0.2 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.1 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.0 | |
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | +0.0 | |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | +0.0 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Dallas vs Washington | +1.8-1.5-2.8 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.1+0.3+0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.1*-0.4-0.2 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0*+0.2-0.1 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 12 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 9 | 6 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 35 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 46 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 25 | 44 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 67 | 33 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 6 | 13 | 69 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 54 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
