How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 -0.4
-0.4
Washington 21 Houston 23 -0.1
Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 +0.1
-0.0
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 +0.0
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 -0.1
Arizona 21 Oakland 23 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Baltimore vs Oakland-0.0+0.6+0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs Jacksonville-0.2*Out+0.1
-1.0-0.5+0.6
LA Chargers vs Arizona-0.0*Out+0.1
Indianapolis vs Miami+0.0*-0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs New England-0.2-0.1+0.1
Denver vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.2+0.1
Houston vs Tennessee+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Cleveland+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Jacksonville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
96-0-044.2%1103304690010,508
8.55-0-110.137233823669
85-1-01.200011636321220097,345
4-0-2Out1001
7.54-1-1Out1623382560503
74-2-0Out0210293619400368,490
6.53-2-1Out04194328501,496
63-3-0Out011035401310718,886
2-2-2Out1002
5.52-3-1Out073745101,995
52-4-0Out0033047190760,429
1-3-2Out67333
4.51-4-1Out5395611,381
41-5-0Out0330625411,581
3.50-5-1Out4897376
30-6-0Out3742389,031
Total:0.2%0000123581422241922,462,096
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/15100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 +1.0
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 +0.1
NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 -0.1
Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 -0.1
Detroit 20 Carolina 19 +0.1
Washington 21 Houston 23 -0.1
Arizona 21 Oakland 23 -0.0
Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
LA Rams vs Kansas City+0.0*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Jacksonville+1.9+1.2-1.2
Denver vs Pittsburgh+0.1+0.3-0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.2*+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Atlanta-0.0*+0.4+0.2
Detroit vs Chicago+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Miami-0.0*+0.2+0.1
Tampa Bay vs San Francisco+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Cleveland-0.0+0.1+0.0
Houston vs Tennessee-0.0*+0.2+0.1
LA Chargers vs Arizona-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Washington+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Baltimore vs Oakland+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Seattle+0.0*+0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
96-0-0128021020451010
8.55-0-137203522121
85-1-00000019243122103000
4-0-2100
7.54-1-121021292311310
74-2-0000281826251451000
6.53-2-101715282617510
63-3-00000271928261441000
2-2-25050
5.52-3-10211243322710
52-4-00016193127123000
1-3-26733
4.51-4-1041633341210
41-5-00021332351520
3.50-5-132248252
30-6-0021843306
Total:000000011112344469910111197410