Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Detroit 19-20, playoff odds down 14 to 52.9%
6-4-0 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | -13.8 | -0.7 | ||
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | +1.2 | +0.0 | ||
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | +0.5 | +0.0 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.4 | +0.0 | ||
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | +0.2 | |||
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Carolina vs Seattle | +21.2*-4.4-22.0 | +0.9-0.0-0.9 | ||
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.4-4.5+0.6 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Dallas vs Washington | -1.8*+0.5+2.7 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.7*+0.7-2.5 | +0.0*+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Detroit vs Chicago | -1.6*+1.8+0.6 | -0.1*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -0.1*-0.2+0.2 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 12 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 10 | 43 | 20 | 0 | 26 | 19,277 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 2 | 21 | 17 | 60 | 112 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 82 | 1 | 158,399 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 2 | 0 | 90 | 7 | 686 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.8 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 77 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 504,843 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 92.3 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 1,708 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 70.2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 45 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 792,622 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 36.2 | 6 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 4 | 2,111 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 10.0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 657,711 | |||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.7 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1,072 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 39 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 276,498 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 7 | 35 | 36 | 17 | 5 | 216 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 39 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 46,838 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 52.9 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 21 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,462,096 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +1.3 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.1 | |
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | -0.0 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -1.7+0.2+1.8 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.0*+0.2+0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 12 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 46 | 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 45 | 37 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 49 | 6 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 61 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 49 | 20 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 32 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
