How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 -7.6
-0.5
Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 +0.3
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 -0.1
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
LA Rams vs Kansas City+0.1*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LA Chargers vs Arizona+2.6*-0.6-13.3
+0.1+0.1-0.6
Baltimore vs Oakland-0.4+5.1+2.9
-0.0+0.2+0.1
Denver vs Pittsburgh-1.1*-0.5+0.7
Cincinnati vs Cleveland-0.6*+2.2+0.7
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Houston vs Tennessee+0.2*-0.1-0.4
Indianapolis vs Miami-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the LA Chargers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
136-0-0In46604869,228
12.55-0-1In416153326
125-1-0In552088375,373
4-0-2In1001
11.54-1-1In3520891,377
114-2-0100.0%00109540773,259
10.53-2-199.800091802,161
103-3-093.800060336000766,303
9.52-3-182.6404316201,527
92-4-037.7008293620610377,369
1-3-2Out1001
8.51-4-114.611434311730522
81-5-00.901723342581087,147
7.50-5-1Out46223626650
70-6-0Out004214128617,452
Total:84.7%21006516842100002,462,096
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/15100.0*Lottery seed
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 +1.0
Detroit 20 Carolina 19 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
LA Rams vs Kansas City-0.1*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22100.0*Lottery seed
LA Chargers vs Arizona-0.3-0.0+1.3
Baltimore vs Oakland+0.0-0.3-0.2
Detroit vs Chicago+0.0+0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Cleveland+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Indianapolis vs Miami+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
136-0-0244240048
12.55-0-1040240053
125-1-005051100870
4-0-2100
11.54-1-1305110891
114-2-00000000914400
10.53-2-100000801180
103-3-0000004417321600
9.52-3-116243851520
92-4-0000271811292482000
1-3-2100
8.51-4-1004101624251641
81-5-0001161626261672000
7.50-5-12106242618104
70-6-00151121262111310
Total:0201000057714264211100000000