Houston Texans Playoff Chances 2018
Beat Washington 23-21, playoff odds up 10.1 to 90.1%
7-3-0 .700
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +7.0 | +0.5 | ||
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +1.1 | +0.0 | ||
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | -0.5 | |||
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Houston vs Tennessee | +6.2*+1.5-12.1 | +0.5+0.1-1.0 | ||
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.3*+0.9+1.9 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.4*+1.5+1.3 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.2*-1.1+1.0 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.2*+0.8-0.1 | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.2*+0.3+0.2 | |||
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 45 | 50 | 6 | 169,286 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 22 | 63 | 15 | 642 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 7 | 48 | 40 | 5 | 578,387 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 2 | 41 | 48 | 8 | 1,852 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 10 | 48 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 811,700 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2,000 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 93.1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 10 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 596,886 | ||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 87.2 | 9 | 45 | 5 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 1,082 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 39.7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 20 | 37 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 243,000 | |||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 18.4 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 36 | 15 | 5 | 331 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 51,907 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 10 | 27 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 30 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 4,991 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 90.1 | % | 5 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,462,096 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -1.2 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | -0.2 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | -0.1 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -1.0-0.2+1.9 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.2-0.3+0.1 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.2-0.3+0.1 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | +0.1-0.3-0.3 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.1-0.2+0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0*-0.2-0.1 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 26 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 22 | 23 | 39 | 15 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 39 | 31 | 17 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 28 | 33 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 7 | 30 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
