NFC South Playoff Chances 2018

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

New Orleans		9	-	1	-	0	.900	139	100.0	%	+0.4	62	28	7	0	2	0	0	0	0	0							1.5	+0.41	2	.726	New Orleans Saints

Carolina		6	-	4	-	0	.600	8	52.9		-14.0	0	1	1	0	30	21	15	12	9	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	6.8	-0.73	9	.517	Carolina Panthers
Atlanta		4	-	6	-	0	.400	-13	6.0		-6.8	0	0	0	0	2	4	7	9	13	19	18	15	8	4	1	0	10.2	-0.85	23	.473	Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay		3	-	7	-	0	.300	-62	0.3		-0.5			0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	9	14	17	21	18	10	13.1	-0.68	22	.386	Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 11/15
Detroit 20 Carolina 19
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans			+0.1
Carolina	-13.8		-0.7
Atlanta	+1.4
Tampa Bay	+0.2		-0.1

Atlanta 19 Dallas 22
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina	+0.5		+0.0
Atlanta	-7.9		-1.0

Chicago 25 Minnesota 20
8:20 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans			-0.0
Carolina	+1.2		+0.0
Atlanta	+0.4		+0.0
Tampa Bay	+0.1		+0.0

New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7
4:05 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	+0.3		+0.2
Carolina	+0.3		-0.0
Atlanta	+0.3		+0.1
Tampa Bay			+0.1

Washington 21 Houston 23
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina	+0.4		+0.0
Atlanta	+0.3		+0.0

NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina			+0.0
Atlanta			+0.0
Tampa Bay	-0.6		-0.7

Seattle 27 Green Bay 24
8:20 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina	+0.2
Atlanta			-0.0

Arizona 21 Oakland 23
4:05 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta			+0.0
Tampa Bay			+0.1

LA Rams vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans			1.61.61.4

Week of 11/22
Carolina vs SeattleIf winner is:HomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina	74.1*48.530.9		5.96.87.7
Atlanta	6.4*4.35.6		10.210.410.2
Tampa Bay			13.1*13.013.1

New Orleans vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	100.0*In99.8		1.41.71.9
Carolina	53.6*53.650.4		6.8*6.86.9
Atlanta	3.4*6.915.5		10.5*10.08.9
Tampa Bay			13.1*13.013.2

Minnesota vs Green BayHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina	52.548.453.5		6.8*6.96.8
Atlanta	5.8*7.66.3		10.2*10.010.2
Tampa Bay			13.1*13.013.1

Dallas vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
4:30 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina	51.1*53.455.6		6.96.86.7
Atlanta	5.9*6.76.2		10.210.210.1
Tampa Bay	0.3*0.10.4

Detroit vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
12:30 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans			1.41.41.6
Carolina	51.3*54.753.5		6.9*6.76.8
Atlanta			10.310.510.1
Tampa Bay			13.313.213.0

Philadelphia vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina	52.8*52.753.1
Atlanta	5.9*4.96.2		10.2*10.210.1

Tampa Bay vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	0.6*0.20.0		12.313.214.0

LA Chargers vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta			10.2*10.110.2
Tampa Bay			13.1*13.113.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.