SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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4 a.m.

New York Giants Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Tampa Bay 38-35, playoff odds up 0.2 to 0.3%

3-7-0 .300

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35	+0.1		+0.6
New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7			+0.0
Arizona 21 Oakland 23			+0.1
Detroit 20 Carolina 19			-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia vs NY Giants	-0.2*+0.0+0.4		-0.6+0.1+0.9
Dallas vs Washington	+0.0*+0.2-0.0
New Orleans vs Atlanta			+0.0*-0.0-0.1
LA Chargers vs Arizona			+0.0*-0.0-0.2
Detroit vs Chicago			-0.1+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Giants finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

9		6	-	0	-	0	62.4	%			2	33	5	22	25	11	2	0							4,447
8	.5	5	-	0	-	1	44.7					29		16	39	16									38
8		5	-	1	-	0	6.2				0	4	0	2	11	30	34	16	2	0	0				51,591
7	.5	4	-	1	-	1	1.1					1			4	18	39	28	8	2					269
7		4	-	2	-	0	0.1					0		0	0	1	11	33	36	16	3	0	0		243,895
		3	-	1	-	2	Out												100						1
6	.5	3	-	2	-	1	Out										3	19	38	30	10	0			1,113
6		3	-	3	-	0	Out									0	0	3	18	38	33	8	0	0	602,574
		2	-	2	-	2	Out												50	50					2
5	.5	2	-	3	-	1	Out										0	0	4	23	45	25	2		2,059
5		2	-	4	-	0	Out											0	1	9	43	37	9	1	814,917
		1	-	3	-	2	Out													100					1
4	.5	1	-	4	-	1	Out													1	14	56	26	3	1,774
4		1	-	5	-	0	Out												0	0	10	41	38	11	574,511
		0	-	4	-	2	Out															100			3
3	.5	0	-	5	-	1	Out														0	19	54	26	615
3		0	-	6	-	0	Out														0	7	40	53	164,286

Total:							0.3	%			0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	14	25	25	15	6	2,462,096

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35	-0.9
Detroit 20 Carolina 19	+0.2
Arizona 21 Oakland 23	-0.1
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23	+0.1
Washington 21 Houston 23	+0.0
Atlanta 19 Dallas 22	-0.0
Chicago 25 Minnesota 20	-0.0
Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10	+0.0
New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7	+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
LA Rams vs Kansas City	+0.0*-0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs NY Giants	+1.0-0.5-1.6
Detroit vs Chicago	+0.2-0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs New England	+0.1+0.2-0.1
LA Chargers vs Arizona	-0.0+0.1+0.2
Indianapolis vs Miami	-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Denver vs Pittsburgh	+0.1-0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs Jacksonville	+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle	-0.1+0.0+0.1
New Orleans vs Atlanta	-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Cleveland	-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Oakland	-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs San Francisco	+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Washington	+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Houston vs Tennessee	-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

9		6	-	0	-	0						2	1	32	0	5	3	19	19	13	5	1	0	0
8	.5	5	-	0	-	1								29			3	13	16	24	13	3
8		5	-	1	-	0						0	0	4		0	0	2	1	6	16	25	24	14	6	1	0	0
7	.5	4	-	1	-	1								1							1	6	20	25	29	14	4	1
7		4	-	2	-	0								0				0		0	0	0	1	4	11	21	27	22	11	4	1	0	0
		3	-	1	-	2																						100
6	.5	3	-	2	-	1																			1	3	13	26	29	19	8	2	0
6		3	-	3	-	0																			0	0	0	3	10	22	30	23	10	2	0	0
		2	-	2	-	2																								50			50
5	.5	2	-	3	-	1																						0	2	7	22	33	25	9	1	0
5		2	-	4	-	0																							0	0	2	11	29	36	19	3	0	0
		1	-	3	-	2																											100
4	.5	1	-	4	-	1																									0	2	14	37	36	10	1
4		1	-	5	-	0																									0	0	1	13	40	34	11	1
		0	-	4	-	2																													67	33
3	.5	0	-	5	-	1																											0	2	25	49	22	2
3		0	-	6	-	0																												0	8	32	45	15

Total:												0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	3	3	4	6	8	9	12	15	16	11	6	1