Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to NY Giants 35-38, playoff odds down 0.5 to 0.3%
3-7-0 .300
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | -0.6 | -0.7 | ||
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | +0.1 | +0.0 | ||
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.1 | |||
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | +0.3*-0.1-0.3 | +0.8-0.1-0.9 | ||
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |||
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.2-0.1+0.1 | |||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.0*+0.1-0.1 | |||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 9 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 71.9 | % | 0 | 0 | 23 | 49 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4,001 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 61.1 | 11 | 50 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 36 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 10.3 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 48,782 | |||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 279 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 245,810 | |||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 3 | 21 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 1,151 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 621,224 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 5 | 24 | 46 | 23 | 2 | 2,086 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 830,064 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 33 | 33 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 18 | 48 | 29 | 4 | 1,788 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 52 | 20 | 557,703 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 13 | 53 | 33 | 579 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 148,588 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 21 | 18 | 10 | 2,462,096 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | +1.3 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.2 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.1 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.1 | |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.1 | |
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | -0.0 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.0 | |
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | +0.0 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | -1.3+0.9+1.5 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.2*-0.1-0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.0*-0.1+0.1 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 9 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 43 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 11 | 3 | 47 | 6 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 27 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 33 | 33 | 33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 50 | 28 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 38 | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
