Tennessee Titans Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Indianapolis 10-38, playoff odds down 29.5 to 15.9%
5-5-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | -13.8 | -0.9 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -3.2 | -0.2 | ||
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.5 | -0.0 | ||
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.5 | -0.0 | ||
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | -0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -8.1+7.1+15.8 | -0.7+0.6+1.4 | ||
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.5*+2.8+3.6 | -0.0*+0.2+0.2 | ||
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.5+3.6+0.5 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.3*+0.8+1.5 | -0.0*-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Indianapolis vs Miami | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |||
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Tennessee finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 11 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 0 | 20 | 53 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 40,749 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 2 | 28 | 29 | 21 | 21 | 214 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 85.2 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 6 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 251,378 | ||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 67.0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 47 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 1,038 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 21.1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 33 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 621,000 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 50.0 | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 39 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1,963 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 37 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 787,228 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 33 | 67 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 7 | 28 | 41 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1,733 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 538,338 | ||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 7 | 32 | 39 | 18 | 4 | 790 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 190,344 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 8 | 40 | 43 | 8 | 145 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 8 | 44 | 47 | 0 | 27,171 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 15.9 | % | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2,462,096 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +1.6 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.3 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | +0.1 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | -0.0 | |
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Houston vs Tennessee | +1.3-0.7-2.5 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.0+0.3+0.0 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0-0.2-0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.0*-0.1+0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.1*+0.0-0.0 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*-0.1-0.1 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.0*+0.2+0.1 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 11 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | 38 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 27 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 21 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 10 | 28 | 5 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 67 | 33 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
