Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Beat Anaheim Ducks 7-5, playoff odds up 3.1 to 21.2%

20 points 10 14-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks	+4.4+4.0+4.1-1.3-1.3-5.2		+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3		+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.1*-0.1-0.6
Winnipeg Jets vs Minnesota Wild					+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins					+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.0
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars					+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.0
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks					-0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver Canucks finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

114	-136						In		Yes		100																74	*
113		43	8		-	7	In		87.5	%	88	13															8	*
112		44	10		-	4	In		66.7		100																9	*
111		44	11		-	3	In		86.7		87	13															15	*
110		43	11		-	4	In		68.8		91	6	3														32	*
109		42	11		-	5	In		75.6		93	6	1														82	*
108		41	11		-	6	In		53.0		83	15	2														115	*
107		41	12		-	5	In		43.9		75	16	9														189	*
106		41	13		-	4	In		36.0		65	26	8	0													314	*
105		40	13		-	5	In		25.3		56	33	10		1												505	*
104		40	14		-	4	In		19.0		53	36	11	0	1												798	*
103		39	14		-	5	In		11.4		41	39	17	1	2												1,140	*
102		39	15		-	4	In		5.0		32	42	20	3	2		0										1,655	*
101		38	15		-	5	In		1.9		21	45	23	6	4	0	0										2,312	*
100		38	16		-	4	In		0.9		13	45	25	9	6	0	0										3,410	*
99		37	16		-	5	In		0.3		7	43	24	16	8	1	1	0									4,632	*
98		37	17		-	4	100.0	%	0.1		4	37	20	22	13	2	2	0	0								6,194	*
97		36	17		-	5	100.0		0.0		2	30	16	28	16	4	4	0	0								8,187	*
96		36	18		-	4	99.9		No		1	22	10	33	17	10	6	1	0								10,745	*
95		35	18		-	5	99.5		No		0	15	6	33	17	16	10	3	0	0							13,510	*
94		35	19		-	4	98.4		No		0	10	3	30	14	22	14	6	1	0	0	0					16,346	*
93		34	19		-	5	95.2		No		0	6	1	24	9	28	16	11	4	1	0						19,871	*
92		34	20		-	4	88.4		No			3	0	18	5	29	16	17	9	3	0	0	0				23,991	*
91		33	20		-	5	76.3		No			1	0	12	2	28	13	20	15	7	2	0	0				27,910	*
90		33	21		-	4	60.3		No			1	0	7	1	23	9	20	21	13	4	1	0				31,979	*
89		32	21		-	5	41.4		No			0	0	4	0	17	5	16	25	21	10	3	0	0			35,977	*
88		32	22		-	4	25.3		No			0		2	0	11	2	10	23	26	17	6	1	0	0		39,739	*
87		31	22		-	5	13.3		No			0		1	0	6	1	5	17	27	25	13	4	1	0		42,724	*
86		31	23		-	4	6.1		No			0		0	0	3	0	2	10	23	29	21	9	2	0		45,410	*
85		30	23		-	5	2.5		No			0		0	0	1	0	1	5	16	28	28	15	4	0		46,937	*
84		29	23		-	6	0.8		No					0		1	0	0	2	10	23	31	23	9	1		48,196	*
83		29	24		-	5	0.3		No					0		0	0	0	1	5	16	30	30	15	3		48,048	*
82		28	24		-	6	0.1		No					0		0		0	0	2	10	24	34	23	6		46,934	*
81		28	25		-	5	0.0		No							0			0	1	5	18	34	31	11		45,762	*
80		27	25		-	6	0.0		No							0			0	0	2	12	30	38	17		42,765	*
79		27	26		-	5	Out		No										0	0	1	7	24	42	26		39,579	*
78		26	26		-	6	Out		No										0	0	0	4	18	43	35		36,511	*
77		26	27		-	5	Out		No												0	2	12	41	45		32,433	*
76		25	27		-	6	Out		No											0	0	1	8	36	55		28,345	*
75		25	28		-	5	Out		No												0	0	5	31	64		24,385	*
74		24	28		-	6	Out		No													0	3	26	72		20,925	*
73		24	29		-	5	Out		No												0	0	2	20	78		17,163	*
72		23	29		-	6	Out		No													0	1	15	84		14,037	*
71		23	30		-	5	Out		No														0	11	88		11,163	*
70		22	30		-	6	Out		No														0	8	91		8,879	*
69		22	31		-	5	Out		No														0	5	95		6,891	*
68		21	31		-	6	Out		No														0	4	96		5,094	*
67		21	32		-	5	Out		No															3	97		3,628	*
66		21	33		-	4	Out		No															2	98		2,799	*
65		20	33		-	5	Out		No															1	99		1,916	*
64		19	33		-	6	Out		No															1	99		1,365	*
63		19	34		-	5	Out		No															1	99		882	*
62		19	35		-	4	Out		No															0	100		633	*
61		18	35		-	5	Out		No															0	100		458	*
60		18	36		-	4	Out		No															1	99		232	*
59		17	36		-	5	Out		No															1	99		169	*
20	-58						Out		No																100		338	*

Total:							21.2	%	0.1	%	0	2	1	4	2	6	2	4	6	7	9	10	12	15	19		874,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks	-1.0-0.8-0.9+0.2*+0.2+1.1
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.2-0.0+0.0
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues	+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.0
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals	+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars	+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.1-0.0
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers	+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

114	-136						100
113		43	8		-	7	88		13
112		44	10		-	4	67	33
111		44	11		-	3	87		13
110		43	11		-	4	69	22	6		3
109		42	11		-	5	76	17	6		1
108		41	11		-	6	53	30	14	1	2
107		41	12		-	5	44	31	16	1	9
106		41	13		-	4	36	29	26	0	8		0
105		40	13		-	5	25	31	30	3	9	0			1
104		40	14		-	4	19	34	30	5	10	1	0		1
103		39	14		-	5	11	30	32	7	15	2	1		2
102		39	15		-	4	5	27	29	12	17	4	3		2	0			0
101		38	15		-	5	2	19	28	17	17	6	6	0	4		0		0
100		38	16		-	4	1	12	22	23	15	10	9	0	6	0	0		0
99		37	16		-	5	0	7	17	25	12	12	15	1	8	1	1		1		0
98		37	17		-	4	0	3	10	26	7	13	20	2	12	2	2		2	0	0		0
97		36	17		-	5	0	2	6	24	3	12	22	6	12	4	4	0	4	0	0		0
96		36	18		-	4		1	3	19	1	9	23	10	11	6	10	0	6	0	1	0	0
95		35	18		-	5		0	1	14	0	5	18	15	8	9	15	1	9	1	3	0	0	0
94		35	19		-	4		0	0	10	0	2	11	19	4	9	20	2	12	2	6	0	1	0	0	0
93		34	19		-	5		0	0	6		1	6	18	2	8	22	6	11	5	10	0	4	1	0
92		34	20		-	4			0	3	0	0	3	15	0	5	19	10	9	7	15	2	9	3	0	0	0
91		33	20		-	5			0	1		0	1	11	0	2	13	15	5	8	16	4	15	7	2	0	0
90		33	21		-	4				1		0	0	7	0	1	8	16	2	7	12	7	20	14	5	1	0	0
89		32	21		-	5				0		0	0	4		0	3	13	0	4	6	10	20	21	12	4	1	0	0	0
88		32	22		-	4				0			0	2		0	1	10	0	2	2	8	13	23	21	12	5	1	0	0
87		31	22		-	5				0				1		0	0	6	0	1	0	5	6	16	24	21	13	5	2	0	0	0
86		31	23		-	4				0				0		0	0	3		0	0	2	2	8	17	23	22	14	6	2	0	0	0
85		30	23		-	5				0				0		0	0	1		0	0	1	0	2	8	16	23	22	15	8	2	1	0	0
84		29	23		-	6								0			0	1		0		0	0	0	2	7	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
83		29	24		-	5								0				0		0		0	0	0	0	2	7	15	22	24	17	9	3	1	0	0
82		28	24		-	6								0				0				0		0	0	0	2	7	14	22	25	18	9	3	1	0	0
81		28	25		-	5												0							0	0	0	2	7	15	24	25	17	8	2	0	0
80		27	25		-	6												0								0	0	0	2	8	17	25	25	16	6	1	0
79		27	26		-	5																					0	0	1	3	9	19	27	24	13	4	0
78		26	26		-	6																						0	0	1	4	12	23	29	22	9	1
77		26	27		-	5																							0	0	1	6	16	28	30	16	4
76		25	27		-	6																							0	0	0	2	9	23	33	25	7
75		25	28		-	5																								0	0	1	5	16	32	33	13
74		24	28		-	6																									0	0	2	10	28	39	21
73		24	29		-	5																									0	0	1	6	22	41	31
72		23	29		-	6																										0	0	3	15	41	41
71		23	30		-	5																											0	1	10	37	52
70		22	30		-	6																											0	1	6	32	60
69		22	31		-	5																												0	3	26	70
68		21	31		-	6																												0	2	21	77
67		21	32		-	5																												0	1	15	84
66		21	33		-	4																												0	1	13	86
65		20	33		-	5																													0	9	91
64		19	33		-	6																													0	6	94
63		19	34		-	5																														5	95
62		19	35		-	4																														2	98
61		18	35		-	5																														2	98
60		18	36		-	4																														2	98
59		17	36		-	5																														2	98
20	-58																																				100

Total:							0	0	1	2	0	1	2	2	1	1	3	3	1	1	2	2	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	7	7	6