SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Beat Philadelphia Flyers 2-1, playoff odds up 5.9 to 56.3%

24 points 11 9-2

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres	-5.1-1.2-1.0+4.0+4.0+4.4		-0.9*-0.2-0.3+1.0+1.1+0.9		-0.5*-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.5+0.5
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning	+0.4+0.3+0.4-0.5-0.2-0.4				+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars	-0.3+0.1-0.0+0.2-0.4+0.3
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals					-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes					-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets					-0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins					+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues					+0.0+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.0
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers					+0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo Sabres finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

117	-144						In		99.2	%	100																133	*
116		44	12		-	4	In		90.6		94	2	4														53	*
115		43	12		-	5	In		95.2		96	2	2														105	*
114		43	13		-	4	In		95.3		98		2														148	*
113		43	14		-	3	In		86.5		92	4	4														267	*
112		41	13		-	6	In		89.8		93	4	3														363	*
111		41	14		-	5	In		76.8		83	8	9		0												628	*
110		41	15		-	4	In		71.2		80	9	10	0	0												889	*
109		40	15		-	5	In		63.3		76	11	13		0												1,316	*
108		39	15		-	6	In		54.0		71	13	16	0	0												1,884	*
107		39	16		-	5	In		41.6		61	18	20	0	1												2,689	*
106		39	17		-	4	In		31.5		52	21	25	0	1		0										3,837	*
105		38	17		-	5	In		22.4		45	23	29	1	2		0										5,149	*
104		37	17		-	6	In		14.2		36	26	33	2	4		0										6,584	*
103		37	18		-	5	In		7.8		27	28	37	3	5	0	0										9,066	*
102		37	19		-	4	In		3.8		19	27	40	5	9	0	0	0									11,459	*
101		36	19		-	5	In		1.4		13	26	41	8	12	0	1										14,415	*
100		35	19		-	6	In		0.6		8	23	39	12	16	0	1	0									17,748	*
99		35	20		-	5	In		0.2		4	20	34	17	21	1	2	0									21,147	*
98		34	20		-	6	In		0.0		2	16	28	21	26	2	4	0									24,942	*
97		34	21		-	5	100.0	%	0.0		1	12	20	25	29	5	7	1	0								28,736	*
96		33	21		-	6	99.9		No		0	8	14	26	31	9	11	1	0	0							32,537	*
95		33	22		-	5	99.8		No		0	5	8	25	30	13	16	3	0	0							36,537	*
94		32	22		-	6	99.3		No		0	3	4	22	25	19	20	6	1	0	0						40,065	*
93		32	23		-	5	97.8		No		0	2	2	17	19	23	25	10	2	0	0						42,715	*
92		31	23		-	6	94.4		No		0	1	1	12	12	26	25	17	5	1	0	0					45,064	*
91		31	24		-	5	87.4		No			0	0	8	7	25	24	23	10	2	0	0	0				46,689	*
90		30	24		-	6	76.2		No			0	0	5	3	22	20	27	17	6	1	0	0				47,276	*
89		30	25		-	5	60.0		No			0	0	3	1	17	14	26	25	12	3	1	0	0			47,234	*
88		29	25		-	6	43.2		No			0		1	0	11	8	22	28	19	8	2	0	0			46,277	*
87		29	26		-	5	27.4		No					1	0	7	4	15	27	26	14	4	1	0	0		44,304	*
86		28	26		-	6	14.9		No			0		0	0	4	2	9	22	29	22	10	2	0	0		41,854	*
85		28	27		-	5	7.1		No					0	0	2	1	4	15	26	28	17	6	1	0	0	38,698	*
84		27	27		-	6	2.8		No					0		1	0	2	8	21	29	24	12	3	0	0	35,302	*
83		27	28		-	5	1.1		No					0		0	0	1	4	13	25	29	19	7	1	0	31,546	*
82		26	28		-	6	0.3		No							0	0	0	1	7	19	29	26	13	3	0	27,740	*
81		26	29		-	5	0.1		No							0		0	0	3	12	25	31	21	6	1	23,914	*
80		25	29		-	6	0.0		No							0		0	0	1	7	19	30	28	12	2	20,080	*
79		25	30		-	5	0.0		No							0			0	0	3	13	28	33	19	4	16,808	*
78		24	30		-	6	0.0		No							0			0	0	1	7	22	35	27	8	13,586	*
77		24	31		-	5	Out		No											0	0	4	15	33	34	14	11,104	*
76		23	31		-	6	Out		No												0	2	10	29	39	20	8,809	*
75		23	32		-	5	Out		No											0	0	1	6	23	42	28	6,744	*
74		22	32		-	6	Out		No													0	3	16	42	38	5,120	*
73		22	33		-	5	Out		No													0	1	11	41	47	3,838	*
72		21	33		-	6	Out		No														1	8	35	56	2,745	*
71		21	34		-	5	Out		No													0	0	4	30	66	1,995	*
70		20	34		-	6	Out		No														0	2	24	74	1,434	*
69		20	35		-	5	Out		No															2	20	78	932	*
68		20	36		-	4	Out		No															1	17	82	622	*
67		19	36		-	5	Out		No															0	9	91	413	*
66		18	36		-	6	Out		No															0	10	89	266	*
65		18	37		-	5	Out		No																5	95	181	*
64		18	38		-	4	Out		No															1	1	98	121	*
63		17	38		-	5	Out		No																4	96	80	*
62		17	39		-	4	Out		No																3	97	38	*
61		16	39		-	5	Out		No																12	88	17	*
24	-60						Out		No																	100	97	*

Total:							56.3	%	1.1	%	3	4	6	8	9	9	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	874,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres	+1.1*+0.2+0.2-0.9-1.0-1.0
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning	-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues	-0.0-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals	+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins	-0.1*-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1
Winnipeg Jets vs Minnesota Wild	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks	-0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0*+0.0-0.0
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars	+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.1
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	-0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.0
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks	-0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

119	-144						100
118		45	11		-	4	92	8
117		45	12		-	3	100
116		44	12		-	4	91	4	2		4
115		43	12		-	5	95	1	2		2
114		43	13		-	4	95	3			2
113		43	14		-	3	87	5	4		4
112		41	13		-	6	90	3	4		3
111		41	14		-	5	77	6	8		9	0			0
110		41	15		-	4	71	9	9		10		0		0
109		40	15		-	5	63	12	11		13	0			0
108		39	15		-	6	54	17	13	0	15	0	0		0
107		39	16		-	5	42	20	18	0	20	0	0		1
106		39	17		-	4	32	21	20	0	25	1	0		1	0			0
105		38	17		-	5	22	22	22	1	27	2	1		2				0
104		37	17		-	6	14	22	24	2	30	3	2		4	0			0
103		37	18		-	5	8	19	24	3	31	6	3		5	0	0		0
102		37	19		-	4	4	15	22	5	31	9	5	0	8	0	0		0		0
101		36	19		-	5	1	11	18	8	27	14	8	0	11	1	0		1
100		35	19		-	6	1	7	14	10	21	18	12	0	15	2	0		1	0	0
99		35	20		-	5	0	4	9	11	13	21	16	1	18	3	1		2	0	0
98		34	20		-	6	0	2	6	10	7	21	19	2	20	6	2		4	0	0	0
97		34	21		-	5	0	1	3	9	3	17	20	5	18	11	5	0	7	0	0	0	0
96		33	21		-	6		0	1	7	1	13	17	9	14	17	8	0	9	1	1	0	0	0
95		33	22		-	5		0	0	5	0	8	13	12	9	21	13	1	12	4	3	0	0	0
94		32	22		-	6		0	0	3	0	4	8	14	4	21	16	3	13	7	6	0	1	0	0
93		32	23		-	5		0	0	2		2	4	14	1	18	16	7	12	13	9	1	2	0	0
92		31	23		-	6		0	0	1		1	2	11	0	12	14	12	8	18	12	4	5	1	0	0
91		31	24		-	5				0		0	1	7	0	7	9	16	4	20	13	10	9	3	1	0	0
90		30	24		-	6				0		0	0	5	0	3	5	17	1	18	9	18	12	8	3	1	0	0		0
89		30	25		-	5				0		0	0	2		1	2	15	0	13	5	22	13	14	9	3	1	0	0	0	0
88		29	25		-	6				0			0	1		0	1	11	0	8	1	21	8	15	16	11	5	1	0	0			0
87		29	26		-	5								1		0	0	7	0	4	0	15	4	11	18	19	13	6	2	0	0	0
86		28	26		-	6				0				0		0	0	4		2	0	9	1	5	12	20	21	15	8	3	1	0	0
85		28	27		-	5								0		0	0	2		1	0	4	0	1	6	13	21	22	17	9	3	1	0	0
84		27	27		-	6								0				1		0		2	0	0	1	6	13	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
83		27	28		-	5								0				0		0		1		0	0	2	5	13	21	23	19	11	4	1	0	0
82		26	28		-	6												0		0		0		0	0	0	2	5	13	21	24	19	10	4	1	0	0
81		26	29		-	5												0				0			0	0	0	2	6	13	23	25	19	9	3	0	0
80		25	29		-	6												0				0				0	0	0	2	6	15	24	25	18	7	2	0
79		25	30		-	5												0									0	0	0	2	8	18	26	26	15	5	1
78		24	30		-	6												0										0	0	1	3	10	21	29	23	10	2
77		24	31		-	5																								0	1	5	15	26	30	18	5
76		23	31		-	6																								0	0	2	8	22	32	26	9
75		23	32		-	5																									0	1	4	15	32	34	15
74		22	32		-	6																										0	2	9	25	40	24
73		22	33		-	5																											0	5	19	42	34
72		21	33		-	6																											0	2	14	40	44
71		21	34		-	5																											0	1	8	36	56
70		20	34		-	6																												0	4	30	65
69		20	35		-	5																												0	4	24	72
68		20	36		-	4																												0	2	20	78
67		19	36		-	5																													1	11	88
66		18	36		-	6																													1	11	88
65		18	37		-	5																														7	93
64		18	38		-	4																													1	2	98
63		17	38		-	5																														5	95
62		17	39		-	4																														3	97
61		16	39		-	5																														12	88
24	-60																																				100

Total:							1	1	2	2	3	4	4	4	3	5	4	5	3	6	3	6	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	1