How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals+4.0+4.0+4.2-1.2-1.1-5.2
+0.3*+0.1+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.3
+0.4+0.4+0.5-0.1*-0.1-0.6
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres*+0.1*-0.1*-0.6-1.0*-0.8-0.3
+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.0
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning*+0.2*+0.1*-0.5*-0.6-1.1-0.4
+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.0
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets-0.4-1.0*-0.4*-0.1*-0.3*+0.1
-0.0*-0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars-0.4*-0.9-0.9*-0.4*+0.1*+0.1
-0.0*-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.0
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils-0.0*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins+0.0-0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.0
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit Red Wings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
116-140InYes10078*
1154610-5In81.8%829911*
1144611-4In85.786147*
1134612-3In94.110017*
1124512-4In83.8925337*
1114513-3In81.4907359*
1104413-4In75.78497107*
1094313-5In55.57115131182*
1084314-4In51.06814171290*
1074214-5In41.96119201444*
1064114-6In32.049212802696*
1054115-5In20.141253023977*
1044116-4In13.73627322301,461*
1034016-5In6.32428383702,150*
1024017-4In3.61726406100003,014*
1013917-5In1.31126409140104,166*
1003817-6In0.67223713190205,532*
993818-5100.0%0.141931182314007,224*
983819-4100.00.021425212936009,484*
973719-5100.00.01101823315101012,029*
963720-499.9No061224329142014,851*
953620-599.6No0462228142050017,942*
943520-698.5No2318231924910021,636*
933521-596.2No011131622281530025,307*
923421-691.2No10910232821710029,343*
913422-582.1No00652124271441032,742*
903322-668.5No003216182921820036,506*
893323-551.5No00211211262716510040,026*
883223-635.0No010862029231030042,607*
873224-520.0No0004313262818710044,952*
863124-610.4No00021719292513410046,507*
853125-54.2No01031224292082046,295*
843025-61.7No000161728271551046,662*
833026-50.6No00031023302392045,442*
822926-60.2No000015162928164043,699*
812927-50.0No000292332239141,731*
802827-60.0No001516303015238,375*
792828-50.0No000210263422535,000*
782728-6OutNo0016193530930,806*
772729-5OutNo00031331371527,594*
762629-6OutNo01827412223,551*
752630-5OutNo00520433120,258*
742530-6OutNo00315424016,591*
732531-5OutNo0110395013,724*
722431-6OutNo006355911,113*
712432-5OutNo00428688,515*
702332-6OutNo0223756,651*
692333-5OutNo0120795,038*
682233-6OutNo0013863,821*
672234-5OutNo0011882,806*
662134-6OutNo09912,038*
652135-5OutNo05951,348*
642035-6OutNo595972*
632036-5OutNo397663*
622037-4OutNo298462*
611937-5OutNo199272*
601837-6OutNo298174*
18-59OutNo100355*
Total:29.4%0.2%1123456788999998874,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals-0.9-0.9-0.9+0.2+0.2+1.1
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning-0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.2+0.1
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.1
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars+0.0+0.1*+0.1*+0.1-0.0-0.0
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes+0.0+0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.0-0.0
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils+0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks+0.0*+0.1*-0.0+0.1*-0.0+0.0
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets+0.1*+0.2*+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues+0.0*+0.2+0.0+0.1*+0.1+0.0
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks+0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.0
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers+0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Winnipeg Jets vs Minnesota Wild+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.1*+0.1+0.0
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes+0.0*+0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
116-140100
1154610-58299
1144611-48614
1134612-3946
1124512-484853
1114513-381873
1104413-476897
1094313-5551615131
1084314-4511714171
1074214-542191801911
1064114-6321720027102
1054115-52020241282230
1044116-41422252303230
1034016-56172533263700
1024017-44142163096100000
1013917-519188261490131010
1003817-6171381918130172020
993818-504910121917119414000
983819-40259619193227306000
973719-501282161851912509110
963720-4015111168141890122200
953620-50040611118201311554000
943520-6020361241916315981100
933521-500113101151571215122300
923421-610180912118201567200
913422-50005057143201413125100
903322-6000302313117920151141000
893323-5000211110114221316115200
883223-60100706119816191372000
873224-5000040301331018211683100
863124-6000021071411192218104100
853125-500103014112023191151000
843025-600010014111923211251000
833026-5000001411192421135100
822926-600000001411192422135100
812927-50000141120262111410
802827-600001513232720920
792828-50000261526271761
782728-600039202926122
772729-500014122631205
762629-60002719332910
752630-5000313303717
742530-60017254026
732531-5003194236
722431-6002123947
712432-5000173457
702332-6042967
692333-5022672
682233-6011881
672234-5011485
662134-601188
652135-50793
642035-60694
632036-5397
622037-4298
611937-5199
601837-6298
18-59100
Total:0011112213232425333445555566665