SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Carolina Hurricanes Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Lost to Toronto Maple Leafs 2-3, playoff odds down 2.2 to 9.7%

12 points 5 14-2

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes	-4.7*-0.8-1.3+3.2+3.1+3.8		-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.2		-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals					-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.1-0.0
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars					-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins					-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres					-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets					-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina Hurricanes finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

111	-134						In		98.6	%	100																72	*
110		49	12		-	0	In		50.0		50	50															2	*
109		46	10		-	5	In		Yes		100																4	*
108		46	11		-	4	In		64.3		79	21															14	*
107		45	11		-	5	In		55.6		56	33	11														9	*
106		44	11		-	6	In		37.5		47	34	19														32	*
105		44	12		-	5	In		26.3		54	16	28	2													57	*
104		43	12		-	6	In		19.0		40	17	39		3		1										137	*
103		43	13		-	5	In		10.9		29	24	37	4	4												156	*
102		43	14		-	4	In		4.1		19	24	41	4	13		0										320	*
101		42	14		-	5	In		1.5		12	24	46	4	11	0	2	0									455	*
100		42	15		-	4	In		0.8		8	25	36	6	23	0	2	0									666	*
99		41	15		-	5	In		0.2		5	19	33	13	24	1	5	0									1,064	*
98		41	16		-	4	In		No		2	16	27	17	29	2	6	1									1,503	*
97		40	16		-	5	99.9	%	No		1	11	22	20	32	2	12	1	0								2,132	*
96		40	17		-	4	99.9		No		1	7	13	21	34	6	16	3	0								2,969	*
95		39	17		-	5	99.6		No		0	5	9	19	30	10	22	5	0								4,112	*
94		39	18		-	4	99.0		No		0	3	4	16	26	14	27	9	1	0							5,430	*
93		38	18		-	5	96.8		No			2	2	12	19	17	30	15	3	0	0						7,312	*
92		37	18		-	6	93.2		No			1	1	8	12	19	31	21	6	1	0	0					9,391	*
91		37	19		-	5	84.0		No			0	0	5	6	18	27	27	12	3	1	0					11,845	*
90		36	19		-	6	71.7		No			0	0	3	3	15	21	30	19	7	2	0	0				14,942	*
89		36	20		-	5	55.0		No			0	0	2	1	11	13	28	26	13	4	1	0	0			18,208	*
88		35	20		-	6	37.6		No					1	0	7	7	22	29	21	9	2	0	0			21,491	*
87		35	21		-	5	22.0		No					0	0	4	3	14	27	27	16	6	1	0	0		25,280	*
86		34	21		-	6	11.3		No					0	0	2	1	8	20	28	24	12	4	1	0		29,227	*
85		34	22		-	5	4.8		No					0		1	0	3	12	24	28	20	8	2	0	0	32,869	*
84		33	22		-	6	1.7		No					0		0	0	1	6	17	28	26	15	5	1	0	36,831	*
83		33	23		-	5	0.5		No					0		0	0	0	3	10	23	29	23	10	2	0	39,959	*
82		32	23		-	6	0.2		No							0	0	0	1	5	15	28	29	17	5	1	43,296	*
81		32	24		-	5	0.0		No							0	0	0	0	2	9	22	31	25	10	2	44,984	*
80		31	24		-	6	0.0		No							0			0	1	5	15	29	31	16	3	46,182	*
79		31	25		-	5	0.0		No							0			0	0	2	9	24	34	24	7	46,259	*
78		30	25		-	6	Out		No										0	0	1	5	17	33	32	11	46,638	*
77		30	26		-	5	Out		No											0	0	2	12	30	38	18	45,569	*
76		29	26		-	6	Out		No												0	1	7	24	41	27	43,578	*
75		29	27		-	5	Out		No											0	0	0	4	18	42	36	41,481	*
74		28	27		-	6	Out		No												0	0	2	13	40	45	38,317	*
73		28	28		-	5	Out		No												0	0	1	8	35	56	34,847	*
72		27	28		-	6	Out		No													0	0	5	30	65	30,953	*
71		27	29		-	5	Out		No													0	0	3	24	73	27,285	*
70		26	29		-	6	Out		No														0	2	19	80	23,702	*
69		26	30		-	5	Out		No														0	1	15	84	19,865	*
68		25	30		-	6	Out		No														0	0	11	89	16,837	*
67		25	31		-	5	Out		No															0	8	92	13,578	*
66		24	31		-	6	Out		No															0	5	95	10,907	*
65		24	32		-	5	Out		No															0	4	96	8,700	*
64		23	32		-	6	Out		No															0	3	97	6,661	*
63		23	33		-	5	Out		No															0	2	98	5,200	*
62		22	33		-	6	Out		No																1	99	3,871	*
61		22	34		-	5	Out		No																0	100	2,780	*
60		21	34		-	6	Out		No																0	100	2,011	*
59		21	35		-	5	Out		No																0	100	1,409	*
58		20	35		-	6	Out		No																0	100	1,012	*
57		20	36		-	5	Out		No																0	100	646	*
56		19	36		-	6	Out		No																0	100	443	*
12	-55						Out		No																	100	840	*

Total:							9.7	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	7	8	10	13	17	26	874,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes	+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.7-0.9
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars	+0.1+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets	+0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks	+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1*+0.0
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.1+0.1
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning	+0.0-0.1+0.1*+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues	+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.0
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals	+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights	+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks	+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

112	-134						100
111		47	9		-	5		100
110		49	12		-	0	50		50
109		46	10		-	5	100
108		46	11		-	4	64	14	21
107		45	11		-	5	56		33		11
106		44	11		-	6	38	9	34		19
105		44	12		-	5	26	28	16		28		2
104		43	12		-	6	19	21	17		37	2			3				1
103		43	13		-	5	11	19	21	3	33	4	4		4
102		43	14		-	4	4	15	19	5	33	8	4		13				0
101		42	14		-	5	2	11	18	7	32	14	4	0	11	0	0		2		0
100		42	15		-	4	1	7	14	11	20	16	6	0	22	1	0		2		0
99		41	15		-	5	0	5	10	9	13	20	13	0	21	3	1		5	0	0
98		41	16		-	4		2	7	9	7	20	16	1	23	6	2		6		1
97		40	16		-	5		1	3	8	3	19	16	4	21	10	2		11	1	1	0	0
96		40	17		-	4		1	1	5	1	13	15	6	16	18	6	0	15	2	3		0
95		39	17		-	5		0	1	4	0	8	10	9	10	20	10	0	18	4	5	0	0
94		39	18		-	4		0	0	2	0	4	7	10	5	21	12	2	18	9	8	1	1	0
93		38	18		-	5				2		2	3	9	2	17	13	4	14	16	12	2	3	0	0
92		37	18		-	6				1		1	1	7	0	12	11	8	10	20	16	5	5	1	0	0
91		37	19		-	5				0		0	0	5	0	6	7	11	5	22	16	12	11	4	1	0	0	0
90		36	19		-	6				0		0	0	3		3	4	11	2	19	12	19	15	9	4	1	0	0
89		36	20		-	5				0		0	0	2		1	1	10	0	13	5	23	14	16	10	4	1	0	0	0
88		35	20		-	6							0	1		0	0	6	0	7	2	21	9	17	18	11	5	1	0	0	0
87		35	21		-	5								0		0	0	4		3	0	14	4	12	20	20	14	7	2	1	0	0
86		34	21		-	6								0		0	0	2		1	0	8	1	5	13	20	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
85		34	22		-	5								0			0	1		0		3	0	1	5	13	21	22	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
84		33	22		-	6								0			0	0		0		1	0	0	1	5	13	20	23	19	11	4	1	0	0
83		33	23		-	5								0				0		0		0	0	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	12	4	1	0	0	0
82		32	23		-	6												0		0		0		0	0	0	1	5	11	21	24	21	12	4	1	0	0
81		32	24		-	5												0		0		0				0	0	1	5	12	21	25	20	11	4	1	0
80		31	24		-	6												0								0	0	0	2	5	13	23	26	19	9	2	0
79		31	25		-	5												0								0	0	0	0	2	6	16	25	27	17	6	1
78		30	25		-	6																						0	0	1	3	9	20	29	25	12	2
77		30	26		-	5																							0	0	1	4	12	25	31	21	6
76		29	26		-	6																								0	0	1	7	19	32	30	11
75		29	27		-	5																								0	0	0	3	12	29	36	19
74		28	27		-	6																									0	0	1	7	23	41	28
73		28	28		-	5																										0	0	3	16	40	39
72		27	28		-	6																										0	0	2	11	37	50
71		27	29		-	5																											0	1	6	32	61
70		26	29		-	6																											0	0	4	26	70
69		26	30		-	5																											0	0	2	21	77
68		25	30		-	6																												0	1	15	84
67		25	31		-	5																												0	0	11	88
66		24	31		-	6																													0	8	92
65		24	32		-	5																													0	6	94
64		23	32		-	6																													0	4	96
63		23	33		-	5																													0	3	97
62		22	33		-	6																													0	2	98
61		22	34		-	5																														1	99
60		21	34		-	6																														1	99
59		21	35		-	5																														0	100
58		20	35		-	6																														0	100
57		20	36		-	5																														1	99
56		19	36		-	6																														0	100
12	-55																																				100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	7	8	10	13	20