How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg Jets vs Minnesota Wild+4.6+3.9+4.1-1.7-1.2-5.4
+0.4+0.3+0.4-0.3*-0.2-0.4
+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.2-0.1-0.5
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars+0.4*-0.3*-0.1*-0.6*-0.4-0.5
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning-0.5*-0.5*-0.2*+0.2*+0.5+0.3
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights+0.0-0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.0
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks+0.0*-0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.1+0.0
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks+0.0-0.0*-0.0*-0.1+0.0*+0.0
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes-0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Winnipeg Jets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
117-150In98.5%100856*
1164214-6In95.49711474*
1154215-5In95.59900731*
1144216-4In92.398021,197*
1134116-5In88.697121,532*
1124016-6In84.596132,261*
1114017-5In80.7942403,136*
1103917-6In71.4902804,329*
1093918-5In64.987310005,850*
1083818-6In55.983412007,459*
1073819-5In43.875618019,764*
1063719-6In34.26972202012,228*
1053720-5In24.260102703014,999*
1043620-6In15.850123205018,295*
1033621-5In9.03914371801021,925*
1023521-6In4.630154111201025,833*
1013522-5In1.821164231602029,507*
1003422-6100.0%0.6131541422040033,508*
993423-5100.00.271336728071036,607*
983323-699.90.04103010331111040,053*
973324-599.80.02822123521630042,507*
963224-699.6No1514133552350044,749*
953225-598.8No037123182891045,938*
943125-697.0No024102311321530046,480*
933126-593.0No011715133322610046,352*
923026-685.9No00591330281120045,209*
913027-573.9No003412233219610043,567*
902927-657.1No001291530271241040,855*
892928-539.8No0010682430208200037,966*
882828-623.9No003416292615510034,368*
872829-512.2No002192229231030030,789*
862729-65.2No001041327291861026,782*
852730-51.9No00017192926133023,391*
842630-60.7No0013122631207119,935*
832631-50.2No00001618312813216,365*
822531-60.1No0000312283320413,724*
812532-50.0No0017213528811,102*
802432-60.0No0013153236148,674*
792433-5OutNo00192840226,820*
782333-6OutNo0152243295,071*
772334-5OutNo0021643393,867*
762234-6OutNo011138492,844*
752235-5OutNo1535591,966*
742135-6OutNo0429661,400*
732136-5OutNo22177968*
722036-6OutNo021584688*
712037-5OutNo11385522*
701937-6OutNo1090314*
691938-5OutNo0892209*
681838-6OutNo496126*
671940-3OutNo49680*
661739-6OutNo10046*
651740-5OutNo89226*
26-64OutNo10096*
Total:70.3%4.4%10512413412107654332874,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg Jets vs Minnesota Wild-0.9-0.8-0.9+0.3*+0.2+1.1
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues-0.0+0.1*+0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.0
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks-0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.0
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes+0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights-0.0*+0.2+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers-0.0*+0.1-0.0*-0.1-0.1+0.0
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks-0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals+0.0*+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils+0.0*-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
120-150100
1194413-5982
1184414-4991
1174314-5973
1164214-695211
1154215-595400
1144216-492602
1134116-589812
1124016-6851213
1114017-58114240
1103917-6711920800
1093918-56522309000
1083818-656274012000
1073819-544316018001
1063719-6343571211020
1053720-5243591261030
1043620-616351022930500
1033621-5930113325180010
1023521-65251153291110010
1013522-521997281430160020
1003422-61137823184021104000
993423-5075816217026307010
983323-6043892181285111010
973324-502164189326920160300
963224-6114112852114502115000
953225-500307661317702539010
943125-60020336617101266150300
933126-5001011621310322112116100
923026-6000140885151525311200
913027-500030457816258186100
902927-600010226313171324145100
892928-50001015189162321114100
882828-60003043131524211141000
872829-5000211871824211251000
862729-6000100428172422146200
852730-5000010281723221573100
842630-6001013815232316831000
832631-5000000037152322179310
822531-6000000271522241883100
812532-5000027152325177200
802432-600002816242615610
792433-501391927241340
782333-600141224282091
772334-5016162829163
762234-600292432257
752235-501416303414
742135-60211293720
732136-5014214133
722036-613144340
712037-51103851
701937-6153459
691938-5142569
681838-611980
671940-311980
661739-6793
651740-51288
641640-6793
631742-32080
26-62100
Total:4622762285328473543322222111110