New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Beat Montreal Canadiens 2-1, playoff odds up 4.9 to 80.2%

27 points 12 5-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils	-5.1-1.4*-0.5+4.1+3.8+4.5		-1.2*-0.2-0.4+0.7+1.1+1.0		-0.6-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.5
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues					-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes					-0.0+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey Devils finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

121	-151						In		Yes		100																234	*
120		44	13		-	5	In		99.2	%	99		1														131	*
119		44	14		-	4	In		98.5		99	1															200	*
118		43	14		-	5	In		98.1		98	1	1														308	*
117		42	14		-	6	In		98.4		99	0	0														444	*
116		42	15		-	5	In		96.6		97	2	1														708	*
115		41	15		-	6	In		94.8		96	2	2														1,150	*
114		41	16		-	5	In		92.3		94	3	2														1,591	*
113		41	17		-	4	In		88.4		92	4	4		0												2,265	*
112		40	17		-	5	In		84.7		90	6	4		0												3,198	*
111		40	18		-	4	In		77.4		86	8	6	0	0												4,440	*
110		39	18		-	5	In		69.2		80	11	8	0	0												5,873	*
109		38	18		-	6	In		60.3		74	13	12	0	0												7,526	*
108		38	19		-	5	In		51.1		68	17	14	0	0												9,828	*
107		37	19		-	6	In		41.4		62	20	17	0	1												12,336	*
106		37	20		-	5	In		30.5		53	24	22	0	1		0										15,193	*
105		36	20		-	6	In		20.8		43	27	27	1	2		0										18,392	*
104		36	21		-	5	In		12.9		35	28	32	2	3	0	0										22,112	*
103		35	21		-	6	In		7.0		27	31	35	3	5	0	0										25,670	*
102		35	22		-	5	In		3.4		19	30	38	5	7	0	0										29,527	*
101		34	22		-	6	In		1.3		13	29	39	8	10	0	1	0									33,509	*
100		34	23		-	5	In		0.4		8	27	38	12	14	0	1	0									36,776	*
99		33	23		-	6	In		0.1		4	23	34	17	19	1	2	0									40,135	*
98		33	24		-	5	In		0.0		2	19	28	22	24	2	4	0									42,757	*
97		32	24		-	6	100.0	%	No		1	14	21	26	28	4	6	0	0								44,554	*
96		32	25		-	5	100.0		0.0		0	10	14	28	29	7	10	1	0								45,989	*
95		31	25		-	6	99.9		No		0	7	8	28	29	13	14	2	0	0							46,584	*
94		31	26		-	5	99.5		No		0	4	5	25	25	18	18	4	0	0							46,369	*
93		30	26		-	6	98.3		No		0	2	2	20	19	24	22	8	2	0	0						45,082	*
92		30	27		-	5	95.4		No		0	1	1	15	13	28	24	14	4	1	0						43,255	*
91		29	27		-	6	89.6		No		0	1	0	11	7	28	23	20	8	2	0	0					40,943	*
90		29	28		-	5	79.0		No			0	0	7	3	25	19	24	15	5	1	0	0				37,809	*
89		28	28		-	6	64.6		No			0	0	4	1	21	14	24	21	11	3	1	0				34,240	*
88		28	29		-	5	47.1		No			0		2	0	15	8	21	25	18	7	2	0	0	0		30,599	*
87		27	29		-	6	30.7		No			0		1	0	10	4	15	26	24	13	4	1	0	0		26,885	*
86		27	30		-	5	17.2		No					0	0	6	2	9	22	28	21	9	2	0	0		23,256	*
85		26	30		-	6	8.3		No			0		0		3	1	4	15	26	27	17	6	1	0		19,838	*
84		26	31		-	5	3.5		No					0		2	0	2	8	21	29	24	12	3	0	0	16,581	*
83		25	31		-	6	1.6		No					0		1	0	1	4	14	25	29	19	7	1	0	13,495	*
82		25	32		-	5	0.6		No							0	0	0	1	7	19	29	26	13	3	0	10,820	*
81		24	32		-	6	0.2		No					0		0		0	0	3	12	24	32	20	7	1	8,624	*
80		24	33		-	5	0.0		No							0		0	0	1	7	18	31	29	13	2	6,745	*
79		23	33		-	6	Out		No										0	0	3	13	28	31	20	5	5,223	*
78		23	34		-	5	Out		No											0	1	8	22	33	28	8	3,822	*
77		22	34		-	6	Out		No												0	3	13	33	37	13	2,824	*
76		22	35		-	5	Out		No													1	8	28	42	21	2,081	*
75		21	35		-	6	Out		No												0	0	5	22	43	29	1,441	*
74		21	36		-	5	Out		No													0	3	15	44	37	998	*
73		20	36		-	6	Out		No														2	12	39	48	680	*
72		20	37		-	5	Out		No															8	35	57	434	*
71		19	37		-	6	Out		No														0	4	28	68	305	*
70		19	38		-	5	Out		No															3	20	76	203	*
69		19	39		-	4	Out		No															3	15	82	126	*
68		18	39		-	5	Out		No																16	84	77	*
67		18	40		-	4	Out		No																24	76	29	*
66		17	40		-	5	Out		No																8	92	24	*
65		16	40		-	6	Out		No																7	93	14	*
64		16	41		-	5	Out		No																14	86	7	*
63		15	41		-	6	Out		No																	100	7	*
62		15	42		-	5	Out		No																100		1
27	-61						Out		No																	100	73	*

Total:							80.2	%	5.3	%	10	11	13	11	12	9	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	0	874,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils	+1.1+0.3+0.2-0.9-0.9-1.0
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets	-0.1*-0.1-0.0+0.1-0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins	+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.1*+0.1-0.1
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	+0.0-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals	-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1+0.1
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks	-0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres	-0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0
Winnipeg Jets vs Minnesota Wild	-0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars	+0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

121	-151						100
120		44	13		-	5	99				1
119		44	14		-	4	99	1	1
118		43	14		-	5	98	0	1		1
117		42	14		-	6	98	1	0		0
116		42	15		-	5	97	1	2		1
115		41	15		-	6	95	1	2		2
114		41	16		-	5	92	2	3		2
113		41	17		-	4	88	3	4		4				0
112		40	17		-	5	85	6	6	0	4				0
111		40	18		-	4	77	8	8	0	6		0		0
110		39	18		-	5	69	11	11		8	0	0		0
109		38	18		-	6	60	14	13	0	12	0	0		0
108		38	19		-	5	51	17	17	0	14	0	0		0
107		37	19		-	6	41	20	20	0	17	0	0		1
106		37	20		-	5	30	22	23	1	21	1	0		1	0			0
105		36	20		-	6	21	23	26	1	25	2	1		2	0			0
104		36	21		-	5	13	23	26	3	28	3	2		3	0	0		0
103		35	21		-	6	7	20	26	4	29	6	3	0	5	0	0		0
102		35	22		-	5	3	16	24	7	29	10	5	0	7	0	0		0
101		34	22		-	6	1	12	20	9	24	15	8	0	10	1	0		1		0
100		34	23		-	5	0	7	16	12	19	19	11	0	13	1	0		1	0	0
99		33	23		-	6	0	4	10	12	12	22	15	1	16	3	1	0	2	0	0
98		33	24		-	5	0	2	6	13	6	22	19	3	17	7	2		4	0	0
97		32	24		-	6		1	3	11	2	19	20	6	16	11	4	0	5	0	0	0	0
96		32	25		-	5	0	0	1	9	1	14	18	10	13	17	7	0	8	1	1	0	0
95		31	25		-	6		0	1	6	0	8	13	14	8	21	11	1	10	3	2	0	0	0
94		31	26		-	5		0	0	4	0	5	8	16	4	22	15	3	11	7	4	0	0	0
93		30	26		-	6		0	0	2	0	2	4	16	1	18	16	8	10	13	7	1	2	0	0
92		30	27		-	5		0	0	1		1	2	13	0	12	14	14	6	18	10	4	4	1	0	0
91		29	27		-	6		0		1		0	1	10	0	7	9	19	3	20	10	10	7	3	1	0	0	0
90		29	28		-	5				0		0	0	7	0	3	5	20	1	18	7	17	10	7	3	1	0	0
89		28	28		-	6				0		0	0	4		1	2	19	0	13	3	21	10	12	8	4	1	0	0		0
88		28	29		-	5				0			0	2		0	1	15	0	8	1	20	7	13	15	11	5	2	0	0
87		27	29		-	6				0				1		0	0	10		4	0	15	3	9	16	18	13	7	2	1	0	0
86		27	30		-	5								0		0	0	6		2	0	9	1	4	10	19	21	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
85		26	30		-	6				0				0			0	3		1		4	0	1	5	11	20	22	18	10	4	1	0	0
84		26	31		-	5								0				2		0		2	0	0	1	4	12	20	23	19	11	4	1	0	0	0
83		25	31		-	6								0				1		0		1	0	0	0	1	5	11	20	24	20	12	4	1	0	0
82		25	32		-	5												0		0		0			0	0	1	5	11	21	24	20	11	4	1	0	0
81		24	32		-	6								0				0				0				0	0	1	5	12	21	25	21	11	3	1
80		24	33		-	5												0				0				0	0	0	1	6	14	24	26	18	9	2	0
79		23	33		-	6																					0	0	0	2	7	17	25	27	16	5	1
78		23	34		-	5																						0	0	0	3	9	22	27	24	12	2
77		22	34		-	6																							0	0	1	4	13	26	31	20	5
76		22	35		-	5																									0	2	6	19	33	29	10
75		21	35		-	6																										0	3	14	30	36	17
74		21	36		-	5																										0	1	9	23	41	25
73		20	36		-	6																										0	1	5	17	42	35
72		20	37		-	5																												2	12	40	46
71		19	37		-	6																												1	6	34	59
70		19	38		-	5																												0	5	25	69
69		19	39		-	4																													4	22	74
68		18	39		-	5																														17	83
67		18	40		-	4																													3	24	72
66		17	40		-	5																														8	92
65		16	40		-	6																														7	93
64		16	41		-	5																														14	86
63		15	41		-	6																															100
62		15	42		-	5																														100
27	-61																																				100

Total:							5	4	6	4	7	7	6	5	5	6	4	5	3	5	2	4	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0