San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 38.9%

22 points 9 9-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks	-5.0*-0.8-1.4+4.0+4.2+4.3		-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.4+0.3		-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.5
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes					+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks					-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins					-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose Sharks finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

115	-142						In		97.8	%	100																138	*
114		44	12		-	4	In		85.4		98	2															48	*
113		44	13		-	3	In		91.6		96	4															95	*
112		43	13		-	4	In		84.2		95	5	1														152	*
111		42	13		-	5	In		74.9		92	8															255	*
110		42	14		-	4	In		67.8		89	9	2														423	*
109		41	14		-	5	In		61.9		85	13	3														591	*
108		41	15		-	4	In		50.8		82	14	4				0										974	*
107		40	15		-	5	In		38.6		70	23	7	0	0												1,289	*
106		40	16		-	4	In		29.8		66	24	10		0												1,904	*
105		39	16		-	5	In		21.7		56	32	11	1	0												2,814	*
104		39	17		-	4	In		13.5		45	37	16	1	1		0										3,819	*
103		38	17		-	5	In		6.8		34	43	19	2	2	0	0										5,156	*
102		38	18		-	4	In		3.2		24	46	22	4	3	0	0										6,915	*
101		37	18		-	5	In		1.1		16	46	25	8	5	0	0	0									8,965	*
100		37	19		-	4	In		0.3		10	44	24	13	8	1	1	0									11,281	*
99		36	19		-	5	In		0.1		6	39	22	19	11	1	1	0									14,418	*
98		35	19		-	6	100.0	%	0.0		2	34	18	26	14	3	3	0	0								17,235	*
97		35	20		-	5	100.0		0.0		1	26	13	31	17	6	5	1	0	0							21,221	*
96		34	20		-	6	99.8		No		0	19	8	34	17	12	8	2	0	0							25,163	*
95		34	21		-	5	99.2		No		0	13	4	33	16	19	11	4	1	0	0						28,704	*
94		33	21		-	6	97.5		No		0	8	2	29	12	26	14	8	2	0	0						32,499	*
93		33	22		-	5	93.0		No			5	1	23	7	30	15	12	6	1	0	0					36,242	*
92		32	22		-	6	84.8		No			2	0	16	4	31	14	17	11	4	1	0	0				39,629	*
91		32	23		-	5	71.1		No			1	0	10	1	28	10	20	18	8	2	0	0				42,697	*
90		31	23		-	6	53.6		No			1	0	6	0	22	7	18	23	16	6	1	0	0			44,796	*
89		31	24		-	5	36.1		No			0		3	0	15	4	14	24	23	12	3	1	0			46,855	*
88		30	24		-	6	21.4		No			0		2	0	10	1	8	21	27	20	8	2	0	0		47,406	*
87		30	25		-	5	10.8		No			0		1	0	6	0	4	15	27	27	15	5	1	0		47,539	*
86		29	25		-	6	4.9		No			0		0		3	0	2	8	22	30	23	10	2	0		45,989	*
85		29	26		-	5	2.0		No					0		1	0	1	4	15	28	29	17	5	1		44,237	*
84		28	26		-	6	0.7		No					0		1	0	0	2	8	22	32	25	9	1		41,861	*
83		28	27		-	5	0.2		No					0		0	0	0	1	4	15	29	32	16	3		39,037	*
82		27	27		-	6	0.1		No							0		0	0	2	9	23	35	25	6		35,339	*
81		27	28		-	5	0.0		No							0		0	0	1	5	17	34	33	11		31,647	*
80		26	28		-	6	0.0		No							0				0	2	11	30	38	18		27,688	*
79		26	29		-	5	0.0		No							0				0	1	6	24	42	27		24,022	*
78		25	29		-	6	Out		No											0	0	3	18	43	36		20,301	*
77		25	30		-	5	Out		No											0	0	2	12	41	45		16,757	*
76		24	30		-	6	Out		No												0	1	8	36	55		13,894	*
75		24	31		-	5	Out		No													0	5	31	64		11,069	*
74		23	31		-	6	Out		No													0	3	25	72		8,673	*
73		23	32		-	5	Out		No													0	1	21	78		6,768	*
72		22	32		-	6	Out		No													0	1	14	85		4,987	*
71		22	33		-	5	Out		No														0	11	89		3,782	*
70		22	34		-	4	Out		No														0	8	92		2,761	*
69		21	34		-	5	Out		No														0	6	94		1,989	*
68		21	35		-	4	Out		No														0	4	96		1,408	*
67		20	35		-	5	Out		No															3	97		988	*
66		19	35		-	6	Out		No															2	98		665	*
65		19	36		-	5	Out		No															1	99		449	*
64		18	36		-	6	Out		No															0	100		273	*
63		18	37		-	5	Out		No															1	99		182	*
22	-62						Out		No																100		351	*

Total:							38.9	%	0.5	%	2	6	2	8	3	9	4	5	7	8	9	9	10	9	9		874,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks	+1.1+0.1+0.3-0.9-0.9-0.9
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.2+0.0
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets	-0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals	+0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0
Winnipeg Jets vs Minnesota Wild	+0.0-0.1+0.0-0.1*+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins	+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights	-0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.0
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning	-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1*-0.0-0.0
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers	-0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

117	-142						100
116		46	12		-	2	87	13
115		44	11		-	5	97	3
114		44	12		-	4	85	13	2
113		44	13		-	3	92	4	4
112		43	13		-	4	84	11	5		1
111		42	13		-	5	75	17	8
110		42	14		-	4	68	21	9		2
109		41	14		-	5	62	23	12	0	3
108		41	15		-	4	51	31	14	0	4	0							0
107		40	15		-	5	39	31	22	1	7	0	0		0
106		40	16		-	4	30	36	22	2	9	0			0
105		39	16		-	5	22	34	28	4	10	1	1		0
104		39	17		-	4	13	31	31	7	14	2	1		1				0
103		38	17		-	5	7	27	32	11	16	3	2		2		0		0
102		38	18		-	4	3	21	30	15	17	6	4	0	3		0		0
101		37	18		-	5	1	15	26	20	17	8	8	0	5	0	0		0		0
100		37	19		-	4	0	10	19	25	13	11	13	1	7	1	1		1	0	0
99		36	19		-	5	0	5	13	26	9	14	18	1	10	1	1		1		0
98		35	19		-	6	0	2	8	26	5	13	21	4	11	3	3	0	3	0	0		0
97		35	20		-	5	0	1	4	22	2	11	23	8	12	5	6	0	5	0	1		0	0
96		34	20		-	6		0	2	18	0	7	21	14	9	8	12	0	7	0	2		0	0
95		34	21		-	5		0	1	12	0	4	15	18	6	10	17	1	9	1	4	0	1	0	0
94		33	21		-	6		0	0	8	0	2	9	20	3	9	22	4	11	3	7	0	2	0	0
93		33	22		-	5			0	5		1	4	19	1	6	22	8	10	6	11	1	6	1	0	0
92		32	22		-	6			0	2		0	2	14	0	4	17	14	6	8	15	2	11	4	1	0	0
91		32	23		-	5				1		0	1	10	0	1	11	17	3	8	14	6	17	9	3	0	0
90		31	23		-	6				1		0	0	6		0	5	17	1	6	9	9	20	17	8	2	0	0	0
89		31	24		-	5				0			0	3		0	2	13	0	3	4	10	17	23	16	7	2	0	0	0
88		30	24		-	6				0			0	2		0	1	9	0	1	1	7	9	20	23	16	7	2	0	0	0
87		30	25		-	5				0				1		0	0	5		0	0	4	4	12	22	23	16	8	3	1	0
86		29	25		-	6				0				0			0	3		0	0	2	1	5	13	21	23	18	9	4	1	0	0
85		29	26		-	5								0			0	1		0	0	1	0	1	5	12	20	23	19	11	4	1	0	0	0
84		28	26		-	6								0			0	0		0		0	0	0	1	5	11	20	24	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
83		28	27		-	5								0				0		0		0	0	0	0	1	4	11	20	24	21	12	5	1	0	0
82		27	27		-	6												0				0			0	0	1	4	11	20	25	21	12	4	1	0	0
81		27	28		-	5												0				0				0	0	1	5	12	21	25	21	11	3	1	0
80		26	28		-	6												0								0	0	0	2	5	13	23	27	19	8	2	0
79		26	29		-	5												0									0	0	0	2	7	16	26	27	17	5	1
78		25	29		-	6																						0	0	1	2	9	21	29	25	11	2
77		25	30		-	5																							0	0	1	4	14	26	31	19	4
76		24	30		-	6																								0	0	2	7	20	32	29	10
75		24	31		-	5																								0	0	1	3	14	30	36	17
74		23	31		-	6																									0	0	2	7	25	40	26
73		23	32		-	5																										0	1	4	19	42	35
72		22	32		-	6																											0	2	13	38	47
71		22	33		-	5																											0	1	8	34	57
70		22	34		-	4																											0	0	5	29	66
69		21	34		-	5																												0	3	23	74
68		21	35		-	4																													2	19	80
67		20	35		-	5																													1	14	85
66		19	35		-	6																												0	0	8	91
65		19	36		-	5																													0	9	91
64		18	36		-	6																														5	95
63		18	37		-	5																														3	97
62		18	38		-	4																														3	97
61		17	38		-	5																															100
60		16	38		-	6																														5	95
22	-59																																				100

Total:							1	1	2	4	1	1	3	5	1	2	5	5	2	2	3	2	4	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	2