Minnesota Wild Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 2.7%

55 points 24 31-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks 5 Canucks 3	+0.4		-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jackets vs Wild	-1.3-0.5-0.4+0.9+1.0+1.1		-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3
Oilers vs Jets	+0.3-0.1-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Lightning vs Ducks			+0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Stars vs Flames			-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Wild finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

95		20	0		-	0	99.5	%	No				14	7	70	4	5	1								200
94		19	0		-	1	In		No				7		67	13	13									15
93		18	0		-	2	In		No				2	2	60	11	26									62	*
92		18	1		-	1	96.1		No						52	9	35	4								181	*
91		17	1		-	2	92.0		No				0		49	7	35	8								662	*
90		17	2		-	1	86.4		No				0		37	4	45	13	0							1,627	*
89		16	2		-	2	77.6		No					0	26	2	49	21	2							3,881	*
88		16	3		-	1	65.4		No				0		18	2	46	31	4	0						7,988	*
87		15	3		-	2	51.7		No				0		11	1	40	40	8	0						15,547	*
86		15	4		-	1	37.1		No						6	0	30	48	15	0						27,195	*
85		14	4		-	2	24.6		No				0		3	0	21	50	24	1	0					45,146	*
84		14	5		-	1	15.0		No						2	0	13	48	34	3	0					32,053
		13	4		-	3	13.7		No						1	0	12	47	35	4	0					35,933	*
83		13	5		-	2	7.4		No						1	0	7	40	45	8	0	0				97,621	*
82		12	5		-	3	3.2		No						0		3	28	51	16	2	0				57,981
		13	6		-	1	3.4		No						0		3	29	51	15	1	0				71,448	*
81		12	6		-	2	1.3		No						0		1	19	51	25	4	0	0			89,578
		11	5		-	4	1.3		No						0		1	18	50	26	4	0	0			74,036	*
80		11	6		-	3	0.4		No						0		0	10	43	36	10	1	0			87,739
		12	7		-	1	0.4		No						0		0	10	44	35	9	1	0			105,114	*
79		11	7		-	2	0.1		No						0		0	5	33	42	18	3	0			116,525
		10	6		-	4	0.1		No						0		0	4	31	42	20	3	0			58,715
		12	8		-	0	0.1		No						0		0	5	34	41	17	3	0			40,449	*
78		10	7		-	3	0.0		No						0		0	2	20	41	29	7	1			103,839
		11	8		-	1	0.0		No								0	2	21	42	29	7	0			122,017	*
77		10	8		-	2	0.0		No								0	1	11	35	37	14	2			121,212
		9	7		-	4	0.0		No								0	0	10	33	39	16	2			62,996
		11	9		-	0	0.0		No								0	1	12	35	37	14	2			42,136	*
76		9	8		-	3	Out		No									0	4	23	42	26	5			129,069	*
		10	9		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	6	26	41	23	4			83,014
75		9	9		-	2	Out		No									0	2	15	39	35	9			100,948
		8	8		-	4	Out		No									0	2	13	38	36	11			53,973
		10	10		-	0	Out		No									0	2	16	39	34	9			35,754	*
74		8	9		-	3	Out		No									0	1	7	30	44	18			74,402
		9	10		-	1	Out		No									0	1	8	31	43	18			86,807	*
73		8	10		-	2	Out		No										0	3	21	46	29			68,838
		7	9		-	4	Out		No									0	0	3	21	46	30			60,350	*
72		7	10		-	3	Out		No										0	1	12	43	44			45,247
		8	11		-	1	Out		No										0	1	13	43	43			52,764	*
71		7	11		-	2	Out		No										0	0	7	37	56			38,379
		6	10		-	4	Out		No										0	0	6	36	57			32,475	*
70		6	11		-	3	Out		No											0	3	27	70			47,861	*
69		6	12		-	2	Out		No											0	1	19	79			30,537	*
68		5	12		-	3	Out		No											0	0	12	87			18,395	*
67		5	13		-	2	Out		No												0	8	92			10,709	*
66		5	14		-	1	Out		No												0	5	95			5,453	*
65		4	14		-	2	Out		No													2	98			2,744	*
64		4	15		-	1	Out		No													1	99			1,249	*
63		3	15		-	2	Out		No													0	100			545	*
55	-62						Out		No														100			531	*

Total:							2.7	%	No				0	0	0	0	2	9	20	21	20	16	12			2,401,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Blue Jackets vs Wild	+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Lightning vs Ducks	-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Stars vs Flames	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

95		20	0		-	0							3	11	3	5	62	9	4	1	5		1
94		19	0		-	1								7			33	33	13		13
93		18	0		-	2								2		2	19	40	5	6	23	3
92		18	1		-	1											13	39	2	7	24	11	4
91		17	1		-	2								0			8	42	0	7	14	21	6	1	1	0
90		17	2		-	1								0			3	34	0	4	9	36	7	4	2	0
89		16	2		-	2										0	0	26	0	2	3	46	6	7	6	3	1	0
88		16	3		-	1								0			0	18	0	2	1	45	3	7	11	8	3	1	0	0
87		15	3		-	2								0				11		1	0	40	1	5	12	15	11	4	1	0
86		15	4		-	1												6		0	0	30	0	2	8	17	20	11	3	0	0
85		14	4		-	2								0				3		0		21	0	1	3	13	23	22	11	2	0	0
84		14	5		-	1												2		0		13	0	0	1	6	18	29	22	8	1	0	0
83		13	5		-	2												1		0		7	0	0	0	2	10	25	31	19	5	1	0
		12	4		-	4												1		0		7		0	0	2	9	24	31	20	6	1	0
82		12	5		-	3												0				3			0	0	3	14	30	32	15	3	0	0
		13	6		-	1												0				3			0	0	4	15	30	30	14	3	0
81		12	6		-	2												0				1			0	0	1	6	22	35	26	8	1	0
		11	5		-	4												0				1				0	1	5	19	34	29	10	1	0
80		11	6		-	3												0				0				0	0	2	10	28	36	20	5	0	0
		12	7		-	1												0				0				0	0	2	11	29	35	19	4	0	0
79		11	7		-	2												0				0					0	0	4	17	35	31	11	2	0	0
		10	6		-	4												0				0					0	0	4	17	35	31	12	2	0
78		10	7		-	3												0				0					0	0	1	7	25	37	23	6	1	0
		11	8		-	1																0					0	0	1	8	28	37	21	5	0	0
		9	6		-	5																0						0	1	5	23	37	26	7	1	0
77		10	8		-	2																0						0	0	3	15	34	33	13	2	0
		9	7		-	4																0						0	0	2	13	32	35	15	3	0
		11	9		-	0																0					0	0	0	3	18	35	31	11	2	0
76		9	8		-	3																							0	0	6	23	38	26	7	1
		10	9		-	1																0						0	0	1	7	26	38	22	5	0
75		9	9		-	2																							0	0	2	14	35	34	13	2
		8	8		-	4																								0	2	12	33	36	16	2
74		8	9		-	3																								0	1	6	24	39	25	5
		9	10		-	1																								0	1	6	25	39	24	5
73		8	10		-	2																									0	2	15	38	34	10
		7	9		-	4																								0	0	2	14	36	36	11
72		7	10		-	3																									0	1	7	29	43	21
		8	11		-	1																									0	1	8	29	43	19
71		7	11		-	2																									0	0	3	20	45	31
		6	10		-	4																									0	0	3	19	45	33
70		6	11		-	3																										0	1	11	42	46
69		6	12		-	2																										0	0	6	35	59
68		5	12		-	3																											0	3	26	71
67		5	13		-	2																											0	1	18	81
66		5	14		-	1																												0	12	88
65		4	14		-	2																												0	7	93
64		4	15		-	1																												0	4	96
63		3	15		-	2																													2	98
62		3	16		-	1																													1	99
55	-61																																			100

Total:													0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	10	14	16	16	14	10	6