Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50Beat Sabres 4-2, playoff odds up 9.7 to 52.7% 71 points 32 25-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Tuesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Maple Leafs 4 Sabres 2 | +9.3 | | +0.6 | | Devils 2 Oilers 3 | +0.9 | | | | Coyotes 2 Bruins 3 | *-0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Lightning vs Ducks | -1.0-1.1-0.9*+0.4*+0.3+1.3 | | -0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | Blue Jackets vs Wild | -1.1-0.8-0.9*+0.3*+0.3+1.2 | | -0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | Rangers vs Blackhawks | -0.7-0.7-0.7*+0.2*+0.2+0.9 | | -0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | Penguins vs Flyers | -0.4-0.5*-0.3*-0.0*+0.1+0.5 | | | | Senators vs Red Wings | -0.3*-0.1*-0.4*+0.1*+0.2+0.3 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Maple Leafs finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 18 | 0 | - | 0 | In | No | 15 | 30 | 55 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 206 | | 106 | | 17 | 0 | - | 1 | In | No | 6 | 39 | 56 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 36 | | 105 | | 17 | 1 | - | 0 | In | No | 3 | 15 | 79 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 194 | * | 104 | | 16 | 1 | - | 1 | In | No | 1 | 16 | 74 | 3 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 645 | * | 103 | | 15 | 1 | - | 2 | In | No | 0 | 10 | 74 | 5 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,898 | * | 102 | | 15 | 2 | - | 1 | In | No | 0 | 6 | 67 | 8 | 18 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 4,502 | * | 101 | | 14 | 2 | - | 2 | In | No | 0 | 3 | 56 | 13 | 27 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 9,973 | * | 100 | | 14 | 3 | - | 1 | In | No | 0 | 2 | 41 | 16 | 38 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 18,982 | * | 99 | | 13 | 3 | - | 2 | In | No | | 1 | 27 | 18 | 48 | 2 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 34,844 | * | 98 | | 13 | 4 | - | 1 | In | No | | 0 | 15 | 17 | 54 | 4 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 56,145 | * | 97 | | 12 | 4 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | No | | 0 | 7 | 13 | 52 | 9 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 49,568 | | | 13 | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | | No | | 0 | 7 | 14 | 51 | 9 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 36,217 | * | 96 | | 12 | 5 | - | 1 | 99.9 | | No | | 0 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 15 | 26 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | 61,822 | * | | 11 | 4 | - | 3 | 99.8 | | No | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 16 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 56,720 | * | 95 | | 11 | 5 | - | 2 | 99.4 | | No | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 121,787 | * | | 10 | 4 | - | 4 | 99.0 | | No | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 36,220 | * | 94 | | 11 | 6 | - | 1 | 97.0 | | No | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | 41 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 109,879 | * | | 10 | 5 | - | 3 | 96.4 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 21 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 80,142 | | 93 | | 10 | 6 | - | 2 | 89.7 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 125,155 | | | 9 | 5 | - | 4 | 86.6 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 49,277 | | | 11 | 7 | - | 0 | 90.7 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 47,419 | * | 92 | | 10 | 7 | - | 1 | 76.8 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 110,301 | | | 9 | 6 | - | 3 | 71.2 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 124,034 | * | 91 | | 9 | 7 | - | 2 | 52.7 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 134,787 | | | 8 | 6 | - | 4 | 47.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 55,623 | | | 10 | 8 | - | 0 | 55.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 50,144 | * | 90 | | 9 | 8 | - | 1 | 31.9 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 104,253 | | | 8 | 7 | - | 3 | 26.2 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 121,777 | * | 89 | | 8 | 8 | - | 2 | 13.3 | | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | 150,694 | * | | 7 | 7 | - | 4 | 9.6 | | No | | | | | | 1 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 54,695 | * | 88 | | 8 | 9 | - | 1 | 4.2 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 96,853 | * | | 7 | 8 | - | 3 | 3.5 | | No | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 74,694 | | 87 | | 7 | 9 | - | 2 | 1.0 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 77,053 | | | 6 | 8 | - | 4 | 0.9 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 60,536 | * | 86 | | 7 | 10 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 0 | | 47,372 | | | 6 | 9 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | | 53,922 | * | 85 | | 6 | 10 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 1 | | 72,527 | * | 84 | | 6 | 11 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 47,244 | * | 83 | | 5 | 11 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 29,457 | * | 82 | | 5 | 12 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 41 | 18 | 0 | 16,941 | * | 81 | | 4 | 12 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 32 | 0 | 9,139 | * | 80 | | 4 | 13 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 46 | 0 | 4,572 | * | 79 | | 3 | 13 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 35 | 57 | 1 | 2,114 | * | 78 | | 3 | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 25 | 70 | 3 | 850 | * | 77 | | 2 | 14 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 19 | 71 | 8 | 351 | * | 76 | | 2 | 15 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 84 | 7 | 116 | * | 75 | | 1 | 15 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 73 | 22 | 51 | * | 74 | | 1 | 16 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 56 | 44 | 9 | * | 73 | | 0 | 16 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 71 | | 0 | 18 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 48 | 52 | 199 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 52.7 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2,401,940 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesTuesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Maple Leafs 4 Sabres 2 | -0.9 | | Devils 2 Oilers 3 | -0.1 | | Coyotes 2 Bruins 3 | +0.1 | | Panthers 2 Rangers 1 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Wednesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Lightning vs Ducks | +0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Blue Jackets vs Wild | +0.1+0.0+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Rangers vs Blackhawks | +0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 18 | 0 | - | 0 | | 15 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 26 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 17 | 0 | - | 1 | | 6 | | 39 | 6 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 17 | 1 | - | 0 | | 3 | 1 | 14 | 16 | 63 | 1 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 16 | 1 | - | 1 | | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | 61 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 15 | 1 | - | 2 | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 69 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 15 | 2 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 65 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 4 | | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 14 | 2 | - | 2 | | 0 | | 3 | 1 | 55 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 10 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 14 | 3 | - | 1 | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 41 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 19 | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 13 | 3 | - | 2 | | | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 13 | 4 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 12 | 4 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 5 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | | 7 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 12 | 5 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 4 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 4 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 11 | 5 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 4 | - | 4 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 19 | 21 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 94 | | 11 | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 17 | 4 | 16 | 26 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 5 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | | 10 | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 29 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 5 | - | 4 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 26 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 10 | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 34 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 6 | - | 3 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 35 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 91 | | 9 | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 3 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 6 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 3 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 90 | | 9 | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 7 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 89 | | 8 | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 7 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 88 | | 8 | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 7 | 8 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 87 | | 7 | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 6 | 8 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 86 | | 7 | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 6 | 9 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 85 | | 6 | 10 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 84 | | 6 | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 83 | | 5 | 11 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 82 | | 5 | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | 81 | | 4 | 12 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | | | | 80 | | 4 | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | | | 79 | | 3 | 13 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 1 | | | 78 | | 3 | 14 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | 77 | | 2 | 14 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 9 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 9 | 2 | | 76 | | 2 | 15 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 35 | 34 | 18 | 3 | | 75 | | 1 | 15 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 16 | 25 | 33 | 18 | | 74 | | 1 | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 56 | 33 | | 73 | | 0 | 16 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 71 | | 0 | 18 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 20 | 52 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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