Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.99%

85 points 41 18-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Devils 2 Oilers 3	-1.0
Canadiens 4 Blackhawks 3	+0.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Senators vs Red Wings	-2.2-0.7-0.7+1.4+1.9+1.9		-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Oilers vs Jets	-1.1-1.1-0.9*+0.1+0.3+1.3
Kings vs Islanders	+0.5+0.0+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.4		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Blackhawks	+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.4-0.4
Stars vs Flames	+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Red Wings finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

123	-125						In		98.5	%	100																269	*
122		18	1		-	1	In		94.8		99	1															174	*
121		17	1		-	2	In		93.3		100	0															657	*
120		17	2		-	1	In		89.9		99	1															1,592	*
119		16	2		-	2	In		82.3		99	1															3,838	*
118		16	3		-	1	In		74.2		97	3															7,952	*
117		15	3		-	2	In		65.9		95	5															15,656	*
116		15	4		-	1	In		54.2		92	8	0														27,173	*
115		14	4		-	2	In		42.4		88	12	0														45,164	*
114		14	5		-	1	In		30.5		83	17	0														67,718	*
113		13	5		-	2	In		20.3		76	24	0														54,895
		12	4		-	4	In		20.0		76	24	0														42,833	*
112		12	5		-	3	In		11.4		68	32	0														57,801
		13	6		-	1	In		12.2		68	32	0														71,631	*
111		12	6		-	2	In		6.3		59	41	0														89,768
		11	5		-	4	In		6.1		59	41	0														73,624	*
110		11	6		-	3	In		2.5		49	50	0														87,403
		12	7		-	1	In		2.8		49	51	0														104,663	*
109		11	7		-	2	In		1.2		40	59	1	0													147,304	*
		10	6		-	4	In		0.9		39	60	1														68,204	*
108		10	7		-	3	In		0.3		30	68	2	0													103,885
		11	8		-	1	In		0.3		30	68	2	0													121,824	*
107		10	8		-	2	In		0.1		22	74	4	0	0												121,322
		9	7		-	4	In		0.1		22	74	4	0	0												105,561	*
106		9	8		-	3	In		0.0		15	78	6	0	0												98,113
		10	9		-	1	In		0.0		15	78	6	0	0												114,085	*
105		9	9		-	2	In		0.0		10	80	10	0	0												101,542
		8	8		-	4	In		0.0		10	80	10	0	0												53,779
		10	10		-	0	In		0.0		10	80	11	0	0												35,809	*
104		8	9		-	3	In		No		6	78	15	0	0												74,342
		9	10		-	1	In		No		6	78	15	0	0												86,345	*
103		8	10		-	2	In		No		3	74	21	1	0												69,814
		7	9		-	4	In		No		3	74	22	1	0												60,587	*
102		7	10		-	3	In		No		2	66	28	4	1												59,056	*
		8	11		-	1	In		No		2	66	29	3	1		0										39,234
101		7	11		-	2	In		No		1	56	34	7	2	0	0										70,591	*
100		6	11		-	3	In		No		0	45	37	13	4	0	0										47,871	*
99		6	12		-	2	In		No		0	33	36	21	9	0	0										30,741	*
98		5	12		-	3	In		No		0	21	30	31	16	1	1										18,027	*
97		5	13		-	2	In		No			12	21	37	23	4	3	0									10,604	*
96		5	14		-	1	100.0	%	No			7	10	37	28	10	6	0	0								5,394	*
95		4	14		-	2	99.9		No			3	4	32	26	20	13	2	0								2,768	*
94		4	15		-	1	98.8		No			1	2	22	20	28	18	7	1	0							1,266	*
93		3	15		-	2	95.5		No			1		12	9	32	27	15	4	1							579	*
92		3	16		-	1	87.2		No					2	2	37	17	28	11	2							180	*
91		2	16		-	2	63.2		No					3		12	13	35	28	7	1						68	*
90		2	17		-	1	35.0		No							10	5	20	40	20	5						20	*
89		2	18		-	0	23.1		No								8	15	31	15	15	15					13	*
88		1	18		-	1	50.0		No									50				50					2
85		0	20		-	0	Out		No										1	3	18	30	37	11	1		199

Total:							100.0	%	5.4	%	32	57	8	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		2,401,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Coyotes 2 Bruins 3	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Senators vs Red Wings	+0.3+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Kings vs Islanders	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

125		20	0		-	0	98	2
123	-124						100
122		18	1		-	1	95	5	1
121		17	1		-	2	93	6	0
120		17	2		-	1	90	9	1
119		16	2		-	2	82	16	1
118		16	3		-	1	74	23	3	0
117		15	3		-	2	66	29	5	0
116		15	4		-	1	54	38	8	0	0
115		14	4		-	2	42	46	11	0	0
114		14	5		-	1	30	52	16	1	0
113		13	5		-	2	20	56	21	3	0	0
		12	4		-	4	20	56	21	3	0
112		12	5		-	3	11	56	26	7	0	0
		13	6		-	1	12	56	26	6	0	0
111		12	6		-	2	6	53	29	12	0	0
		11	5		-	4	6	53	29	13	0	0
110		11	6		-	3	2	47	29	21	0	0
		12	7		-	1	3	46	30	21	0	0
109		11	7		-	2	1	39	28	31	1	0	0
		10	6		-	4	1	38	27	33	1	0
108		10	7		-	3	0	30	23	45	1	1	0
		11	8		-	1	0	30	24	44	1	1	0
107		10	8		-	2	0	22	18	56	2	2	0	0	0
		9	7		-	4	0	22	17	57	2	2	0	0	0
		11	9		-	0	0	22	19	55	2	2	0		0
106		9	8		-	3	0	15	12	66	2	4	0	0	0	0
		10	9		-	1	0	15	13	66	2	4	0	0	0
105		9	9		-	2	0	10	8	72	2	8	0	0	0	0
		8	8		-	4	0	10	8	72	2	8	0	0	0
104		8	9		-	3		6	4	74	2	14	0	0	0	0
		9	10		-	1		6	4	74	2	13	0	0	0	0
103		8	10		-	2		3	2	72	1	20	1	1	0	0
		7	9		-	4		3	2	72	1	20	1	1	0	0
102		7	10		-	3		2	1	65	1	27	2	2	1	0			0
101		7	11		-	2		1	0	56	0	34	2	5	1	1	0		0	0
100		6	11		-	3		0	0	45	0	37	3	10	2	2	0		0	0
99		6	12		-	2		0	0	33	0	36	3	18	4	5	0		0	0
98		5	12		-	3		0		21		30	3	28	4	11	1	0	1	0
97		5	13		-	2				12		21	2	34	4	19	4	0	2	1	0
96		5	14		-	1				7		10	1	36	3	26	9	1	4	2	0		0
95		4	14		-	2				3		4	1	32	1	24	17	3	7	6	2		0
94		4	15		-	1				1		2	0	22	0	20	22	6	6	12	7		1	0
93		3	15		-	2				1				12		9	20	12	6	21	15		4	1
92		3	16		-	1								2		2	22	15	2	16	27	1	11	2
91		2	16		-	2								3			4	7	1	12	32	3	28	7	1
90		2	17		-	1												10		5	20		40	20	5
89		2	18		-	0														8	15		31	15	15	15
88		1	18		-	1																50				50
85		0	20		-	0																	1	3	14	25	36	18	4

Total:							5	27	16	42	1	7	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0