Winnipeg Jets Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.6 to 91.3%

68 points 30 24-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks 5 Canucks 3	+1.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Oilers vs Jets	-3.7-0.1-0.0+2.6+2.7+2.8		-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Blue Jackets vs Wild	+0.2+0.1+0.1*-0.2-0.3-0.2
Lightning vs Ducks	+0.2+0.0-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Jets finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

108	20	0		-	0	In		0.5	%	4	61	22	11	4												200
107	19	0		-	1	In		No			36	36	18	9												11
106	19	1		-	0	In		No			24	24	32	21												63	*
105	18	1		-	1	In		No			16	17	42	23	2											182	*
104	17	1		-	2	In		No			9	12	47	29	3											632	*
103	17	2		-	1	In		No			5	6	45	35	9											1,638	*
102	16	2		-	2	In		No			3	3	36	42	16											3,878	*
101	16	3		-	1	In		No			1	2	30	41	27											8,070	*
100	15	3		-	2	In		No			0	0	23	37	40	0										15,612	*
99	15	4		-	1	In		No			0	0	15	30	55	0	0									27,177	*
98	14	4		-	2	In		No			0	0	10	23	67	0	0									45,401	*
97	14	5		-	1	In		No			0	0	6	15	78	0	0									67,721	*
96	13	5		-	2	In		No				0	4	10	86	1	0									54,938
	12	4		-	4	In		No			0		4	9	86	1	0									43,006	*
95	12	5		-	3	In		No					2	5	91	1	1									73,000	*
	13	6		-	1	100.0	%	No			0		2	6	90	1	1	0								56,609
94	12	6		-	2	100.0		No					1	3	93	2	2	0								89,387
	11	5		-	4	100.0		No					1	3	93	2	2	0								73,860	*
93	11	6		-	3	100.0		No					0	1	92	2	4	0								87,541
	12	7		-	1	100.0		No					0	1	92	2	4	0	0							104,563	*
92	11	7		-	2	99.9		No					0	0	89	2	7	0								116,451
	10	6		-	4	99.9		No					0	0	90	2	7	0								100,174	*
91	10	7		-	3	99.6		No					0	0	85	2	12	0								103,819
	11	8		-	1	99.6		No					0	0	85	2	12	0								121,459	*
90	10	8		-	2	98.9		No					0	0	78	2	18	1	0							120,969
	9	7		-	4	98.9		No					0	0	78	2	18	1	0							63,533
	11	9		-	0	99.0		No					0	0	79	2	18	1								42,511	*
89	9	8		-	3	97.2		No					0	0	70	2	26	3	0							98,207
	10	9		-	1	97.4		No					0	0	70	2	25	3	0							114,324	*
88	9	9		-	2	94.2		No					0		61	1	32	6	0							101,727
	8	8		-	4	94.2		No					0		61	1	32	6	0							89,216	*
87	8	9		-	3	88.5		No					0		51	1	37	11	0	0	0					74,171
	9	10		-	1	89.0		No					0		52	1	37	11	0	0						86,588	*
86	8	10		-	2	80.7		No					0		41	0	39	18	1	0						129,388	*
85	7	10		-	3	69.0		No							31	0	38	28	3	0	0					45,081
	8	11		-	1	70.1		No							31	0	38	27	3	0						52,572	*
84	7	11		-	2	56.2		No					0		23	0	33	37	7	0	0					70,612	*
83	6	11		-	3	41.0		No							15	0	26	44	14	1	0					47,522	*
82	6	12		-	2	26.9		No							9	0	18	45	24	4	0	0				30,799	*
81	5	12		-	3	15.7		No							6		10	40	33	10	1	0				18,297	*
80	5	13		-	2	8.0		No							3		5	29	39	19	4	0	0			10,394	*
79	5	14		-	1	2.8		No							1		2	18	38	30	10	1	0			5,492	*
78	4	14		-	2	1.2		No							0		1	10	30	35	19	4	0			2,776	*
77	4	15		-	1	0.2		No							0		0	4	18	35	30	11	1			1,252	*
76	3	15		-	2	0.2		No							0			1	9	32	34	20	4			579	*
75	3	16		-	1	Out		No											4	16	40	30	9			240	*
74	2	16		-	2	Out		No												11	39	35	15			62	*
73	2	17		-	1	Out		No												9	9	50	31			32	*
72	1	17		-	2	Out		No													20	60	20			5	*
68	0	20		-	0	Out		No														9	91			199

Total:						91.3	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	1	3	69	1	17	7	2	0	0	0	0			2,401,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sharks 5 Canucks 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Oilers vs Jets	+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

108	20	0		-	0	1	3	48	13	22		11		4
107	19	0		-	1			27	9	36		18		9
106	19	1		-	0			3	21	24		32		21
105	18	1		-	1			5	11	15	2	42		23		2
104	17	1		-	2			2	7	10	1	46	1	29		3
103	17	2		-	1			1	5	5	1	44	0	35	0	9
102	16	2		-	2			0	2	2	1	35	1	42	0	16
101	16	3		-	1			0	1	1	1	27	2	40	1	27
100	15	3		-	2			0	0	0	0	19	4	34	2	40	0	0
99	15	4		-	1				0	0	0	11	4	26	4	54	0	0		0
98	14	4		-	2			0	0	0	0	6	4	17	6	66	1	0		0
97	14	5		-	1				0		0	2	4	8	7	74	4	0	0	0
96	13	5		-	2						0	1	3	3	6	75	10	1	0	0
	12	4		-	4				0			1	3	3	6	76	11	1	0	0	0
95	12	5		-	3							0	2	1	4	66	25	1	0	1	0
	13	6		-	1				0			0	2	1	5	68	22	1	0	1	0	0
94	12	6		-	2							0	1	0	3	51	42	1	1	2	0	0
	11	5		-	4							0	1	0	2	50	43	1	1	2	0	0
93	11	6		-	3							0	0	0	1	31	62	1	1	3	1	0
	12	7		-	1							0	0	0	1	32	60	1	1	3	1	0	0
92	11	7		-	2							0	0	0	0	16	73	0	2	4	3	0	0	0
	10	6		-	4							0	0	0	0	15	74	0	2	4	3	0	0
91	10	7		-	3								0		0	6	78	0	2	4	8	0	0	0	0
	11	8		-	1								0		0	7	78	0	2	4	8	0	0	0	0
90	10	8		-	2								0		0	2	76	0	2	3	16	1	0	0	0	0	0
	9	7		-	4								0		0	2	77	0	2	2	16	0	0	0	0	0
	11	9		-	0								0		0	2	76	0	2	3	15	1	0	0	0	0
89	9	8		-	3								0		0	0	69	0	2	1	25	1	1	1	0	0	0
	10	9		-	1								0		0	1	70	0	2	1	24	1	1	1	0	0	0
88	9	9		-	2								0			0	61		1	0	31	1	1	2	1	1	0	0
	8	8		-	4								0			0	61		1	0	32	0	1	2	2	1	0	0
87	8	9		-	3								0			0	51		1	0	37	0	1	3	4	2	1	0	0
	9	10		-	1								0			0	51		1	0	37	0	1	3	4	2	1	0	0
86	8	10		-	2								0			0	41		0	0	39	0	1	3	6	6	3	1	0	0
	7	9		-	4								0				41		0	0	39	0	1	2	6	7	3	1	0	0
85	7	10		-	3												31		0		38	0	0	1	6	11	9	3	1	0	0
84	7	11		-	2								0				23		0		33	0	0	1	4	11	16	10	3	0	0
83	6	11		-	3												15		0		26		0	0	1	8	19	20	9	2	0
82	6	12		-	2												9		0		18			0	0	4	16	26	20	6	1	0
81	5	12		-	3												6				10				0	1	9	24	30	16	4	0	0
80	5	13		-	2												3				5				0	0	4	16	33	27	10	2	0
79	5	14		-	1												1				2					0	1	8	26	33	22	7	1	0
78	4	14		-	2												0				1						0	3	14	31	31	16	3	1
77	4	15		-	1												0				0							1	6	20	32	28	11	1	0
76	3	15		-	2												0												2	11	27	34	21	5	1
75	3	16		-	1																									4	14	37	30	13	3
74	2	16		-	2																										8	34	24	32	2
73	2	17		-	1																										6	9	38	34	13
72	1	17		-	2																											20		80
68	0	20		-	0																												1	28	71

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	19	50	0	1	2	15	0	0	1	1	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0