Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Lost to Bruins 2-3, playoff odds down 0.02 to 99.9%

79 points 36 21-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Coyotes 2 Bruins 3	-0.1		-0.1		-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Kings vs Islanders					-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

Chances based on how well the Coyotes finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

115		18	0		-	0	In		55.8	%	60	6	34		0												208
114		17	0		-	1	In		23.1		31	4	54		12												26
113		17	1		-	0	In		18.5		26	8	61		5												195	*
112		16	1		-	1	In		10.5		17	8	65	0	10												618	*
111		15	1		-	2	In		5.5		11	7	67	1	14												1,890	*
110		15	2		-	1	In		1.6		5	6	65	1	23												4,466	*
109		14	2		-	2	In		0.7		3	4	58	3	32		0										10,043	*
108		14	3		-	1	In		0.2		1	3	50	5	41		0										18,973	*
107		13	3		-	2	In		0.0		0	2	39	7	51		0										34,749	*
106		13	4		-	1	In		0.0		0	1	29	9	61	0	0										55,493	*
105		12	4		-	2	In		No		0	0	19	9	70	0	1										49,142
		13	5		-	0	In		0.0		0	0	19	9	70	0	1										36,836	*
104		12	5		-	1	In		No		0	0	13	9	76	0	2										61,659
		11	4		-	3	In		No		0	0	11	9	78	0	2										57,135	*
103		11	5		-	2	In		No			0	7	8	81	0	4										89,608
		10	4		-	4	In		No			0	7	8	82	0	4										67,926	*
102		11	6		-	1	In		No			0	4	6	83	0	7										92,898
		10	5		-	3	In		No			0	3	6	84	0	7										97,714	*
101		10	6		-	2	In		No			0	2	4	83	0	11										124,880
		9	5		-	4	In		No				1	4	83	0	12										55,461	*
		11	7		-	0	In		No			0	2	4	83	0	10										41,393
100		10	7		-	1	In		No				1	3	80	0	16										133,237	*
		9	6		-	3	In		No			0	1	2	79	1	17	0									101,860
99		9	7		-	2	In		No				0	2	74	1	23	0									135,168
		8	6		-	4	In		No				0	1	73	1	24	0									55,895
		10	8		-	0	In		No				0	2	75	1	22										49,855	*
98		9	8		-	1	In		No				0	1	67	2	30	0									104,126
		8	7		-	3	In		No				0	1	65	2	32	0									121,452	*
97		8	8		-	2	In		No				0	0	57	3	40	0									114,947
		7	7		-	4	In		No				0	0	55	3	41	0									47,987
		9	9		-	0	In		No				0	0	58	3	38	0									42,313	*
96		8	9		-	1	In		No				0	0	47	5	48	0									78,641
		7	8		-	3	In		No				0	0	45	5	50	0									92,557	*
95		7	9		-	2	100.0	%	No				0	0	35	6	58	0	0								137,360	*
94		7	10		-	1	In		No					0	26	7	65	1									57,886	*
		6	9		-	3	100.0		No					0	24	8	67	1	0								43,927
93		6	10		-	2	100.0		No					0	17	8	72	3	0								72,506	*
92		6	11		-	1	99.9		No						10	8	76	6	0								47,407	*
91		5	11		-	2	99.6		No						6	8	75	12	0								29,510	*
90		5	12		-	1	98.8		No						3	5	70	21	1	0							16,635	*
89		4	12		-	2	96.9		No						1	4	60	32	3								9,222	*
88		4	13		-	1	92.2		No						0	2	48	42	8								4,563	*
87		3	13		-	2	85.3		No						0	2	32	51	14	0							2,013	*
86		3	14		-	1	72.4		No							0	22	50	27	1							834	*
85		2	14		-	2	59.1		No								13	46	37	4							362	*
84		2	15		-	1	42.2		No								9	33	48	10							109	*
83		1	15		-	2	35.6		No								2	33	42	22							45	*
82		1	16		-	1	22.2		No									22	56	11	11						9	*
80	-81						Out		No											100							2	*
79		0	18		-	0	2.0		No									2	25	38	26	8	1				199

Total:							99.9	%	0.0	%	0	0	4	3	62	2	27	1	0	0	0	0	0				2,401,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Coyotes 2 Bruins 3	+0.5

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kings vs Islanders	+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.2
Stars vs Flames	-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

115		18	0		-	0	56	4	6		34				0
114		17	0		-	1	23	8	4		54				12
113		17	1		-	0	18	8	8		61				5
112		16	1		-	1	11	6	7	0	65		0		10
111		15	1		-	2	6	6	6	1	67	0	1		14
110		15	2		-	1	2	4	5	1	65	0	1		23
109		14	2		-	2	1	2	3	1	58	0	3		32				0
108		14	3		-	1	0	1	2	1	50	1	5		41				0
107		13	3		-	2	0	0	1	1	38	1	7		51				0
106		13	4		-	1	0	0	0	0	27	2	9		61	0	0		0
105		12	4		-	2		0	0	0	17	2	9	0	70	0	0		1
		13	5		-	0	0	0	0	0	17	2	9	0	70	0	0		1
104		12	5		-	1		0	0	0	10	2	9	0	76	0	0		2
		11	4		-	3		0	0	0	9	2	9	0	77	0	0		2
103		11	5		-	2			0	0	5	2	8	0	81	0	0		4
		10	4		-	4			0	0	5	2	7	0	82	0	0		4
102		11	6		-	1			0	0	2	2	6	0	83	1	0		7
		10	5		-	3				0	2	1	6	0	83	1	0		7
101		10	6		-	2				0	1	1	4	0	81	2	0		11	0
		9	5		-	4					1	1	3	0	80	3	0		12	0
		11	7		-	0				0	1	1	4	0	81	2	0		11
100		10	7		-	1					0	0	2	0	75	5	0		16	0
		9	6		-	3				0	0	0	2	0	74	6	1	0	17	0	0
99		9	7		-	2					0	0	1	0	64	10	1	0	23	0	0
		8	6		-	4					0	0	1	0	61	12	1	0	24	0	0
		10	8		-	0					0	0	1	0	65	10	1	0	22	0
98		9	8		-	1					0	0	1	0	50	17	2	0	30	0	0
		8	7		-	3					0	0	0	0	46	19	2	0	32	0	0
97		8	8		-	2					0	0	0	0	32	25	3	0	39	1	0
		7	7		-	4						0	0	0	28	27	3	0	39	2	0
		9	9		-	0						0	0	0	34	24	3	0	37	1	0
96		8	9		-	1						0	0	0	18	29	4	0	44	4	0
		7	8		-	3						0	0	0	15	30	4	1	44	6	0
95		7	9		-	2						0	0	0	7	29	4	2	45	13	0	0	0
94		7	10		-	1							0	0	2	24	4	4	40	26	1	0
		6	9		-	3							0	0	2	23	4	4	38	29	1	0	0
93		6	10		-	2								0	0	17	3	6	27	45	2	0	0
92		6	11		-	1									0	10	1	7	14	62	4	2	0
91		5	11		-	2										6	0	7	5	70	4	8	0	0	0	0
90		5	12		-	1										3	0	5	1	69	3	18	1	0	0	0	0
89		4	12		-	2										1	0	4	0	60	1	30	1	1	1	0	0
88		4	13		-	1										0	0	2	0	48	0	41	1	2	3	2	1	0	0
87		3	13		-	2										0		2		32	0	51	1	2	4	4	4	1	0
86		3	14		-	1												0		22		50	0	1	4	8	10	4	1	0
85		2	14		-	2														13		46		0	2	7	14	11	6	0
84		2	15		-	1														9		33			2	3	14	18	16	4	2
83		1	15		-	2														2		33					11	20	16	16	2
82		1	16		-	1																22						11	33	22	11
80	-81																														100
79		0	18		-	0																2						1	8	27	36	21	6	1

Total:							0	0	0	0	4	1	3	0	51	11	1	1	21	7	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0