Boston Bruins Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Beat Coyotes 3-2, playoff odds up 1.4 to 98.4%

79 points 35 19-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Coyotes 2 Bruins 3	+1.3		+0.3
Devils 2 Oilers 3	+0.1
Panthers 2 Rangers 1			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jackets vs Wild	-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.1
Lightning vs Ducks	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1
Rangers vs Blackhawks	-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bruins finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

117	19	0		-	0	In		67.3	%	97	3															202
116	18	0		-	1	In		55.2		90	7	3														29
115	18	1		-	0	In		40.2		83	10	7														107	*
114	17	1		-	1	In		24.9		80	14	6														353	*
113	16	1		-	2	In		16.7		71	19	10														1,111	*
112	16	2		-	1	In		7.9		60	25	15														2,649	*
111	15	2		-	2	In		3.2		46	31	24														6,274	*
110	15	3		-	1	In		1.3		34	35	31														12,520	*
109	14	3		-	2	In		0.4		24	36	40	0													23,678	*
108	14	4		-	1	In		0.1		15	35	50	0	0												39,047	*
107	13	4		-	2	In		0.0		9	32	59	0	0												63,072	*
106	13	5		-	1	In		0.0		5	27	67	1	0												45,028
	12	4		-	3	In		No		4	27	67	1	0												45,743	*
105	12	5		-	2	In		No		2	22	74	2	0												71,635
	11	4		-	4	In		No		2	22	74	2	0												54,691	*
104	12	6		-	1	In		0.0		1	16	78	4	0												73,605
	11	5		-	3	In		No		1	16	78	4	1												85,334	*
103	11	6		-	2	In		No		0	11	79	8	1												107,223
	10	5		-	4	In		No		0	11	79	8	1												85,236	*
102	10	6		-	3	In		No		0	7	76	13	3	0	0										96,560
	11	7		-	1	In		No		0	7	77	13	3	0	0										120,517	*
101	10	7		-	2	In		No		0	5	70	20	6	0	0										128,202
	9	6		-	4	In		No		0	4	67	21	7	0	0										58,506
	11	8		-	0	In		No		0	5	71	19	5	0	0										45,840	*
100	9	7		-	3	In		No		0	2	57	29	12	0	0										103,898
	10	8		-	1	In		No		0	3	59	28	11	0	0										127,876	*
99	9	8		-	2	In		No		0	1	44	36	17	1	1	0									121,044
	8	7		-	4	In		No		0	1	43	36	19	1	1	0									100,319	*
98	8	8		-	3	In		No			1	28	40	27	3	2	0									88,819
	9	9		-	1	100.0	%	No			1	29	40	26	3	2	0	0								107,623	*
97	8	9		-	2	100.0		No			0	16	40	32	7	5	0	0								91,363
	7	8		-	4	100.0		No			0	15	38	32	8	6	0	0								75,670	*
96	7	9		-	3	99.9		No			0	6	32	33	16	12	1	0	0							59,570
	8	10		-	1	99.9		No			0	7	34	33	14	11	1	0								73,154	*
95	7	10		-	2	99.7		No			0	2	24	27	24	19	4	0	0							54,995
	6	9		-	4	99.5		No			0	2	22	26	24	21	5	0	0							45,454	*
94	6	10		-	3	97.7		No			0	0	14	16	29	27	12	2	0	0						70,275	*
93	6	11		-	2	91.5		No				0	6	7	28	28	22	7	1	0	0					47,840	*
92	6	12		-	1	75.8		No				0	2	2	20	21	31	18	5	1	0	0				29,897	*
91	5	12		-	2	52.7		No					1	0	12	12	28	29	14	4	0	0				17,621	*
90	5	13		-	1	28.1		No					0	0	4	4	19	31	27	11	2	0	0			9,745	*
89	4	13		-	2	11.2		No						0	1	1	9	24	33	23	7	1	0			5,194	*
88	4	14		-	1	2.9		No					0		0	0	2	12	29	34	18	4	1			2,444	*
87	3	14		-	2	0.7		No							0		1	3	17	32	32	13	2	0		1,085	*
86	3	15		-	1	0.2		No									0	1	7	24	32	25	10	0		433	*
85	2	15		-	2	Out		No											2	15	33	34	13	3		179	*
84	2	16		-	1	Out		No												4	25	38	27	7		56	*
83	1	16		-	2	Out		No													5	37	32	26		19	*
82	1	17		-	1	Out		No													33	17	33	17		6
79	0	19		-	0	Out		No														3	25	71	2	199

Total:						98.4	%	0.1	%	2	8	48	19	12	4	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2,401,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Coyotes 2 Bruins 3	-0.5
Panthers 2 Rangers 1	+0.1
Maple Leafs 4 Sabres 2	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Senators vs Red Wings	-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Penguins vs Flyers	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

117	19	0		-	0	67	30	3
116	18	0		-	1	55	34	7		3
115	18	1		-	0	40	43	10		7
114	17	1		-	1	25	56	13	1	6
113	16	1		-	2	17	54	16	3	10	0
112	16	2		-	1	8	52	19	6	14	1
111	15	2		-	2	3	43	20	10	20	4
110	15	3		-	1	1	33	18	16	24	7
109	14	3		-	2	0	23	15	21	27	13	0
108	14	4		-	1	0	15	11	24	27	23	0	0	0
107	13	4		-	2	0	9	6	25	24	35	0	0	0
106	13	5		-	1	0	5	3	24	20	47	1	0	0	0
	12	4		-	3		4	3	24	18	49	1	0	0	0
105	12	5		-	2		2	2	20	13	61	1	0	0	0
	11	4		-	4		2	2	20	14	60	1	0	0	0
104	12	6		-	1	0	1	1	16	9	69	2	1	0	0
	11	5		-	3		1	1	16	8	70	3	2	0	0
103	11	6		-	2		0	0	11	4	75	4	4	1	0
	10	5		-	4		0	0	11	4	75	4	4	1	0
102	10	6		-	3		0	0	7	2	74	5	8	2	1	0		0
	11	7		-	1		0	0	7	2	75	5	8	2	1	0		0
101	10	7		-	2		0	0	5	1	69	6	14	3	2	0		0	0
	9	6		-	4		0	0	4	0	67	6	15	4	3	0		0
100	9	7		-	3		0	0	2	0	57	5	23	5	6	0		0	0
	10	8		-	1		0	0	3	0	58	5	22	5	6	0		0	0
99	9	8		-	2		0		1	0	44	5	31	6	11	1	0	1	0	0
	8	7		-	4		0		1	0	41	4	32	7	13	1	0	1	0	0
	10	9		-	0		0		1	0	46	4	30	6	11	1	0	1	0
98	8	8		-	3				1	0	28	3	37	6	21	3	0	2	0	0
	9	9		-	1				1	0	29	3	37	6	20	3	0	2	0	0		0
97	8	9		-	2				0	0	16	2	38	5	27	7	0	4	1	0		0
	7	8		-	4				0		15	2	37	5	28	7	0	4	2	0		0
96	7	9		-	3				0		6	1	31	2	30	14	1	7	5	1		0	0
	8	10		-	1				0		7	1	33	3	30	13	1	7	4	1		0
95	7	10		-	2				0		2	0	24	1	26	20	3	9	10	4	0	0	0
	6	9		-	4				0		2	0	22	1	25	20	4	10	11	5	0	0	0
94	6	10		-	3				0		0	0	14	0	15	22	7	10	17	12	0	2	0	0
93	6	11		-	2						0	0	6	0	7	18	10	7	21	22	0	7	1	0	0
92	6	12		-	1						0		2	0	2	10	9	4	18	29	1	18	5	1	0	0
91	5	12		-	2								1		0	5	7	1	11	26	3	29	14	4	0	0
90	5	13		-	1								0		0	1	3	0	4	16	3	31	27	12	2	0	0
89	4	13		-	2										0	0	1	0	1	6	3	23	33	23	8	1	0
88	4	14		-	1								0				0		0	1	1	11	28	34	19	5	1
87	3	14		-	2												0			0	0	3	15	31	32	15	3	0
86	3	15		-	1																0	1	6	23	29	27	13	1
85	2	15		-	2																		1	9	31	35	17	6	1
84	2	16		-	1																			2	11	36	32	14	5
83	1	16		-	2																					21	16	37	26
82	1	17		-	1																				17	17	50	17
79	0	19		-	0																						1	12	27	34	19	8	1

Total:						0	2	1	7	4	44	3	16	3	9	4	1	2	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0