Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 0.001%

49 points 21 34-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Penguins vs Flyers	OutOutOutOutOut+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Flyers finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

89		20	0		-	0	12.4	%	No						0	1	11	34	28	21	4					201
88		19	0		-	1	Out		No									8	25	50		17				12
87		19	1		-	0	Out		No									3	16	40	21	18	3			73	*
86		18	1		-	1	0.5		No								0		5	17	34	31	10	1		207	*
85		17	1		-	2	Out		No										2	8	27	35	22	6	1	655	*
84		17	2		-	1	Out		No										0	3	14	31	34	16	2	1,650	*
83		16	2		-	2	Out		No											1	6	23	39	24	6	4,046	*
82		16	3		-	1	Out		No											0	2	13	35	37	13	7,814	*
81		15	3		-	2	Out		No											0	1	6	26	43	24	15,851	*
80		15	4		-	1	Out		No												0	3	16	43	38	27,142	*
79		14	4		-	2	Out		No												0	1	9	38	52	45,192	*
78		14	5		-	1	Out		No												0	0	5	31	64	31,997
		13	4		-	3	Out		No													0	4	28	68	36,087	*
77		13	5		-	2	Out		No												0	0	2	21	77	54,990
		12	4		-	4	Out		No													0	2	20	78	43,036	*
76		12	5		-	3	Out		No													0	1	13	87	58,077
		13	6		-	1	Out		No													0	1	14	86	71,451	*
75		12	6		-	2	Out		No													0	0	8	92	90,102
		11	5		-	4	Out		No														0	7	93	48,793	*
		13	7		-	0	Out		No													0	0	9	91	25,444
74		11	6		-	3	Out		No														0	4	96	87,492
		12	7		-	1	Out		No														0	5	95	104,300	*
73		11	7		-	2	Out		No														0	2	98	116,174
		10	6		-	4	Out		No														0	2	98	58,626
		12	8		-	0	Out		No														0	2	98	40,383	*
72		10	7		-	3	Out		No														0	1	99	103,724
		11	8		-	1	Out		No														0	1	99	90,105
		9	6		-	5	Out		No															1	99	31,730	*
71		10	8		-	2	Out		No														0	1	99	120,318
		9	7		-	4	Out		No															0	100	63,600
		11	9		-	0	Out		No															1	99	42,369	*
70		9	8		-	3	Out		No															0	100	98,479
		10	9		-	1	Out		No														0	0	100	83,586
		8	7		-	5	Out		No															0	100	30,703	*
69		9	9		-	2	Out		No															0	100	101,682
		8	8		-	4	Out		No															0	100	53,655
		10	10		-	0	Out		No															0	100	35,516	*
68		8	9		-	3	Out		No															0	100	74,704
		9	10		-	1	Out		No															0	100	86,333	*
67		8	10		-	2	Out		No															0	100	69,227
		7	9		-	4	Out		No															0	100	60,428	*
66		7	10		-	3	Out		No															0	100	45,034
		8	11		-	1	Out		No															0	100	53,049	*
65		7	11		-	2	Out		No															0	100	38,186
		6	10		-	4	Out		No															0	100	32,264	*
64		6	11		-	3	Out		No															0	100	47,094	*
63		6	12		-	2	Out		No															0	100	30,692	*
62		5	12		-	3	Out		No															0	100	18,579	*
61		5	13		-	2	Out		No															0	100	10,482	*
49	-60						Out		No																100	10,606	*

Total:							0.0	%	No						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	93	2,401,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Penguins vs Flyers	+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
Stars vs Flames	+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

89		20	0		-	0												0	0	0	9	1	33	28	21	4
88		19	0		-	1																	8	25	42	8	17
87		19	1		-	0																	3	12	37	26	19	3
86		18	1		-	1															0			4	15	33	31	14	1
85		17	1		-	2																		1	6	21	34	26	9	2	0	0
84		17	2		-	1																		0	2	10	22	34	24	8	1	0
83		16	2		-	2																			0	3	13	28	32	18	5	1	0
82		16	3		-	1																			0	1	5	16	31	30	15	3	0	0
81		15	3		-	2																			0	0	1	6	20	33	27	11	2	0	0
80		15	4		-	1																					0	2	9	25	33	22	7	1	0
79		14	4		-	2																					0	0	3	13	30	32	17	4	0	0
78		14	5		-	1																					0	0	1	6	20	34	27	10	2	0
		13	4		-	3																					0	0	1	4	18	33	29	12	2	0
77		13	5		-	2																						0	0	1	9	25	35	22	6	1
76		12	5		-	3																							0	0	3	14	32	33	15	2
		13	6		-	1																							0	0	3	16	33	33	13	2
75		12	6		-	2																								0	1	7	24	38	25	5
		11	5		-	4																								0	1	6	22	38	27	7
		13	7		-	0																								0	1	8	25	37	24	5
74		11	6		-	3																								0	0	2	13	35	37	13
		12	7		-	1																								0	0	2	14	35	36	12
73		11	7		-	2																								0	0	1	7	27	43	22
		10	6		-	4																									0	1	5	25	44	25
72		10	7		-	3																									0	0	2	17	44	36
		11	8		-	1																									0	0	3	17	44	36
71		10	8		-	2																										0	1	10	40	50
		9	7		-	4																										0	1	9	38	52
		11	9		-	0																										0	1	10	40	50
70		9	8		-	3																										0	0	4	31	64
		10	9		-	1																										0	0	5	32	63
69		9	9		-	2																											0	2	23	75
		8	8		-	4																											0	2	22	76
		10	10		-	0																											0	2	23	74
68		8	9		-	3																											0	1	15	84
		9	10		-	1																											0	1	15	84
67		8	10		-	2																											0	0	10	90
		7	9		-	4																												0	9	91
66		7	10		-	3																												0	5	95
		8	11		-	1																												0	5	94
65		7	11		-	2																												0	3	97
		6	10		-	4																												0	3	97
64		6	11		-	3																												0	2	98
63		6	12		-	2																													1	99
62		5	12		-	3																													0	100
61		5	13		-	2																													0	100
60		5	14		-	1																													0	100
59		4	14		-	2																													0	100
58		4	15		-	1																													0	100
57		3	15		-	2																													0	100
49	-56																																			100

Total:																		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	14	24	45