St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.07 to 0.4%

53 points 20 30-13

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks 5 Canucks 3	+0.1		-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jackets vs Wild			+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Lightning vs Ducks			+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Stars vs Flames			-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Blues finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

91		19	0		-	0	99.0	%	No						70	4	25	1								205
90		18	0		-	1	In		No						47	5	47									19
89		18	1		-	0	87.4		No						40		48	13								103	*
88		17	1		-	1	76.1		No						25	2	48	21	3							355	*
87		16	1		-	2	60.8		No						17	1	43	33	6	0						1,134	*
86		16	2		-	1	42.2		No						10	0	32	44	13	1						2,737	*
85		15	2		-	2	29.2		No						5	0	24	46	22	3	0					6,342	*
84		15	3		-	1	15.2		No						2	0	13	44	34	6	0	0				12,339	*
83		14	3		-	2	7.4		No				0		1	0	7	34	43	13	1	0				23,259	*
82		14	4		-	1	3.1		No						0		3	23	46	23	4	0	0			39,391	*
81		13	4		-	2	1.0		No						0		1	13	41	33	10	1	0			62,811	*
80		13	5		-	1	0.3		No						0		0	6	32	40	18	3	0			44,840
		12	4		-	3	0.2		No						0		0	6	31	40	19	3	0			45,828	*
79		12	5		-	2	0.1		No						0		0	3	20	40	29	8	1			71,242
		11	4		-	4	0.0		No						0		0	2	19	39	30	9	1			28,003
		13	6		-	0	0.1		No						0		0	3	21	40	28	7	1			26,657	*
78		12	6		-	1	0.0		No						0		0	1	11	33	37	16	2			73,546
		11	5		-	3	0.0		No						0		0	1	10	32	38	17	2			85,477	*
77		11	6		-	2	0.0		No								0	0	5	23	40	27	5			107,628
		10	5		-	4	0.0		No						0			0	5	22	40	28	5			46,762
		12	7		-	0	Out		No									0	5	24	40	26	5			39,286	*
76		10	6		-	3	Out		No									0	2	13	36	38	11			96,297
		11	7		-	1	Out		No									0	2	14	37	37	11			120,267	*
75		10	7		-	2	Out		No									0	1	6	28	45	20			128,187
		9	6		-	4	Out		No									0	0	6	27	45	21			58,489
		11	8		-	0	Out		No									0	1	7	29	45	19			45,763	*
74		9	7		-	3	Out		No									0	0	2	18	47	33			104,196
		10	8		-	1	Out		No									0	0	3	19	47	31			99,480
		8	6		-	5	Out		No									0	0	2	17	46	34			28,287	*
73		9	8		-	2	Out		No										0	1	10	43	46			121,164
		8	7		-	4	Out		No										0	1	10	42	48			57,228
		10	9		-	0	Out		No										0	1	11	43	45			43,149	*
72		8	8		-	3	Out		No										0	0	5	34	61			88,772
		9	9		-	1	Out		No										0	0	5	35	59			107,938	*
71		8	9		-	2	Out		No											0	2	26	72			91,887
		7	8		-	4	Out		No										0	0	2	25	73			42,966
		9	10		-	0	Out		No											0	2	27	71			32,302	*
70		7	9		-	3	Out		No											0	1	17	82			59,066
		8	10		-	1	Out		No											0	1	18	82			72,757	*
69		7	10		-	2	Out		No											0	0	12	88			71,262	*
		6	9		-	4	Out		No												0	11	89			29,253	*
68		6	10		-	3	Out		No												0	6	94			31,376
		7	11		-	1	Out		No												0	7	93			39,289	*
67		6	11		-	2	Out		No												0	4	96			48,117	*
66		6	12		-	1	Out		No												0	2	98			29,637	*
65		5	12		-	2	Out		No													1	99			17,596	*
64		5	13		-	1	Out		No													0	100			9,650	*
63		4	13		-	2	Out		No													0	100			5,130	*
62		4	14		-	1	Out		No													0	100			2,463	*
53	-61						Out		No														100			2,008	*

Total:							0.4	%	No				0		0	0	0	2	6	11	18	26	36			2,401,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sharks 5 Canucks 3	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Stars vs Flames	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Lightning vs Ducks	-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Penguins vs Flyers	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Blue Jackets vs Wild	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

91		19	0		-	0											10	60	0	4	14	11	1
90		18	0		-	1												47		5	5	42
89		18	1		-	0												40			2	46	1	6	4	2
88		17	1		-	1												25		2	1	48	3	6	8	5	3	0
87		16	1		-	2												17		1		43	1	3	10	13	9	3	0
86		16	2		-	1												10		0		32	0	1	6	16	20	11	2	0	0
85		15	2		-	2												5		0		24	0	0	3	11	22	22	10	2	0
84		15	3		-	1												2		0		13		0	1	5	17	28	23	9	2	0
83		14	3		-	2								0				1		0		7			0	1	8	22	31	22	8	1	0	0
82		14	4		-	1												0				3			0	0	2	12	27	31	19	5	1	0	0
81		13	4		-	2												0				1				0	0	4	16	31	30	14	3	0	0
80		13	5		-	1												0				0				0	0	1	7	21	34	26	9	1	0	0
		12	4		-	3												0				0				0	0	1	6	20	34	27	10	2	0	0
79		12	5		-	2												0				0					0	0	2	10	27	34	21	5	0	0
		11	4		-	4												0				0					0	0	2	10	27	35	20	5	0	0
78		12	6		-	1												0				0						0	0	4	17	34	31	13	2	0
		11	5		-	3												0				0						0	0	3	15	33	32	14	2	0
77		11	6		-	2																0						0	0	1	7	24	37	25	6	0
		10	5		-	4												0										0	0	1	6	23	37	26	6	0
		12	7		-	0																						0	0	1	8	25	37	24	5	0
76		10	6		-	3																							0	0	2	13	33	36	14	2
		11	7		-	1																						0	0	0	3	14	34	35	13	1
75		10	7		-	2																								0	1	6	24	41	24	4
		9	6		-	4																								0	1	6	23	41	25	4
		11	8		-	0																								0	1	6	25	40	24	4
74		9	7		-	3																								0	0	2	14	38	37	10
		10	8		-	1																								0	0	2	14	38	36	9
73		9	8		-	2																									0	1	7	30	45	18
		8	7		-	4																									0	1	6	29	45	19
		10	9		-	0																									0	1	7	31	44	17
72		8	8		-	3																									0	0	3	20	48	29
		9	9		-	1																									0	0	3	21	48	29
71		8	9		-	2																										0	1	12	45	42
		7	8		-	4																										0	1	11	45	43
		9	10		-	0																										0	1	13	46	41
70		7	9		-	3																										0	0	6	39	55
		8	10		-	1																										0	0	6	39	55
69		7	10		-	2																										0	0	3	31	66
		6	9		-	4																											0	3	30	68
68		6	10		-	3																											0	1	22	77
		7	11		-	1																											0	1	22	77
67		6	11		-	2																												1	15	85
66		6	12		-	1																												0	10	90
65		5	12		-	2																												0	6	94
64		5	13		-	1																													3	97
63		4	13		-	2																													2	98
62		4	14		-	1																													1	99
61		3	14		-	2																													1	99
60		3	15		-	1																													0	100
53	-59																																			100

Total:														0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	9	14	20	23	21