San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Beat Canucks 5-3, playoff odds up 1.4 to 3.6%

58 points 26 32-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks 5 Canucks 3	+1.4		+0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Oilers vs Jets	+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.2-0.3-0.2
Lightning vs Ducks	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Blue Jackets vs Wild			+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Stars vs Flames			-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Sharks finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

94		18	0		-	0	In		No					8	1	54	37									210
93		17	0		-	1	In		No					5	7	43	45									44
92		17	1		-	0	98.6	%	No					1	0	33	64	1								216	*
91		16	1		-	1	94.9		No					0	0	23	71	5								670	*
90		15	1		-	2	89.0		No					0	0	13	76	11	0							1,930	*
89		15	2		-	1	80.9		No					0		6	75	18	1							4,394	*
88		14	2		-	2	68.6		No							4	65	29	3	0						9,939	*
87		14	3		-	1	54.6		No						0	2	53	39	6	0						18,883	*
86		13	3		-	2	40.4		No							1	40	47	12	0						35,228	*
85		13	4		-	1	26.8		No							0	27	51	21	1	0					55,738	*
84		12	4		-	2	16.2		No							0	16	49	32	3	0					49,769
		13	5		-	0	16.4		No							0	16	49	32	3	0					36,183	*
83		12	5		-	1	9.2		No							0	9	42	42	6	0	0				61,276
		11	4		-	3	7.8		No							0	8	40	44	7	0	0				57,413	*
82		11	5		-	2	3.8		No							0	4	31	50	13	1	0				90,122
		10	4		-	4	3.2		No							0	3	30	51	15	1	0				32,306
		12	6		-	0	4.4		No								4	33	49	12	1	0				35,651	*
81		11	6		-	1	1.6		No								2	21	52	22	3	0				94,039	*
		10	5		-	3	1.3		No								1	20	52	24	3	0	0			96,306	*
80		10	6		-	2	0.5		No								1	12	47	33	7	1	0			124,414
		9	5		-	4	0.4		No								0	11	45	35	8	1	0			49,030
		11	7		-	0	0.6		No								1	13	47	32	7	1	0			47,339	*
79		10	7		-	1	0.1		No								0	6	37	40	14	2	0			110,420
		9	6		-	3	0.1		No								0	5	35	42	16	2	0			124,347	*
78		9	7		-	2	0.0		No								0	2	24	43	25	5	0			135,065
		8	6		-	4	0.0		No								0	2	23	43	27	6	0			55,881
		10	8		-	0	0.0		No								0	3	25	43	24	5	0			50,438	*
77		9	8		-	1	0.0		No								0	1	15	39	34	10	1			103,937
		8	7		-	3	0.0		No								0	1	13	38	35	12	1			121,935	*
76		8	8		-	2	Out		No									0	7	29	41	20	3			114,847
		7	7		-	4	Out		No									0	6	28	41	21	3			48,496
		9	9		-	0	Out		No									0	7	29	41	20	3			42,368	*
75		8	9		-	1	Out		No									0	3	19	40	30	7			78,729
		7	8		-	3	Out		No									0	2	18	41	31	8			92,419	*
74		7	9		-	2	Out		No									0	1	11	34	40	14			77,007
		6	8		-	4	Out		No									0	1	10	34	40	15			60,452	*
73		7	10		-	1	Out		No									0	0	5	26	45	24			47,719
		6	9		-	3	Out		No										0	5	24	46	25			53,942	*
72		6	10		-	2	Out		No										0	2	16	45	37			40,818
		5	9		-	4	Out		No										0	2	16	44	38			31,237	*
71		6	11		-	1	Out		No										0	1	9	40	50			47,092	*
70		5	11		-	2	Out		No											0	4	32	63			29,407	*
69		5	12		-	1	Out		No											0	2	23	75			16,808	*
68		4	12		-	2	Out		No												1	16	83			9,095	*
67		4	13		-	1	Out		No												0	10	89			4,493	*
66		3	13		-	2	Out		No													7	93			2,228	*
65		3	14		-	1	Out		No													3	97			929	*
64		2	14		-	2	Out		No													1	99			325	*
63		2	15		-	1	Out		No													2	98			148	*
58	-62						Out		No														100			258	*

Total:							3.6	%	No					0	0	0	4	12	24	23	18	13	7			2,401,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sharks 5 Canucks 3	-0.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Blue Jackets vs Wild	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Lightning vs Ducks	-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Stars vs Flames	+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

94		18	0		-	0									2	6	0	0	44	10	35	1
93		17	0		-	1										5	2	5	23	20	39	7
92		17	1		-	0										1		0	9	24	45	19	1	0
91		16	1		-	1										0		0	2	21	32	40	4	1	0
90		15	1		-	2										0		0	0	13	15	60	6	3	2	0
89		15	2		-	1										0				6	5	69	6	6	4	2	0	0
88		14	2		-	2														4	1	64	4	8	10	7	2	0	0	0
87		14	3		-	1												0		2	0	53	1	6	12	14	9	3	0	0
86		13	3		-	2														1	0	40	0	2	9	18	18	9	2	0	0
85		13	4		-	1														0		27	0	1	4	14	24	20	9	2	0	0
84		12	4		-	2														0		16		0	1	7	20	28	20	7	1	0
		13	5		-	0														0		16	0	0	1	7	20	28	20	7	1	0
83		12	5		-	1														0		9		0	0	3	12	27	29	15	4	0	0
		11	4		-	3														0		8		0	0	2	10	25	30	19	5	1	0
82		11	5		-	2														0		4		0	0	1	4	17	31	28	12	2	0	0
		10	4		-	4														0		3			0	0	3	14	30	31	15	3	0	0
		12	6		-	0																4			0	1	5	18	32	27	11	2	0	0
81		11	6		-	1																2			0	0	1	8	24	34	23	6	1	0
		10	5		-	3																1				0	1	7	22	35	26	8	1	0	0
80		10	6		-	2																1				0	0	2	12	30	34	16	3	0	0	0
		9	5		-	4																0				0	0	2	10	28	36	19	4	0	0
		11	7		-	0																1				0	0	3	13	31	34	15	3	0	0
79		10	7		-	1																0					0	1	5	20	37	27	8	1	0	0
		9	6		-	3																0					0	0	4	18	36	30	10	1	0	0
78		9	7		-	2																0					0	0	1	9	29	37	19	4	0	0
		8	6		-	4																0					0	0	1	8	27	38	21	5	0	0
		10	8		-	0																0					0	0	2	10	30	36	18	4	0	0
77		9	8		-	1																0						0	0	4	19	37	29	10	1	0
		8	7		-	3																0						0	0	3	17	36	32	11	2	0
76		8	8		-	2																							0	1	9	29	37	20	4	0
		7	7		-	4																							0	1	7	27	38	22	5	0
		9	9		-	0																							0	1	9	29	37	20	4	0
75		8	9		-	1																								0	3	18	36	31	10	1
		7	8		-	3																							0	0	3	17	37	31	11	1
74		7	9		-	2																							0	0	1	9	29	38	20	3
		6	8		-	4																								0	1	8	28	38	21	4
73		7	10		-	1																								0	0	4	20	39	30	7
		6	9		-	3																									0	3	18	38	32	9
72		6	10		-	2																									0	1	10	33	40	16
71		6	11		-	1																									0	0	5	24	45	26
70		5	11		-	2																										0	2	15	44	39
69		5	12		-	1																										0	1	8	39	52
68		4	12		-	2																											0	4	31	64
67		4	13		-	1																												2	23	75
66		3	13		-	2																												0	16	84
65		3	14		-	1																													10	90
64		2	14		-	2																													6	94
63		2	15		-	1																													5	95
62		1	15		-	2																													5	95
58	-61																																			100

Total:															0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	3	5	8	12	15	17	15	11	7	3