Florida Panthers Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Beat Rangers 2-1, playoff odds up 7.4 to 84.7%

76 points 33 22-10

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Panthers 2 Rangers 1	+7.1		+0.5
Devils 2 Oilers 3	+0.6
Maple Leafs 4 Sabres 2	*+0.2		+0.0
Canadiens 4 Blackhawks 3	*-0.1
Coyotes 2 Bruins 3			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jackets vs Wild	-0.6-0.7-0.4*+0.2+0.3+0.7
Lightning vs Ducks	-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.0+0.3+0.8		-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Rangers vs Blackhawks	-0.4-0.5-0.3*+0.1+0.3+0.5
Penguins vs Flyers	-0.2-0.1-0.3+0.0*-0.1+0.3
Senators vs Red Wings	-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Panthers finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

110	17	0		-	0	In		2.3	%	42	45	14														219
109	16	0		-	1	In		No		19	45	35														62
108	16	1		-	0	In		No		17	41	42														361	*
107	15	1		-	1	In		No		9	38	52	0	1												1,103	*
106	14	1		-	2	In		No		5	30	62	1	2												3,390	*
105	14	2		-	1	In		No		2	23	67	2	5												7,230	*
104	13	2		-	2	In		No		1	16	69	3	11		0										16,054	*
103	13	3		-	1	In		No		0	11	65	6	18	0	0										28,784	*
102	12	3		-	2	In		No		0	7	57	10	26	0	0										50,503	*
101	12	4		-	1	In		No		0	3	46	13	37	0	0										77,188	*
100	11	4		-	2	In		No		0	2	32	16	48	1	1	0									65,321
	12	5		-	0	In		No		0	2	33	16	47	1	1	0									48,708	*
99	11	5		-	1	In		No			1	22	18	55	2	2	0									82,537
	10	4		-	3	In		No			1	19	16	59	3	3	0									68,947	*
98	10	5		-	2	In		No			0	11	16	61	6	6	0									109,659
	11	6		-	0	In		No			0	13	16	60	6	5	0									46,025	*
	9	4		-	4	100.0	%	No			0	9	14	62	7	7	0	0								36,410
97	10	6		-	1	100.0		No			0	5	13	58	12	10	0	0								113,621
	9	5		-	3	100.0		No			0	4	11	58	14	12	1	0								105,892	*
96	9	6		-	2	99.9		No			0	2	8	48	21	19	2	0	0							138,183
	10	7		-	0	99.9		No			0	2	10	50	20	17	2	0								50,842	*
	8	5		-	4	99.9		No			0	1	7	46	23	21	2	0	0							54,022	*
95	9	7		-	1	99.6		No			0	1	5	34	28	27	5	0	0	0						122,756
	8	6		-	3	99.4		No			0	0	4	30	29	29	7	1	0							122,160	*
94	8	7		-	2	97.5		No			0	0	2	17	31	33	14	2	0	0						134,968
	7	6		-	4	96.8		No			0	0	1	15	31	34	16	3	0	0						49,626
	9	8		-	0	98.1		No				0	3	19	32	32	12	2	0	0						52,899	*
93	8	8		-	1	92.1		No				0	1	8	28	32	23	7	1	0	0					104,892
	7	7		-	3	90.1		No				0	0	6	26	31	26	8	1	0	0					106,279	*
92	7	8		-	2	77.2		No				0	0	2	19	23	32	17	5	1	0					102,213
	6	7		-	4	73.7		No					0	2	18	22	32	20	6	1	0	0				37,158
	8	9		-	0	80.0		No					0	3	21	25	31	15	4	0	0					39,922	*
91	7	9		-	1	58.2		No					0	1	12	14	31	27	12	3	0	0				70,086
	6	8		-	3	52.0		No					0	0	10	12	30	30	14	3	0	0				69,624	*
90	6	9		-	2	31.8		No					0	0	5	5	21	33	25	9	2	0	0			104,734	*
89	6	10		-	1	15.4		No						0	2	2	11	28	32	19	5	1	0			37,157
	5	9		-	3	12.0		No					0		2	1	9	25	33	22	7	1	0			34,811	*
88	5	10		-	2	4.4		No							1	0	4	15	31	31	15	3	0	0		47,602	*
87	5	11		-	1	1.0		No							0	0	1	6	22	34	27	9	1	0		28,264	*
86	4	11		-	2	0.2		No							0	0	0	2	10	28	36	19	4	0		16,189	*
85	4	12		-	1	0.0		No									0	0	4	18	35	31	11	1		8,329	*
84	3	12		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	1	9	28	38	21	3		4,118	*
83	3	13		-	1	Out		No											0	4	17	38	30	11		1,760	*
82	2	13		-	2	Out		No												1	11	30	41	17	0	762	*
81	2	14		-	1	Out		No													3	23	42	32	0	248	*
80	1	14		-	2	Out		No												1	2	20	35	41	1	97	*
79	1	15		-	1	Out		No															32	68		19	*
78	1	16		-	0	Out		No															17	83		6	*
77	0	16		-	1	Out		No																100		1
76	0	17		-	0	Out		No														2	8	75	15	199

Total:						84.7	%	0.0	%	0	1	9	6	29	15	15	10	7	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	2,401,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Panthers 2 Rangers 1	-0.8
Coyotes 2 Bruins 3	+0.1
Devils 2 Oilers 3	-0.1
Maple Leafs 4 Sabres 2	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Lightning vs Ducks	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

110	17	0		-	0	2	39	33	12	12	2
109	16	0		-	1		19	15	31	26	10
108	16	1		-	0		17	15	26	25	17
107	15	1		-	1		9	9	29	21	30	0		1
106	14	1		-	2		5	5	25	19	43	1	0	2	0
105	14	2		-	1		2	2	21	14	53	2	0	5	0
104	13	2		-	2		1	1	16	9	60	2	1	9	1			0
103	13	3		-	1		0	0	11	4	61	4	3	14	3	0		0
102	12	3		-	2		0	0	6	2	56	4	5	18	8	0		0	0
101	12	4		-	1		0	0	3	0	45	4	9	22	15	0		0	0
100	11	4		-	2		0		2	0	32	4	13	22	26	1	0	1	0	0
	12	5		-	0		0		2	0	33	4	12	22	25	1		1	0	0
99	11	5		-	1				1	0	22	3	15	19	36	2	0	2	0	0
	10	4		-	3				1	0	19	2	14	19	40	3	0	2	0	0
98	10	5		-	2				0	0	11	1	14	14	47	6	0	5	1	0
	11	6		-	0				0		13	2	15	14	45	5	0	4	1	0
	9	4		-	4				0		9	1	13	13	48	7	0	5	1	0		0
97	10	6		-	1				0		5	1	12	8	50	12	1	7	3	0		0
	9	5		-	3				0		4	1	11	8	50	13	1	9	4	1		0
96	9	6		-	2				0		2	0	8	4	44	19	2	11	8	2		0	0
	10	7		-	0				0		2	0	10	4	46	18	2	10	7	2		0
	8	5		-	4				0		1	0	7	3	43	20	2	12	9	2		0	0
95	9	7		-	1				0		1	0	5	1	33	24	4	13	14	5	0	0	0	0
	8	6		-	3				0		0	0	4	1	30	25	5	14	16	7	0	1	0
94	8	7		-	2				0		0	0	2	0	17	24	7	12	21	14	0	2	0	0
	7	6		-	4				0		0	0	1	0	15	23	7	12	22	16	0	3	0	0
	9	8		-	0						0	0	3	0	19	25	7	12	20	12	0	2	0	0
93	8	8		-	1						0		1	0	8	19	10	8	24	23	0	7	1	0	0
	7	7		-	3						0		0	0	6	17	9	8	24	25	0	8	1	0	0
92	7	8		-	2						0		0	0	2	10	9	4	20	31	1	17	5	1	0
	6	7		-	4								0	0	2	9	8	3	19	31	2	20	6	1	0	0
	8	9		-	0								0	0	3	12	9	4	21	29	1	15	4	0	0
91	7	9		-	1								0		1	5	7	1	13	28	3	27	12	3	0	0
	6	8		-	3								0		0	4	6	1	11	27	3	30	14	3	0	0
90	6	9		-	2								0		0	2	4	0	5	17	4	33	25	9	2	0	0
89	6	10		-	1										0	1	2	0	2	8	3	27	32	20	5	1	0
	5	9		-	3								0			0	1	0	1	6	3	24	33	22	7	1	0
88	5	10		-	2											0	1	0	0	2	2	14	30	31	16	3	0	0
87	5	11		-	1											0	0		0	0	1	5	20	33	28	11	2	0	0
86	4	11		-	2											0	0		0	0	0	1	8	24	35	23	7	1	0
85	4	12		-	1																0	0	2	13	28	33	19	5	1	0
84	3	12		-	2																0	0	0	4	17	33	30	13	3	0
83	3	13		-	1																			1	7	22	33	23	11	2	0
82	2	13		-	2																			0	2	10	28	30	20	9	1	0
81	2	14		-	1																					3	15	29	31	17	4	1
80	1	14		-	2																					1	9	19	26	27	13	5
79	1	15		-	1																								26	37	26	11
78	1	16		-	0																								17	33	33	17
77	0	16		-	1																										100
76	0	17		-	0																								2	7	26	32	26	7	1

Total:						0	0	0	1	0	8	1	6	6	23	11	4	6	9	9	1	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0