Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.001 to 99.99%

81 points 38 19-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Devils 2 Oilers 3	-0.1
Canadiens 4 Blackhawks 3	+0.1		+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Oilers vs Jets	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.2
Rangers vs Blackhawks	+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Kings vs Islanders	+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Avalanche finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

121	20	0		-	0	In		94.1	%	94	6															203
120	19	0		-	1	In		66.7		67	33															12
119	19	1		-	0	In		88.9		90	8	2														63	*
118	18	1		-	1	In		78.3		79	20	0														203	*
117	17	1		-	2	In		71.3		73	24	4														610	*
116	17	2		-	1	In		52.3		56	39	5														1,680	*
115	16	2		-	2	In		39.9		45	45	9	0													3,910	*
114	16	3		-	1	In		28.5		35	52	13	0													7,911	*
113	15	3		-	2	In		17.9		25	55	19	1													15,641	*
112	15	4		-	1	In		9.7		17	56	25	2													27,476	*
111	14	4		-	2	In		4.8		10	54	31	5													45,008	*
110	14	5		-	1	In		1.9		5	49	36	9													67,822	*
109	13	5		-	2	In		0.6		3	42	39	16													98,038	*
108	12	5		-	3	In		0.1		1	33	40	26	0												57,697
	13	6		-	1	In		0.2		1	35	39	25	0												71,179	*
107	12	6		-	2	In		0.0		0	27	37	36	0												89,356
	11	5		-	4	In		0.0		0	26	36	37	0												73,534	*
106	11	6		-	3	In		0.0		0	19	32	49	0												87,269
	12	7		-	1	In		0.0		0	20	32	48	0												104,391	*
105	11	7		-	2	In		No		0	14	26	60	0												116,346
	10	6		-	4	In		0.0		0	13	25	61	0												99,889	*
104	10	7		-	3	In		No		0	9	19	72	0	0											104,288
	11	8		-	1	In		No		0	9	19	72	0	0											121,812	*
103	10	8		-	2	In		No		0	6	13	81	0	0											120,713
	9	7		-	4	In		No			6	13	82	0	0											105,887	*
102	9	8		-	3	In		No			3	8	89	0	0											129,249	*
	10	9		-	1	In		No		0	4	8	88	0	0											83,755
101	9	9		-	2	In		No			2	5	93	0	0											101,425
	8	8		-	4	In		No			2	5	93	0	0	0										89,422	*
100	8	9		-	3	In		No			1	2	96	0	0											74,110
	9	10		-	1	In		No			1	2	96	0	0											86,335	*
99	8	10		-	2	In		No			0	1	97	1	1	0										69,251
	7	9		-	4	In		No			0	1	97	1	1											60,902	*
98	7	10		-	3	In		No			0	0	96	1	2	0	0									97,738	*
97	7	11		-	2	In		No			0	0	94	1	5	0	0									70,695	*
96	6	11		-	3	In		No			0	0	90	1	8	0	0									47,539	*
95	6	12		-	2	In		No			0	0	85	1	14	0	0									30,674	*
94	5	12		-	3	In		No				0	78	1	21	0	0									18,662	*
93	5	13		-	2	In		No			0		68	1	30	1	1									10,558	*
92	5	14		-	1	100.0	%	No			0		57	0	39	1	2	0								5,587	*
91	4	14		-	2	99.8		No					46	0	47	1	5	0								2,750	*
90	4	15		-	1	99.6		No					33		55	1	10	0								1,260	*
89	3	15		-	2	98.4		No					25		60	1	12	2								578	*
88	3	16		-	1	94.8		No					17		50	1	27	5	0							212	*
87	2	16		-	2	88.9		No					13		46		30	10	2							63	*
86	2	17		-	1	88.5		No					8		42		38	12								26	*
85	2	18		-	0	85.7		No							43		43	14								7	*
84	1	18		-	1	75.0		No							50		25		25							4	*
82	0	19		-	1	Out		No											100							1
81	0	20		-	0	10.1		No							5		5	23	37	23	7	1				199

Total:						100.0	%	0.6	%	1	14	17	66	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				2,401,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canadiens 4 Blackhawks 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rangers vs Blackhawks	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Stars vs Flames	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

121	20	0		-	0	94		6
120	19	0		-	1	67		33
119	19	1		-	0	89	2	8		2
118	18	1		-	1	78	1	20		0
117	17	1		-	2	71	1	24		4
116	17	2		-	1	52	4	39		5
115	16	2		-	2	40	6	45	0	9		0
114	16	3		-	1	29	7	51	1	13		0
113	15	3		-	2	18	7	54	1	19		1
112	15	4		-	1	10	7	54	3	25	0	2
111	14	4		-	2	5	5	49	4	31	0	5
110	14	5		-	1	2	4	42	7	36	0	9
109	13	5		-	2	1	2	33	10	39	0	16
108	12	5		-	3	0	1	22	11	39	0	26		0
	13	6		-	1	0	1	23	11	39	1	25		0
107	12	6		-	2	0	0	15	12	36	1	36	0	0
	11	5		-	4	0	0	14	12	35	1	37	0	0
106	11	6		-	3	0	0	8	11	30	2	49	0	0
	12	7		-	1	0	0	8	11	30	2	48	0	0
105	11	7		-	2		0	4	10	23	3	60	0	0
	10	6		-	4	0	0	4	9	23	3	61	0	0
104	10	7		-	3		0	2	7	16	3	72	0	0		0
	11	8		-	1		0	2	7	16	3	71	0	0		0
103	10	8		-	2		0	1	5	10	4	80	1	0		0
	9	7		-	4			1	5	9	4	80	1	0		0
102	9	8		-	3			0	3	5	3	86	3	0	0	0
	10	9		-	1		0	0	3	5	3	85	3	0	0	0
101	9	9		-	2			0	2	2	3	86	7	0	0	0
	8	8		-	4			0	2	2	3	86	8	0	0	0		0
100	8	9		-	3			0	1	1	2	81	15	0	0	0
	9	10		-	1			0	1	1	2	81	14	0	0	0
99	8	10		-	2			0	0	0	1	72	25	1	0	1		0
	7	9		-	4			0	0	0	1	70	26	1	0	1	0
98	7	10		-	3				0	0	0	57	39	1	0	2	0	0		0
97	7	11		-	2				0	0	0	40	54	1	1	4	0	0		0
96	6	11		-	3				0		0	25	65	0	1	8	1	0	0	0
95	6	12		-	2				0		0	14	71	0	1	10	3	0	0	0
94	5	12		-	3						0	6	72	0	1	12	9	0	0	0
93	5	13		-	2				0			2	66	0	1	11	18	0	0	1	0
92	5	14		-	1				0			1	56	0	0	8	31	0	1	1	1	0
91	4	14		-	2							0	46		0	4	43	0	1	2	3	0
90	4	15		-	1								33			2	54		1	2	8	0	0	0	0
89	3	15		-	2								25			1	60		1	1	11	0	1	0
88	3	16		-	1								17				50		1		27	1	1	3
87	2	16		-	2								13				46				30			6	3		2
86	2	17		-	1								8				42				38			8	4
85	2	18		-	0												43				43			14
84	1	18		-	1												50				25						25
82	0	19		-	1																							100
81	0	20		-	0												5				5					3	5	23	25	20	13	2

Total:						1	1	8	6	16	2	56	10	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0