Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 2.2%

56 points 22 29-12

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks 5 Canucks 3	+0.4		-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Lightning vs Ducks	-1.1-0.4-0.3+0.8+0.8+0.9		-0.4-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
Oilers vs Jets	+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Blue Jackets vs Wild	+0.1-0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1		+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Stars vs Flames			-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Ducks finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

94		19	0		-	0	99.5	%	No					2	0	32	65	0								203
93		18	0		-	1	In		No							27	73									15
92		18	1		-	0	97.6		No							20	78	2								123	*
91		17	1		-	1	94.8		No							11	84	5								388	*
90		16	1		-	2	86.8		No							7	80	13	0							1,100	*
89		16	2		-	1	77.4		No							4	73	21	2							2,655	*
88		15	2		-	2	65.9		No							2	64	31	3	0						6,432	*
87		15	3		-	1	50.5		No							1	50	42	8	0	0					12,478	*
86		14	3		-	2	36.4		No							0	36	48	15	1						23,274	*
85		14	4		-	1	23.9		No							0	24	50	24	2	0					38,951	*
84		13	4		-	2	13.2		No							0	13	46	35	5	0	0				62,876	*
83		13	5		-	1	6.9		No							0	7	37	45	10	1	0				44,839
		12	4		-	3	6.3		No							0	6	37	45	11	1	0				45,860	*
82		12	5		-	2	2.8		No								3	26	49	20	2	0	0			71,364
		11	4		-	4	2.8		No								3	26	49	20	2	0				54,364	*
81		12	6		-	1	1.0		No							0	1	16	47	30	6	0	0			73,653
		11	5		-	3	1.0		No								1	15	46	31	7	0	0			85,871	*
80		11	6		-	2	0.3		No								0	8	38	39	13	1	0			107,915
		10	5		-	4	0.2		No								0	7	36	40	14	2	0			46,599
		12	7		-	0	0.3		No								0	8	39	38	12	1	0			39,131	*
79		10	6		-	3	0.1		No								0	3	25	42	24	5	0			96,252
		11	7		-	1	0.1		No								0	3	27	43	23	4	0			119,533	*
78		10	7		-	2	0.0		No								0	1	16	39	33	10	1			128,363
		9	6		-	4	0.0		No								0	1	14	39	34	11	1			58,474
		11	8		-	0	0.0		No								0	1	16	40	33	9	1			45,837	*
77		9	7		-	3	0.0		No								0	0	7	30	41	19	3			103,974
		10	8		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	8	32	40	18	2			99,898
		8	6		-	5	Out		No									0	6	28	41	21	3			28,383	*
76		9	8		-	2	Out		No									0	3	20	41	29	6			120,675
		8	7		-	4	Out		No									0	3	18	41	31	7			57,226
		10	9		-	0	Out		No									0	3	21	41	28	6			43,149	*
75		8	8		-	3	Out		No									0	1	10	35	40	13			88,531
		9	9		-	1	Out		No									0	1	11	36	39	13			108,293	*
74		8	9		-	2	Out		No									0	0	5	27	45	22			91,026
		7	8		-	4	Out		No										0	5	25	46	25			42,866
		9	10		-	0	Out		No										0	5	28	45	21			32,740	*
73		7	9		-	3	Out		No										0	2	16	45	36			59,266
		8	10		-	1	Out		No										0	2	17	46	35			72,600	*
72		7	10		-	2	Out		No										0	1	10	41	49			55,816
		6	9		-	4	Out		No										0	1	9	40	50			45,189	*
71		6	10		-	3	Out		No											0	4	32	64			39,416	*
		7	11		-	1	Out		No										0	0	5	34	61			31,411
70		6	11		-	2	Out		No											0	2	24	74			48,001	*
69		6	12		-	1	Out		No											0	1	17	83			30,001	*
68		5	12		-	2	Out		No												0	10	89			17,929	*
67		5	13		-	1	Out		No												0	6	94			9,531	*
66		4	13		-	2	Out		No												0	3	97			5,213	*
65		4	14		-	1	Out		No													2	98			2,375	*
64		3	14		-	2	Out		No													1	99			1,054	*
56	-63						Out		No														100			827	*

Total:							2.2	%	No					0	0	0	2	8	17	21	21	18	13			2,401,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canadiens 4 Blackhawks 3	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Lightning vs Ducks	+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5
Blue Jackets vs Wild	-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Stars vs Flames	+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1
Penguins vs Flyers	-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

94		19	0		-	0									1	1	0		27	5	63	1	0
93		18	0		-	1													20	7	67	7
92		18	1		-	0													5	15	46	32	2
91		17	1		-	1													1	10	33	51	4	1
90		16	1		-	2													0	7	15	65	6	3	3	1	0
89		16	2		-	1														4	3	70	6	8	6	2	1	0
88		15	2		-	2														2	1	63	3	7	11	9	4	1	0
87		15	3		-	1														1	0	50	1	4	11	16	12	5	1	0
86		14	3		-	2														0		36	0	1	6	16	20	14	5	1	0	0
85		14	4		-	1														0		24	0	0	2	10	22	24	13	4	0	0
84		13	4		-	2														0		13		0	1	4	15	28	25	12	2	0	0
83		13	5		-	1														0		7		0	0	1	7	21	32	23	8	1	0
		12	4		-	3														0		6			0	1	6	20	32	25	9	1	0
82		12	5		-	2																3			0	0	2	10	27	33	19	5	0	0
		11	4		-	4																3			0	0	2	10	27	33	19	5	0	0
81		12	6		-	1														0		1				0	1	4	17	33	31	12	2	0
		11	5		-	3																1				0	0	4	15	32	32	13	2	0	0
80		11	6		-	2																0				0	0	1	7	23	37	25	7	1	0
		10	5		-	4																0					0	1	6	22	36	26	8	1	0
		12	7		-	0																0				0	0	1	8	25	37	23	6	0	0
79		10	6		-	3																0					0	0	2	11	31	35	17	3	0	0
		11	7		-	1																0					0	0	2	12	32	35	16	3	0	0
78		10	7		-	2																0						0	0	5	21	37	28	8	1	0
		9	6		-	4																0						0	0	4	19	37	29	9	1	0
		11	8		-	0																0						0	1	5	22	37	26	8	1	0
77		9	7		-	3																0						0	0	1	10	30	37	19	3	0
		10	8		-	1																0						0	0	1	10	31	37	17	3	0
76		9	8		-	2																							0	0	4	19	38	29	8	1
		8	7		-	4																							0	0	4	18	37	30	10	1
		10	9		-	0																							0	0	4	21	38	28	8	1
75		8	8		-	3																								0	1	9	30	38	18	3
		9	9		-	1																								0	1	10	32	38	17	2
74		8	9		-	2																								0	0	4	21	40	28	6
		7	8		-	4																								0	0	4	19	39	31	7
		9	10		-	0																								0	0	4	22	40	27	6
73		7	9		-	3																									0	1	11	34	40	14
		8	10		-	1																									0	1	12	35	39	13
72		7	10		-	2																									0	0	5	26	45	23
		6	9		-	4																									0	0	5	26	45	24
71		6	10		-	3																									0	0	2	17	45	36
70		6	11		-	2																										0	1	9	41	49
69		6	12		-	1																										0	0	5	33	62
68		5	12		-	2																											0	2	24	73
67		5	13		-	1																											0	1	18	82
66		4	13		-	2																												0	11	88
65		4	14		-	1																												0	7	93
64		3	14		-	2																													3	97
63		3	15		-	1																													3	97
62		2	15		-	2																													1	99
56	-61																																			100

Total:															0	0	0		0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	9	13	16	17	15	12	6