SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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we’re in the Wall Street Journal
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Atlanta612-0-1876.7%-1.810.3%+0.119151311108765424.3-0.130.5%-0.09.503Atlanta United FC
Orlando622-0-0273.3-2.38.8-0.117141211109875434.6-0.160.7+0.04.483Orlando City SC
Toronto FC511-2-0271.5-3.17.7-0.415141211109876534.7-0.230.7+0.017.486Toronto FC
Crew72-1-1164.7+9.95.1+2.2111111111010987645.3+0.741.1-1.46.469Columbus Crew
NYCFC411-1-1362.5-2.75.0-0.0101111111010998755.4-0.181.4-0.012.493New York City FC
Red Bulls72-1-1061.1-6.74.1-1.3910111110101098755.6-0.501.4+0.27.460New York Red Bulls
Revolution311-0-2149.9+17.22.5+1.767899101010101096.4+1.252.8-5.516.466New England Revolution
Fire411-1-1-243.7-3.41.8-0.1467891010111212116.8-0.233.8+0.111.437Chicago Fire
Impact210-2-1-136.3-2.61.2-0.034678910111314167.3-0.195.8+0.018.446Montreal Impact
Union210-2-1-136.2-2.61.2-0.034678910111314167.4-0.195.9+0.014.446Philadelphia Union
DC United110-1-2-624.3-2.00.5-0.01234679111317268.3-0.1710.8-0.115.438DC United

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/3
Atlanta 1 Red Bulls 2
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta-10.0
-1.7
+2.6
-0.8
Red Bulls+11.3
+2.6
-2.3
+0.9
Orlando 1 NYCFC 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando+6.7
+1.3
-1.6
+0.5
NYCFC-5.1
-1.1
+1.1
-0.4
Earthquakes 1 Impact 0
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta+0.4
Orlando+0.5
Toronto FC+0.5
Red Bulls+0.4
Revolution+0.5
Fire+0.5
Impact-4.5
-1.2
+1.1
-0.3
Union+0.5
DC United+0.4
Rapids 1 Revolution 0
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta+0.5
Orlando+0.4
Crew+0.5
NYCFC+0.5
Red Bulls+0.5
Revolution-4.5
-1.2
+1.1
-0.3
Fire+0.5
Impact+0.5
Union+0.4
Crew 1 Fire 1
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew-4.4
-1.1
+0.9
-0.3
Fire+0.5
-0.1
-0.2
+0.0
DC United 0 Sporting KC 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta+0.4
Orlando+0.4
Toronto FC+0.4
Crew+0.5
NYCFC+0.5
Red Bulls+0.5
Revolution+0.5
Fire+0.4
Impact+0.4
Union+0.4
DC United-4.3
-1.1
+0.9
-0.3
Whitecaps 0 Union 0
9:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew*+0.1
Impact*-0.1
Union*+0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Real Salt Lake 0 Toronto FC 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC-0.2
-0.2
-0.0
Crew*-0.1
Week of 3/11
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta-0.7
Orlando-0.6
Toronto FC-0.6
Crew-0.7
NYCFC-0.7
Red Bulls-0.6
Revolution-0.7
Fire+6.4
+1.3
-1.5
+0.5
Impact-0.6
Union-0.6
DC United-0.6
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta-0.6
Crew-0.6
NYCFC-0.6
Red Bulls+5.7
+2.4
-0.8
+0.5
Fire-0.6
DC United-0.6
Dynamo 3 Crew 1
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta+0.4
Crew-4.5
-0.8
+1.3
-0.3
NYCFC+0.5
Red Bulls+0.4
Revolution+0.5
Fire+0.5
Impact+0.5
Union+0.4
DC United+0.5
Impact 2 Sounders 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta+0.5
Toronto FC+0.4
Crew+0.4
NYCFC+0.3
Revolution+0.5
Fire+0.4
Impact-4.3
-0.5
+1.5
-0.3
Union+0.6
Union 2 Toronto FC 2
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC+0.6
-0.1
-0.2
+0.0
Union-4.1
-1.3
+0.6
-0.3
Revolution vs OrlandoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando68.873.882.4
6.88.513.4
0.90.60.3
4.94.53.8
Revolution57.045.539.9
3.51.81.3
1.73.44.5
5.86.77.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:24 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)