How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Earthquakes 1 Impact 0 +0.5
+0.0
Crew 1 Fire 1 +0.4
Rapids 1 Revolution 0 +0.4
+0.0
DC United 0 Sporting KC 0 +0.4
+0.0
Orlando 1 NYCFC 0 -0.2
Atlanta 1 Red Bulls 2 *-0.1
Real Salt Lake 0 Toronto FC 0 -0.2
-0.2
-0.0
Galaxy 1 FC Dallas 2 *-0.1
Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.6
-0.1
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.6
-0.1
-0.2
+0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.6
-0.0
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.4
-0.1
+0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.4
+0.0
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando-0.3+0.4*+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto FC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
74-98In100.0%100No2,546*
7321-5-5In99.51000No1,320*
7220-7-4In99.61000No2,228*
7120-6-5In99.01000No3,417*
7020-5-6In98.51000No5,208*
6919-7-5In97.9991No7,968*
6819-6-6In96.39910No11,763*
6718-8-5In94.09820No17,567*
6618-7-6In91.69730No24,343*
6518-6-7In87.19550No34,236*
6417-8-6In81.59370No46,378*
6317-7-7In74.5901000No61,767*
6217-6-8In66.0861410No80,279*
6116-8-7In55.5801910No102,656*
6016-7-8In43.87325200No127,634*
5915-9-7In32.46431500No156,852*
5815-8-8In21.45437810No187,747*
5715-7-9In12.6434213200No219,470*
5614-9-8100.0%6.33344193000No252,955*
5514-8-9100.02.52343277100No284,025*
5414-7-10100.00.8143833132000No313,338*
5313-9-9100.00.28303720510No339,521*
5213-8-1099.80.0420362810200No358,312*
5113-7-1199.40.02123033185100No370,025*
5012-9-1097.80.01621342710200No376,226*
4912-8-1193.8No02122832195100No374,033*
4811-10-1085.2No01519322812300No362,973*
4711-9-1171.4No002102633217100No345,488*
4611-8-1253.1No001417313014300No323,425*
4510-10-1134.0No0029243424810No295,440*
4410-9-1218.7No0031531321630No263,455*
4310-8-138.7No001723352581No229,861*
429-10-123.4No0031432331520.0%195,242*
419-9-131.1No001724382450.0164,098*
409-8-140.3No003163634100.1133,804*
398-10-130.1No0193141180.5106,886*
388-9-140.0No0052345281.883,350*
378-8-15OutNo021644384.663,223*
367-10-14OutNo011040499.447,284*
357-9-15OutNo005346017.434,488*
347-8-16OutNo03277027.624,132*
336-10-15OutNo01217837.816,741*
326-9-16OutNo01158450.611,276*
316-8-17OutNo0118960.27,286*
305-10-16OutNo079369.84,604*
295-9-17OutNo49678.72,758*
285-8-18OutNo39783.21,651*
274-10-17OutNo19990.2999*
264-9-18OutNo19992.1557*
254-8-19OutNo19995.2335*
5-24OutNo10099.41,038*
Total:71.5%7.7%15141211109876530.7%6,482,208

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/3100.0*Lottery seed
Crew 1 Fire 1 -0.1
DC United 0 Sporting KC 0 -0.0
Earthquakes 1 Impact 0 -0.0
Rapids 1 Revolution 0 -0.0
Orlando 1 NYCFC 0 +0.0
Whitecaps 0 Union 0 -0.0
Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 -0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.1
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
76-98100
7522-4-51000
7421-6-4100
7321-5-510000
7220-7-410000
7120-6-59910
7020-5-69910
6919-7-59811
6819-6-696310
6718-8-594420
6618-7-6926300
6518-6-7878500
6417-8-68111700
6317-7-7751510000
6217-6-86620140100
6116-8-75524180100
6016-7-844292412000
5915-9-732322935000
5815-8-821333258010
5715-7-9133132101202000
5614-9-8626291518130000
5514-8-9320222123370100
5414-7-10113132426712020000
5313-9-90862323131925010
5213-8-100421816202351002000
5113-7-1102011822231117150100
5012-9-1001063181618234100200
4912-8-1100211182122101815100
4811-10-1001052171517234123000
4711-9-11000201062022112081000
4611-8-1200104215131824165100
4510-10-1100020851921261441000
4410-9-120003114122625134100
4310-8-130001075172824134100
429-10-12000317202824123100
419-9-130001021022292310300
409-8-140000312252921810
398-10-13000151528301750
388-9-1400017203127112
378-8-15003122734205
367-10-140151935309
357-9-1500211313817
347-8-16016234328
336-10-15003164338
326-9-1601103851
316-8-17063460
305-10-16032770
295-9-17012079
285-8-1811683
274-10-1701090
264-9-180892
254-8-190495
243-10-18397
233-9-19199
5-22100
Total:8877766564545543332211