Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 2018-2019

Lost to Colorado Avalanche 2-8, playoff odds down 10.1 to 14.3%

20 points 9 10-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	+0.4-0.1-0.0-0.5*-0.2-0.2		+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0		+0.0*-0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars			+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Los Angeles Kings finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

115	-142						In		Yes		100																208	*
114		44	11		-	6	In		60.0	%	80	20															5	*
113		44	12		-	5	In		76.9		100																13	*
112		43	12		-	6	In		35.0		70	25	5														20	*
111		43	13		-	5	In		21.4		57	36	7														28	*
110		42	13		-	6	In		18.6		61	36	3														70	*
109		42	14		-	5	In		11.1		40	54	6	1													126	*
108		41	14		-	6	In		3.8		34	57	9														186	*
107		41	15		-	5	In		3.0		28	54	14	3	0												305	*
106		40	15		-	6	In		1.1		21	58	15	5	1												544	*
105		40	16		-	5	In		0.7		15	59	17	7	1	0											875	*
104		39	16		-	6	In		0.1		10	61	15	12	3	0											1,266	*
103		39	17		-	5	In		0.0		5	59	14	17	5	1	0										2,061	*
102		38	17		-	6	In		No		3	51	14	24	7	1	0										3,016	*
101		38	18		-	5	In		No		1	44	11	32	8	3	1	0									4,309	*
100		37	18		-	6	In		No		0	36	8	37	10	6	2	0									6,470	*
99		37	19		-	5	100.0	%	No		0	29	6	40	12	10	3	0	0								8,746	*
98		36	19		-	6	99.9		No		0	22	3	42	11	16	5	1	0								11,999	*
97		36	20		-	5	99.7		No		0	16	2	40	10	23	7	2	0	0							16,070	*
96		35	20		-	6	98.9		No		0	10	1	36	8	30	9	5	1	0	0						21,149	*
95		35	21		-	5	96.9		No			7	0	29	5	36	11	9	3	0	0						27,465	*
94		34	21		-	6	93.2		No			4	0	23	3	38	12	14	6	1	0						34,407	*
93		34	22		-	5	86.3		No			2	0	16	2	37	11	18	11	3	0	0					43,093	*
92		33	22		-	6	75.8		No			1	0	11	1	33	9	21	17	6	1	0					52,213	*
91		33	23		-	5	62.2		No			0		7	0	27	7	21	24	11	2	0	0	0			62,846	*
90		32	23		-	6	47.0		No			0	0	4	0	20	4	19	28	18	6	1	0				73,591	*
89		32	24		-	5	32.8		No			0		2	0	15	2	14	29	25	10	2	0	0			84,558	*
88		31	24		-	6	20.0		No			0		1	0	9	1	9	26	31	17	5	1	0			95,561	*
87		31	25		-	5	11.4		No			0		0	0	5	0	5	20	32	25	9	2	0	0		106,043	*
86		30	25		-	6	5.7		No			0		0		3	0	3	14	30	31	16	4	0	0		115,694	*
85		30	26		-	5	2.7		No			0		0		2	0	1	8	24	34	23	8	1	0		123,632	*
84		29	26		-	6	1.1		No					0		1	0	0	4	17	32	30	13	2	0		129,544	*
83		29	27		-	5	0.4		No					0		0	0	0	2	11	28	34	20	5	0		134,034	*
82		28	27		-	6	0.1		No							0		0	1	6	21	35	27	9	1		135,739	*
81		28	28		-	5	0.0		No					0		0		0	0	3	15	33	33	14	2		134,923	*
80		27	28		-	6	0.0		No							0		0	0	1	9	27	38	21	3		131,404	*
79		27	29		-	5	0.0		No							0			0	1	5	21	39	29	6		125,891	*
78		26	29		-	6	Out		No										0	0	3	15	37	36	9		118,201	*
77		26	30		-	5	Out		No										0	0	1	10	32	42	14		109,009	*
76		25	30		-	6	Out		No										0	0	1	6	27	46	21		99,197	*
75		25	31		-	5	Out		No											0	0	3	21	48	28		87,919	*
74		24	31		-	6	Out		No											0	0	2	15	47	36		77,655	*
73		24	32		-	5	Out		No												0	1	11	44	44		66,245	*
72		23	32		-	6	Out		No												0	0	7	40	52		55,605	*
71		23	33		-	5	Out		No													0	4	35	61		46,133	*
70		22	33		-	6	Out		No												0	0	3	30	67		37,353	*
69		22	34		-	5	Out		No													0	2	24	74		29,893	*
68		21	34		-	6	Out		No													0	1	19	80		23,217	*
67		21	35		-	5	Out		No													0	0	15	84		17,791	*
66		20	35		-	6	Out		No													0	0	12	88		13,346	*
65		20	36		-	5	Out		No														0	8	92		9,739	*
64		19	36		-	6	Out		No														0	6	94		7,334	*
63		19	37		-	5	Out		No														0	4	96		5,110	*
62		18	37		-	6	Out		No															3	97		3,528	*
61		18	38		-	5	Out		No														0	3	97		2,413	*
60		17	38		-	6	Out		No															2	98		1,618	*
59		17	39		-	5	Out		No															1	99		1,042	*
58		17	40		-	4	Out		No															1	99		711	*
57		16	40		-	5	Out		No															1	99		437	*
20	-56						Out		No																100		800	*

Total:							14.3	%	0.0	%	0	1	0	3	0	5	1	3	6	9	11	14	16	17	13		2,502,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks	-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes	-0.0+0.0-0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets	-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues	-0.0-0.0+0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

115	-142						100
114		44	11		-	6	60	20	20
113		44	12		-	5	77	23
112		43	12		-	6	35	35	20	5	5
111		43	13		-	5	21	36	21	14	7
110		42	13		-	6	19	43	30	6	3
109		42	14		-	5	11	29	42	12	5	1	1
108		41	14		-	6	4	30	42	15	8	1
107		41	15		-	5	3	25	31	23	11	3	3		0
106		40	15		-	6	1	19	30	28	11	4	5		1
105		40	16		-	5	1	14	25	34	11	7	7	0	1		0
104		39	16		-	6	0	10	21	40	7	8	11	1	3	0	0
103		39	17		-	5	0	5	15	44	6	8	15	1	5	0	1		0
102		38	17		-	6		3	10	41	4	10	21	3	6	0	1		0
101		38	18		-	5		1	6	38	3	9	25	6	7	1	3		1	0	0
100		37	18		-	6		0	3	33	1	7	26	11	8	2	6	0	1	0	0
99		37	19		-	5		0	2	28	0	5	24	16	8	3	10	0	3	0	0		0
98		36	19		-	6		0	1	21	0	3	20	22	7	5	15	0	4	0	1		0
97		36	20		-	5		0	0	16	0	2	15	25	5	6	22	1	6	1	2	0	0	0
96		35	20		-	6		0	0	10	0	1	10	26	3	5	27	3	8	1	5		1	0	0
95		35	21		-	5			0	7		0	5	24	1	4	30	5	9	2	9	0	3	0	0
94		34	21		-	6			0	4		0	3	20	0	3	29	9	8	3	13	0	6	1	0
93		34	22		-	5				2		0	1	15	0	2	24	13	6	5	17	1	11	3	0	0
92		33	22		-	6				1		0	0	10	0	1	18	15	4	5	20	2	17	6	1	0
91		33	23		-	5				0			0	6	0	0	11	16	2	4	17	4	23	11	3	0	0	0
90		32	23		-	6				0		0	0	4		0	6	14	1	3	13	5	27	19	6	1	0	0
89		32	24		-	5				0			0	2		0	3	12	0	2	8	6	26	26	12	3	0	0	0
88		31	24		-	6				0			0	1		0	1	8	0	1	4	5	21	30	20	8	2	0	0	0
87		31	25		-	5				0				0		0	0	5	0	0	1	4	13	27	27	15	5	1	0	0	0
86		30	25		-	6				0				0			0	3	0	0	0	2	7	20	29	23	11	4	1	0	0	0
85		30	26		-	5				0				0			0	1		0	0	1	3	11	23	27	20	9	3	1	0	0
84		29	26		-	6								0			0	1		0	0	0	1	5	15	25	26	17	8	2	0	0	0
83		29	27		-	5								0				0		0	0	0	0	2	7	17	25	24	16	7	2	0	0	0
82		28	27		-	6												0			0	0	0	0	2	9	18	25	23	14	6	1	0	0	0
81		28	28		-	5								0				0				0	0	0	1	3	10	20	25	22	13	5	1	0	0
80		27	28		-	6												0				0	0	0	0	1	4	12	22	26	20	10	3	1	0	0	0
79		27	29		-	5												0							0	0	1	6	14	24	26	18	8	2	0	0
78		26	29		-	6																			0	0	0	2	7	17	25	25	15	6	1	0	0
77		26	30		-	5																				0	0	1	3	10	20	27	23	12	4	1	0
76		25	30		-	6																				0	0	0	1	4	13	23	28	20	8	2	0
75		25	31		-	5																					0	0	0	2	7	17	27	26	15	5	1
74		24	31		-	6																						0	0	1	3	10	23	30	23	9	1
73		24	32		-	5																							0	0	1	5	16	29	29	16	3
72		23	32		-	6																								0	0	3	10	24	33	24	7
71		23	33		-	5																							0	0	0	1	5	17	33	32	12
70		22	33		-	6																									0	0	2	12	29	38	18
69		22	34		-	5																									0	0	1	7	24	41	27
68		21	34		-	6																										0	0	3	18	42	37
67		21	35		-	5																										0	0	2	12	39	47
66		20	35		-	6																											0	1	8	36	56
65		20	36		-	5																											0	0	5	29	66
64		19	36		-	6																												0	3	24	73
63		19	37		-	5																												0	2	18	81
62		18	37		-	6																													1	13	86
61		18	38		-	5																													0	11	88
60		17	38		-	6																													0	7	93
59		17	39		-	5																													0	5	95
58		17	40		-	4																														4	96
57		16	40		-	5																														1	99
56		16	41		-	4																														1	99
55		15	41		-	5																														1	99
20	-54																																				100

Total:							0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	3	1	1	2	1	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	4	3