Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 2018-2019

Lost to Boston Bruins 1-2 (ot), playoff odds down 0.02 to 13%

18 points 7 10-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals	+2.7+2.5+2.5-1.2-1.3-3.7		+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.2-0.5
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning	+0.2+0.1-0.2*-0.2-0.5-0.3
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres	+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.3-0.3
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets	-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit Red Wings finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

118	-140						In		Yes		100																201	*
114		46	11		-	4	In		33.3	%	33		67														3
112		43	10		-	8	In		33.3		33	33	33														3	*
111		44	12		-	5	In		22.2		22	33	33	11													9	*
110		42	11		-	8	In		No			38	62														13	*
109		42	12		-	7	In		14.3		29	36	32		4												28	*
108		42	13		-	6	In		2.0		8	43	43	4	2												51	*
107		42	14		-	5	In		No		12	30	41	6	11												66	*
106		42	15		-	4	In		2.5		7	31	40	11	12												121	*
105		41	15		-	5	In		0.5		3	24	47	5	20												217	*
104		40	15		-	6	In		No		3	21	42	15	19	1											345	*
103		40	16		-	5	In		No		1	18	32	20	27	2	1										558	*
102		39	16		-	6	In		No		1	11	26	26	31	3	2										796	*
101		39	17		-	5	In		No		0	8	21	26	37	4	3										1,304	*
100		38	17		-	6	In		No		0	6	15	27	39	9	3	0									2,038	*
99		38	18		-	5	In		No		0	4	10	26	41	13	6	0									2,905	*
98		37	18		-	6	In		No		0	3	5	25	39	19	9	0									4,192	*
97		37	19		-	5	100.0	%	No			2	3	22	35	26	11	1	0								6,068	*
96		36	19		-	6	99.9		No			1	1	17	30	32	16	3	0								8,326	*
95		36	20		-	5	99.6		No			1	1	13	23	36	20	6	0	0							11,606	*
94		35	20		-	6	98.8		No			0	0	10	17	39	23	9	1	0	0						15,747	*
93		35	21		-	5	97.2		No			0	0	7	11	40	25	14	3	0							20,566	*
92		34	21		-	6	93.9		No			0	0	4	6	38	25	21	5	1	0						27,011	*
91		34	22		-	5	88.4		No			0	0	2	3	33	23	27	10	2	0	0					34,174	*
90		33	22		-	6	80.3		No			0	0	1	2	27	19	31	16	4	0	0					42,195	*
89		33	23		-	5	69.5		No			0		1	1	21	14	33	22	7	1	0	0				51,389	*
88		32	23		-	6	56.0		No					0	0	15	10	30	29	12	3	0	0				61,805	*
87		32	24		-	5	41.1		No					0	0	11	6	25	33	20	5	1	0	0			72,028	*
86		31	24		-	6	28.1		No					0	0	7	3	18	33	26	10	2	0	0	0		83,472	*
85		31	25		-	5	17.6		No					0	0	4	1	12	29	32	17	4	1	0	0		95,253	*
84		30	25		-	6	9.8		No					0		2	1	7	23	33	24	9	1	0	0		104,818	*
83		30	26		-	5	4.8		No					0		1	0	3	16	31	30	15	4	0	0	0	115,115	*
82		29	26		-	6	2.1		No							1	0	2	9	25	33	22	7	1	0	0	122,574	*
81		29	27		-	5	0.8		No							0	0	1	5	18	32	28	13	3	0	0	129,661	*
80		28	27		-	6	0.3		No							0	0	0	2	11	27	32	20	6	1	0	133,546	*
79		28	28		-	5	0.1		No							0	0	0	1	6	20	32	27	11	2	0	134,816	*
78		27	28		-	6	0.0		No							0		0	0	3	13	29	32	18	5	0	135,010	*
77		27	29		-	5	0.0		No							0		0	0	1	8	23	33	25	9	1	131,858	*
76		26	29		-	6	0.0		No							0			0	1	4	16	32	31	14	2	126,721	*
75		26	30		-	5	0.0		No							0			0	0	2	10	27	35	21	4	119,226	*
74		25	30		-	6	Out		No										0	0	1	6	21	36	28	8	110,952	*
73		25	31		-	5	Out		No											0	0	3	15	34	35	13	100,139	*
72		24	31		-	6	Out		No											0	0	2	10	30	40	19	89,849	*
71		24	32		-	5	Out		No												0	1	6	24	43	27	78,273	*
70		23	32		-	6	Out		No												0	0	3	18	43	36	66,997	*
69		23	33		-	5	Out		No												0	0	2	13	41	45	56,602	*
68		22	33		-	6	Out		No													0	1	9	37	54	47,182	*
67		22	34		-	5	Out		No													0	0	5	32	62	38,104	*
66		21	34		-	6	Out		No														0	3	27	70	30,345	*
65		21	35		-	5	Out		No														0	2	21	77	23,402	*
64		20	35		-	6	Out		No														0	1	16	83	18,082	*
63		20	36		-	5	Out		No														0	1	12	87	13,646	*
62		19	36		-	6	Out		No															0	9	91	9,917	*
61		19	37		-	5	Out		No															0	6	94	7,295	*
60		18	37		-	6	Out		No															0	4	96	5,252	*
59		18	38		-	5	Out		No																3	97	3,465	*
58		17	38		-	6	Out		No															0	2	98	2,428	*
57		17	39		-	5	Out		No																1	99	1,650	*
56		16	39		-	6	Out		No																1	99	1,045	*
55		16	40		-	5	Out		No																1	99	635	*
54		15	40		-	6	Out		No																0	100	443	*
53		15	41		-	5	Out		No																1	99	278	*
52		14	41		-	6	Out		No																1	99	160	*
18	-51						Out		No																	100	424	*

Total:							13.0	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	1	1	4	2	5	7	9	11	12	12	13	12	11	2,502,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals	-0.7-0.6-0.6+0.3+0.3+0.9
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning	-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets	+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks	+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes	+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers	+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.0
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights	-0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils	+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

118	-140						100
114		46	11		-	4	33				67
112		43	10		-	8	33		33		33
111		44	12		-	5	22		33		33		11
110		42	11		-	8			38		62
109		42	12		-	7	14	14	36		25	7			4
108		42	13		-	6	2	6	43		35	8	4		2
107		42	14		-	5		12	29	2	32	9	6		11
106		42	15		-	4	2	4	24	7	26	15	11		12
105		41	15		-	5	0	3	19	5	27	20	5		19	0
104		40	15		-	6		3	17	4	18	24	14	0	17	1	1
103		40	16		-	5		1	10	8	12	20	19	0	24	3	2		1
102		39	16		-	6		1	7	5	8	18	25	1	25	6	3		2
101		39	17		-	5		0	3	5	3	18	24	2	26	11	4	0	3	0
100		38	17		-	6		0	2	4	2	14	23	5	23	17	9	0	3	0	0
99		38	18		-	5		0	1	4	0	10	19	6	17	24	12	0	5	1	0
98		37	18		-	6		0	0	3	0	5	15	10	13	26	18	1	7	2	0
97		37	19		-	5			0	1	0	3	11	11	7	28	24	2	8	3	1	0	0
96		36	19		-	6			0	1	0	1	6	11	4	26	27	5	10	6	3	0	0
95		36	20		-	5			0	0		1	3	10	1	22	27	9	10	10	5	0	0	0
94		35	20		-	6			0	0		0	2	8	0	17	25	14	8	14	8	2	1	0	0
93		35	21		-	5				0		0	1	6	0	11	21	20	6	19	11	4	3	0		0
92		34	21		-	6				0		0	0	4	0	6	14	23	4	21	13	8	5	1	0	0
91		34	22		-	5				0		0	0	2	0	3	9	24	2	21	12	15	8	3	1	0	0
90		33	22		-	6				0		0	0	1	0	2	5	23	1	18	9	22	11	6	2	0	0	0
89		33	23		-	5				0			0	1		1	2	19	0	14	5	28	12	11	5	2	0	0	0
88		32	23		-	6								0		0	1	15	0	10	2	28	11	15	11	5	1	0	0	0
87		32	24		-	5								0		0	0	10	0	6	1	24	7	15	18	12	5	1	0	0	0
86		31	24		-	6								0		0	0	7		3	0	18	4	12	20	19	11	4	1	0	0
85		31	25		-	5								0		0	0	4		1	0	12	1	7	16	23	19	11	4	1	0	0	0
84		30	25		-	6								0			0	2		1	0	7	0	3	10	20	24	19	10	3	1	0	0
83		30	26		-	5								0			0	1		0	0	3	0	1	4	13	22	25	18	9	3	1	0	0
82		29	26		-	6												1		0		2	0	0	2	6	15	24	24	17	8	2	0	0	0
81		29	27		-	5												0		0		1	0	0	0	2	8	17	25	24	15	6	2	0	0	0
80		28	27		-	6												0		0		0		0	0	1	3	9	19	26	23	13	5	1	0	0
79		28	28		-	5												0		0		0			0	0	1	4	12	22	26	21	11	3	1	0	0
78		27	28		-	6												0				0				0	0	1	5	14	24	26	18	8	2	0	0
77		27	29		-	5												0				0				0	0	0	2	7	17	26	26	15	5	1	0
76		26	29		-	6												0							0	0	0	0	1	3	10	21	28	23	11	3	0
75		26	30		-	5												0									0	0	0	1	5	14	26	28	18	6	1
74		25	30		-	6																						0	0	0	2	8	20	30	26	11	2
73		25	31		-	5																							0	0	1	4	13	27	32	19	4
72		24	31		-	6																							0	0	0	2	8	21	34	27	8
71		24	32		-	5																								0	0	1	4	15	32	34	14
70		23	32		-	6																								0	0	0	2	9	28	39	22
69		23	33		-	5																									0	0	1	6	22	41	30
68		22	33		-	6																									0	0	0	3	15	41	40
67		22	34		-	5																										0	0	1	11	37	50
66		21	34		-	6																											0	1	7	33	59
65		21	35		-	5																											0	0	4	27	68
64		20	35		-	6																												0	2	22	76
63		20	36		-	5																												0	1	17	82
62		19	36		-	6																													1	13	87
61		19	37		-	5																												0	0	9	91
60		18	37		-	6																													0	6	94
59		18	38		-	5																														4	96
58		17	38		-	6																													0	3	97
57		17	39		-	5																														2	98
56		16	39		-	6																														2	98
55		16	40		-	5																														1	99
54		15	40		-	6																														1	99
53		15	41		-	5																														1	99
52		14	41		-	6																														1	99
18	-51																																				100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	2	1	4	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	7