New York Rangers Playoff Chances 2018-2019

Lost to New York Islanders 1-3, playoff odds down 5.4 to 29.9%

19 points 9 12-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers	+4.2+4.0+3.6-1.8-1.7-5.9		+0.1+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2		+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.2-0.2-0.6
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins	-0.2-0.5-0.5+0.2+0.1+0.4
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning	+0.2+0.0+0.1-0.2-0.7-0.2
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres	+0.3-0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.2
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars	-0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New York Rangers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

116	-139						In		Yes		100																203	*
115		45	9		-	6	In		54.5	%	82	9	9														11	*
114		45	10		-	5	In		54.5		55	18	27														11	*
113		44	10		-	6	In		42.9		64	21	14														14	*
112		44	11		-	5	In		47.2		58	14	28														36	*
111		44	12		-	4	In		36.2		57	14	29														58	*
110		43	12		-	5	In		20.8		47	19	33		1												96	*
109		43	13		-	4	In		11.4		32	19	41	2	6												193	*
108		42	13		-	5	In		6.5		24	19	46	2	8		1										309	*
107		42	14		-	4	In		3.9		16	20	52	2	9		0										492	*
106		41	14		-	5	In		1.0		12	20	49	6	13		1										839	*
105		41	15		-	4	In		0.7		7	16	50	8	18		1										1,357	*
104		40	15		-	5	In		0.3		4	13	44	13	24	0	3										2,007	*
103		40	16		-	4	In		No		2	12	39	14	28	0	4	0									2,922	*
102		39	16		-	5	In		0.0		1	8	32	16	35	0	8	0									4,327	*
101		38	16		-	6	In		No		1	6	24	19	40	1	10	0									6,308	*
100		38	17		-	5	In		No		0	4	17	20	42	2	14	1									8,784	*
99		37	17		-	6	In		No		0	2	12	18	43	3	19	2									12,320	*
98		37	18		-	5	100.0	%	No		0	2	7	16	42	4	26	3	0								16,695	*
97		36	18		-	6	99.9		No		0	1	4	13	38	6	31	6	0								21,649	*
96		36	19		-	5	99.9		No		0	0	2	10	33	8	37	9	0								28,169	*
95		35	19		-	6	99.6		No			0	1	8	26	10	42	13	0	0							36,324	*
94		35	20		-	5	98.9		No			0	0	5	19	11	44	19	1	0							44,502	*
93		34	20		-	6	97.6		No			0	0	3	13	12	44	25	2	0	0						54,198	*
92		34	21		-	5	95.0		No			0	0	2	8	11	42	33	5	0	0						65,160	*
91		33	21		-	6	90.7		No			0	0	1	4	9	37	39	8	1	0						76,120	*
90		33	22		-	5	83.4		No			0	0	1	2	7	30	43	14	2	0	0					87,467	*
89		32	22		-	6	73.8		No					0	1	5	23	45	21	5	1	0	0				98,140	*
88		32	23		-	5	61.6		No					0	0	4	15	42	28	9	1	0	0				109,139	*
87		31	23		-	6	48.0		No					0	0	2	10	36	34	15	3	0	0	0			118,937	*
86		31	24		-	5	34.4		No					0	0	1	5	28	36	22	7	1	0	0			125,854	*
85		30	24		-	6	22.3		No					0	0	1	3	19	34	29	12	2	0	0			131,465	*
84		30	25		-	5	13.2		No					0	0	0	1	12	29	33	18	5	1	0			135,657	*
83		29	25		-	6	6.9		No					0	0	0	0	6	22	34	25	10	2	0	0		135,568	*
82		29	26		-	5	3.3		No					0		0	0	3	15	30	31	16	4	1	0	0	134,619	*
81		28	26		-	6	1.4		No							0	0	1	8	24	33	23	8	2	0	0	131,182	*
80		28	27		-	5	0.5		No							0	0	0	4	17	31	29	14	4	0	0	124,845	*
79		27	27		-	6	0.2		No							0	0	0	2	10	26	32	21	7	1	0	116,631	*
78		27	28		-	5	0.1		No									0	1	6	19	31	28	13	3	0	107,748	*
77		26	28		-	6	0.0		No							0		0	0	3	12	28	32	19	5	1	96,532	*
76		26	29		-	5	0.0		No							0		0	0	1	7	21	33	26	10	1	86,484	*
75		25	29		-	6	Out		No										0	0	4	15	30	32	16	3	74,529	*
74		25	30		-	5	Out		No										0	0	2	9	26	35	23	6	64,050	*
73		24	30		-	6	Out		No											0	1	5	19	35	30	10	53,653	*
72		24	31		-	5	Out		No											0	0	3	13	32	37	15	43,921	*
71		23	31		-	6	Out		No												0	1	8	27	41	22	35,125	*
70		23	32		-	5	Out		No												0	1	5	21	43	31	27,810	*
69		22	32		-	6	Out		No												0	0	3	15	42	40	21,699	*
68		22	33		-	5	Out		No													0	1	11	38	50	16,399	*
67		21	33		-	6	Out		No													0	1	7	34	59	12,407	*
66		21	34		-	5	Out		No													0	0	4	29	67	8,984	*
65		20	34		-	6	Out		No														0	2	23	74	6,432	*
64		20	35		-	5	Out		No														0	1	17	81	4,644	*
63		19	35		-	6	Out		No															1	13	86	3,198	*
62		19	36		-	5	Out		No															1	9	90	2,116	*
61		18	36		-	6	Out		No															0	7	93	1,397	*
60		18	37		-	5	Out		No															0	4	96	925	*
59		18	38		-	4	Out		No															0	4	96	618	*
58		17	38		-	5	Out		No																3	97	374	*
57		16	38		-	6	Out		No																1	99	220	*
56		16	39		-	5	Out		No																1	99	135	*
55		15	39		-	6	Out		No																2	98	83	*
19	-54						Out		No																	100	309	*

Total:							29.9	%	0.0	%	0	0	1	1	3	2	9	14	13	12	11	10	8	7	5	3	2,502,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers	-0.8-0.8-0.7+0.3+0.3+1.1
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins	+0.0*+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets	-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes	-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning	-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

116	-139						100
115		45	9		-	6	55	27	9		9
114		45	10		-	5	55		18		27
113		44	10		-	6	43	21	21		14
112		44	11		-	5	47	11	14		28
111		44	12		-	4	36	21	14		26	3
110		43	12		-	5	21	26	19		32	1			1
109		43	13		-	4	11	20	18	1	37	4	2		6
108		42	13		-	5	6	18	18	1	38	8	2		8	0			1
107		42	14		-	4	4	13	18	2	40	12	2		9				0
106		41	14		-	5	1	11	16	3	34	15	6		12	0			1
105		41	15		-	4	1	6	13	4	31	19	7	0	17	1			1
104		40	15		-	5	0	4	9	4	23	21	13		22	2	0		2	0
103		40	16		-	4		2	8	4	16	24	14	0	23	5	0		4	0	0
102		39	16		-	5	0	1	4	4	9	22	16	1	27	8	0		8	0	0
101		38	16		-	6		1	2	4	5	20	17	2	27	13	1		9	0	0
100		38	17		-	5		0	1	3	2	15	17	3	24	18	2	0	13	1	1
99		37	17		-	6		0	0	2	1	12	13	5	19	24	3	0	17	2	2	0
98		37	18		-	5		0	0	1	0	7	10	6	14	28	4	0	21	5	3	0	0
97		36	18		-	6		0	0	1	0	4	7	7	9	29	6	0	23	8	6	0	0
96		36	19		-	5		0	0	0	0	2	4	6	5	28	7	1	23	14	8	1	0
95		35	19		-	6			0	0	0	1	2	5	2	24	8	2	21	20	12	1	0	0
94		35	20		-	5			0	0		0	1	4	1	18	8	4	17	27	16	3	1	0
93		34	20		-	6				0		0	0	3	0	13	6	5	12	32	19	6	2	0	0
92		34	21		-	5				0		0	0	2	0	8	4	6	7	35	20	13	4	1	0	0
91		33	21		-	6				0		0	0	1	0	4	3	7	4	34	18	20	7	2	0	0	0
90		33	22		-	5				0		0	0	1	0	2	1	6	1	28	14	30	11	4	1	0	0
89		32	22		-	6							0	0		1	1	5	0	22	9	36	12	9	4	1	0	0
88		32	23		-	5								0		0	0	3	0	15	4	38	12	13	9	3	1	0	0	0
87		31	23		-	6								0		0	0	2	0	10	2	34	9	15	15	9	3	1	0	0	0
86		31	24		-	5							0	0		0	0	1	0	5	0	27	5	13	19	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
85		30	24		-	6								0		0	0	1		3	0	19	2	9	18	22	16	7	2	0	0	0	0
84		30	25		-	5								0		0	0	0		1	0	12	1	4	13	22	23	15	7	2	0	0	0
83		29	25		-	6								0		0		0		0	0	6	0	2	7	16	24	23	14	6	1	0	0	0
82		29	26		-	5								0				0		0		3	0	0	3	9	19	25	22	12	5	1	0	0
81		28	26		-	6												0		0		1	0	0	1	4	11	21	26	20	11	4	1	0	0
80		28	27		-	5												0		0		0		0	0	1	5	14	23	25	19	9	3	1	0	0
79		27	27		-	6												0		0		0		0	0	0	2	7	16	24	25	17	7	2	0	0
78		27	28		-	5																0			0	0	1	3	9	18	26	24	14	5	1	0	0
77		26	28		-	6												0				0			0	0	0	1	4	11	21	27	22	11	3	1	0
76		26	29		-	5												0				0				0	0	0	1	5	14	25	27	18	7	2	0
75		25	29		-	6																					0	0	0	2	8	18	27	26	14	4	0
74		25	30		-	5																						0	0	1	4	12	23	30	21	8	1
73		24	30		-	6																							0	0	1	6	17	29	29	15	3
72		24	31		-	5																							0	0	0	3	11	25	32	23	6
71		23	31		-	6																								0	0	1	6	19	33	31	11
70		23	32		-	5																								0	0	0	3	12	30	37	18
69		22	32		-	6																									0	0	1	7	24	41	26
68		22	33		-	5																										0	0	4	18	42	36
67		21	33		-	6																											0	2	13	39	46
66		21	34		-	5																											0	1	8	35	56
65		20	34		-	6																											0	0	5	30	65
64		20	35		-	5																												0	3	24	73
63		19	35		-	6																												0	1	19	80
62		19	36		-	5																													1	14	85
61		18	36		-	6																													0	9	91
60		18	37		-	5																													0	7	93
59		18	38		-	4																													0	6	94
58		17	38		-	5																														5	95
57		16	38		-	6																														2	98
56		16	39		-	5																														1	99
55		15	39		-	6																														2	98
19	-54																																				100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	1	2	7	3	11	3	3	4	5	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	2