How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues-3.9*-0.4*-0.3+3.8+3.8+4.0
-1.5-0.3-0.3+1.7+1.5+1.6
-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4
Winnipeg Jets vs Minnesota Wild+0.2*-0.4*-0.3*-0.2-0.6*+0.0
+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.0
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes*-0.0*+0.1-0.4*+0.2*-0.2+0.2
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars+0.3*-0.3*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning-0.1-0.3*-0.2*+0.1*+0.1+0.3
-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins+0.2*+0.1*+0.2-0.2*-0.2-0.1
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets+0.2*-0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis Blues finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121-147In98.8%100246*
1204611-5In90.093730*
1194511-6In86.0962250*
1184512-5In79.895599*
1174513-4In75.3955158*
1164413-5In71.6928264*
1154414-4In65.2891100428*
1144314-5In51.8821161679*
1134315-4In45.67921811,112*
1124215-5In34.07132411,680*
1114216-4In24.8643300302,566*
1104116-5In17.7554360403,919*
1094016-6In11.6465410805,538*
1084017-5In6.13764401217,679*
1073917-6In3.0287470171010,643*
1063918-5In1.4207471223014,504*
1053818-6In0.6146451285019,130*
1043819-5In0.2964123409024,895*
1033719-6In0.15535338012131,764*
1023720-5100.0%0.034274420182040,012*
1013620-6100.00.012214431244048,555*
1003621-599.9No12145411316058,537*
993521-699.8No0185372379069,084*
983522-599.6No005431343140079,810*
973422-699.1No002324446201090,769*
963423-598.0No0012175462720102,153*
953323-695.8No00011064434400111,600*
943324-591.7No0016539418100119,759*
933224-685.4No00034324613200127,248*
923225-575.9No00013244820400131,986*
913125-663.3No000121644288100133,868*
903126-549.2No00110383314300133,342*
893026-634.8No00152936216100132,313*
883027-522.6No000320352812300127,459*
872927-613.0No00112293319610121,022*
862928-57.0No00722332610200112,318*
852828-63.2No00314303117410102,838*
842829-51.3No001824332481092,713*
832729-60.5No0004173230143081,987*
822730-50.2No0002102734215070,266*
812630-60.0No001621342810160,397*
802631-50.0No00314313415250,526*
792531-60.0No0019263722441,262*
782532-5OutNo015203830733,454*
772432-6OutNo0031435371126,451*
762433-5OutNo001930421720,877*
752333-6OutNo00524462415,747*
742334-5OutNo00318463211,779*
732234-6OutNo021346408,724*
722235-5OutNo01842496,308*
712135-6OutNo0636584,523*
702136-5OutNo0432643,082*
692036-6OutNo126722,126*
682037-5OutNo0021781,427*
671937-6OutNo11584950*
661938-5OutNo01386615*
651838-6OutNo892349*
641839-5OutNo1090252*
631840-4OutNo1396147*
621740-5OutNo39777*
611640-6OutNo29852*
601641-5OutNo49623*
23-59OutNo100229*
Total:51.6%0.2%10418216191310975312,502,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues+0.8+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.8-0.8
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars-0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights-0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0
Winnipeg Jets vs Minnesota Wild-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.0
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets-0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
122-147100
1214711-48317
1204611-59037
1194511-6861022
1184512-580155
1174513-475205
1164413-572208
1154414-4652411000
1144314-552301161
1134315-4463421701
1124215-53437302401
1114216-4253930291030
1104116-5183731342040
1094016-61234413740800
1084017-5631423860121
1073917-63254337100017010
1063918-5119433313122030
1053818-61143328171027150
1043819-509242120203210900
1033719-6051414213036301201
1023720-5031381930384018020
1013620-6010241631367124040
1003621-5102212323291031060
993521-60011832251220361900
983522-5000042217143040214000
973422-6000021211134042420010
963423-500001125115040627020
953323-60000012851349340400
943324-500001154127124018100
933224-600000332191344213200
923225-500000122111343520400
913125-600000111511378278100
903126-50000128271132154000
893026-60001151613332382000
883027-50000028122729155100
872927-60000139193023113100
862928-50000161125281982000
852828-60000351526251672000
842829-50001281826231461000
832729-6000003102025221351000
822730-5000001411212521124100
812630-600001513222520104100
802631-5000261423251893100
792531-6000271624241672000
782532-500139182623145100
772432-6000141121272211300
762433-50001514242718820
752333-6000271828261540
742334-50131123292291
732234-600016162929153
722235-5003102433237
712135-601517343012
702136-500312303718
692036-6017234227
682037-504184335
671937-602114047
661938-50183457
651838-653164
641839-532473
631840-421286
621740-51486
611640-61387
601641-5991
591541-6694
23-58100
Total:0100220053101241541086543322211100