How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils-4.1*-0.4-0.8+3.8+4.0+4.1
-1.0*-0.1-0.2+0.9+0.9+1.0
-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.5
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins-0.2-0.5-0.5*-0.1*-0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres+0.2*+0.0*-0.2-0.4*-0.2-0.2
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes*+0.1*-0.3*-0.0*-0.3-0.5-0.2
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets-0.1*-0.1-0.4*-0.2*-0.3*+0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning-0.1*-0.2*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.2
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.1
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0*-0.1+0.1
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues*+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.2*-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey Devils finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
126-151InYes100361*
1254711-4In99.2%991118*
1244611-5In97.39811224*
1234612-4In97.59812400*
1224512-5In96.69712639*
1214513-4In93.59514934*
1204413-5In89.993351,561*
1194414-4In87.991452,342*
1184314-5In82.387573,615*
1174315-4In74.882811005,153*
1164215-5In67.3761014007,244*
1154216-4In59.27012180010,314*
1144116-5In50.16414220013,954*
1134117-4In40.05617270018,685*
1124017-5In30.64819320124,592*
1114018-4In22.540223711031,404*
1103918-5In15.433234212039,707*
1093919-4In9.525244623048,587*
1083819-5In5.318234945059,198*
1073820-4In2.6132252670069,293*
1063720-5In1.1920529100080,752*
1053721-4In0.45185012140092,079*
1043621-5In0.2315471618010101,999*
1033622-4In0.0212412023010112,527*
1023522-5In0.019352429020120,262*
1013422-6In0.007282734130127,846*
1003423-5In0.005212839260132,110*
993323-6InNo03152842380135,188*
983324-5100.0%No0210274461200135,297*
973224-6100.0No016244391610132,599*
963225-5100.0No0132041132110127,611*
953125-699.9No00216361726200120,512*
943126-599.7No0113292132500111,867*
933026-699.2No009222436810102,681*
923027-598.1No0061525381320091,829*
912927-695.7No0041024391940081,233*
902928-591.5No003622362571070,549*
892828-684.6No0131930311330060,290*
882829-574.2No1115243419610049,936*
872729-660.7No01111633271020040,912*
862730-546.2No00710283117510032,861*
852630-632.0No0046213224920026,240*
842631-520.1No002315303015410020,520*
832531-610.5No011824322392015,617*
822532-55.5No1041630291541011,844*
812432-62.1No00292431238208,587*
802433-50.8No0015173029144106,407*
792434-40.3No002112532218104,432*
782334-50.1No001618312813303,055*
772335-4OutNo0211263221712,121*
762235-5OutNo0161933271221,532*
752135-6OutNo13132933174962*
742136-5OutNo0262339247578*
732137-4OutNo0417343312400*
722037-5OutNo039274219274*
712038-4OutNo36264124160*
701938-5OutNo3428412579*
691939-4OutNo47306057*
681940-3OutNo435730*
671739-6OutNo10405020*
661740-5OutNo22789*
651741-4OutNo43577*
27-64OutNo100204*
Total:93.7%2.8%571914228135321000002,502,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils+0.9+0.1+0.2-0.9-0.9-0.9
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals-0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.1*+0.0+0.0
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers+0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.1*+0.1*+0.0
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks+0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0
Winnipeg Jets vs Minnesota Wild+0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
126-151100
1254711-4991
1244611-597011
1234612-498012
1224512-597012
1214513-493114
1204413-590335
1194414-488345
1184314-5825570
1174315-4757811000
1164215-56791014000
1154216-459111218000
1144116-5501414022000
1134117-4401617026000
1124017-5311819031101
1114018-422172103521100
1103918-515172213831200
1093919-49152214152300
1083819-551321241940500
1073820-43101933913607000
1063720-51716435179010000
1053721-4051352822120131000
1043621-50310521261601620100
1033622-4026514272011940100
1023522-501458272222170200
1013422-60024424233221210300
1003423-50013219236201820500
993323-60121142081725307100
983324-5002010161113316093000
973224-600106111383581115100
963225-500103713436112129100
953125-60000241223413412142000
943126-500121112913811214100
933026-600018022121282862100
923027-50006015916533752000
912927-6000401061833681131000
902928-5000306319135718521000
892828-60013217030526753100
882829-5111140242317973100
872729-6010100161325111273100
862730-50007010028310151483100
852630-600046021161420158200
842631-50002301503102022157200
832531-60118015142323146200
822532-51040027172522136200
812432-60020039192522135100
802433-500101412212521114100
792434-400015142425198300
782334-500002717252517710
772335-40292027231341
762235-501513222819102
752135-600151426301751
742136-5038232924102
732137-404152929186
722037-5272137249
712038-43318313611
701938-51310333320
691939-44193246
681940-3134343
671739-6104545
661740-5112267
651842-25743
27-64100
Total:335291095814444924111111000000000