Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 2018-2019

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 2.5%

16 points 7 12-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks	+3.7+3.5+3.4-1.4-1.4-4.5		+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1		+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.5
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars	+0.1+0.3+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights	+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.5-0.5-0.0				+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks					*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton Oilers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

138		61	0		-	0	In		Yes		100																200
110		45	12		-	4	In		No		50	50															2	*
109		43	11		-	7	In		No			100															3	*
108		44	13		-	4	In		16.7	%	67	17	17														6	*
107		42	12		-	7	In		No		50		50														4	*
106		43	14		-	4	In		No		32	41	14	9	5												22	*
105		42	14		-	5	In		No		5	82	9	5													22	*
104		41	14		-	6	In		No		5	62	14	11	8												37	*
103		41	15		-	5	In		No		6	59	20	11	2		1										88	*
102		40	15		-	6	In		No		2	57	13	22	4	2											127	*
101		40	16		-	5	In		No		1	49	10	30	9	1	0										217	*
100		39	16		-	6	In		No			40	9	38	8	4	1										367	*
99		38	16		-	7	In		No		0	31	5	39	11	10	3										566	*
98		38	17		-	6	In		No			24	4	45	11	11	5	0									834	*
97		37	17		-	7	99.9	%	No			17	2	42	11	21	6	2	0	0							1,413	*
96		37	18		-	6	99.1		No			13	1	35	9	28	9	4	1								2,061	*
95		37	19		-	5	98.1		No			6	0	31	6	35	11	8	2	0							3,115	*
94		36	19		-	6	94.8		No			5	0	24	4	37	12	13	4	1	0						4,329	*
93		35	19		-	7	87.7		No			2	0	17	2	37	12	18	9	3	0	0					6,244	*
92		35	20		-	6	78.1		No			1		11	1	34	10	21	16	5	1	0					8,926	*
91		34	20		-	7	64.1		No			0		6	0	28	7	22	23	10	2	0	0				12,041	*
90		34	21		-	6	48.8		No			0		4	0	21	5	19	28	17	5	1	0				16,275	*
89		33	21		-	7	33.6		No			0		2	0	14	3	14	29	25	10	2	0	0			21,634	*
88		33	22		-	6	20.9		No			0		1	0	9	1	10	26	29	18	5	1	0	0		27,272	*
87		32	22		-	7	11.2		No			0		0		5	0	5	20	31	25	10	2	0	0		34,607	*
86		32	23		-	6	5.4		No					0		3	0	3	13	29	30	17	5	1	0		42,850	*
85		31	23		-	7	2.4		No					0		1	0	1	8	22	32	24	9	2	0		52,433	*
84		31	24		-	6	1.0		No					0		1	0	0	4	15	30	30	16	4	0		62,817	*
83		30	24		-	7	0.3		No					0		0	0	0	2	9	24	33	23	8	1		73,077	*
82		30	25		-	6	0.1		No					0		0		0	1	5	17	32	30	13	2		84,610	*
81		29	25		-	7	0.0		No							0		0	0	2	11	28	35	20	4		95,923	*
80		29	26		-	6	0.0		No							0			0	1	7	22	36	27	7		106,174	*
79		28	26		-	7	0.0		No							0			0	0	3	16	34	34	12		116,140	*
78		28	27		-	6	0.0		No							0			0	0	2	10	30	40	19		123,830	*
77		27	27		-	7	Out		No										0	0	1	6	24	43	26		129,695	*
76		27	28		-	6	Out		No											0	0	3	18	43	35		134,763	*
75		26	28		-	7	Out		No											0	0	2	13	41	44		136,100	*
74		26	29		-	6	Out		No												0	1	8	37	54		135,350	*
73		25	29		-	7	Out		No												0	0	5	32	62		132,071	*
72		25	30		-	6	Out		No												0	0	3	26	70		126,120	*
71		24	30		-	7	Out		No												0	0	2	21	77		117,783	*
70		24	31		-	6	Out		No													0	1	16	83		110,037	*
69		23	31		-	7	Out		No													0	1	12	87		99,481	*
68		23	32		-	6	Out		No													0	0	9	91		87,853	*
67		22	32		-	7	Out		No													0	0	6	94		77,187	*
66		22	33		-	6	Out		No														0	4	96		66,163	*
65		21	33		-	7	Out		No														0	3	97		55,479	*
64		21	34		-	6	Out		No														0	2	98		45,822	*
63		21	35		-	5	Out		No														0	1	99		36,724	*
62		20	35		-	6	Out		No														0	1	99		29,357	*
61		20	36		-	5	Out		No															1	99		23,087	*
60		19	36		-	6	Out		No															0	100		17,315	*
59		19	37		-	5	Out		No															0	100		12,889	*
58		18	37		-	6	Out		No															0	100		9,395	*
57		18	38		-	5	Out		No															0	100		6,920	*
56		17	38		-	6	Out		No															0	100		4,810	*
55		17	39		-	5	Out		No															0	100		3,369	*
53	-54						Out		No																100		3,686	*
52		15	40		-	6	Out		No															0	100		974	*
51		15	41		-	5	Out		No															0	100		614	*
16	-50						Out		No																100		1,090	*

Total:							2.5	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	3	5	8	12	21	47		2,502,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks	-0.8-0.8-0.8+0.3+0.3+1.0
Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1*-0.0
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins	+0.0+0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers	+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0
Detroit Red Wings vs Washington Capitals	-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1*+0.1-0.0
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues	+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

138		61	0		-	0	100
110		45	12		-	4		50	50
109		43	11		-	7			100
108		44	13		-	4	17	50	17		17
107		42	12		-	7		50			50
106		43	14		-	4		32	18	23	9	5	9		5
105		42	14		-	5		5	27	55	5	5	5
104		41	14		-	6		5	16	46	11	3	11		8
103		41	15		-	5		6	16	43	9	11	10	1	2				1
102		40	15		-	6		2	7	50	2	11	16	6	3	1	2
101		40	16		-	5		1	6	43	2	7	24	6	8	0	1		0
100		39	16		-	6			4	36	0	8	27	11	7	1	4		1
99		38	16		-	7		0	1	30	0	5	23	16	8	3	10		3
98		38	17		-	6			1	23	0	4	22	23	7	4	11	0	5	0	0
97		37	17		-	7			0	16		2	16	25	4	7	20	1	6	0	2		0	0
96		37	18		-	6			0	13		1	9	26	3	6	26	2	8	1	4		1
95		37	19		-	5			0	6		0	6	25	2	4	30	5	9	2	8	0	2	0
94		36	19		-	6				5		0	3	21	0	3	29	8	9	3	13	0	4	1	0
93		35	19		-	7				2		0	1	16	0	2	24	13	8	4	17	1	9	3	0	0
92		35	20		-	6				1			0	11	0	1	18	15	5	5	19	2	16	5	1	0
91		34	20		-	7				0			0	6	0	0	12	16	3	4	19	3	23	11	2	0	0
90		34	21		-	6				0			0	4		0	7	14	1	3	14	5	26	18	6	1	0	0
89		33	21		-	7				0			0	2		0	3	11	0	2	8	6	26	26	12	3	0	0
88		33	22		-	6				0				1		0	1	8	0	1	4	6	21	29	20	8	2	0	0
87		32	22		-	7				0				0			0	5	0	0	1	4	13	27	27	15	5	1	0	0
86		32	23		-	6								0			0	3	0	0	0	2	7	20	28	23	12	4	1	0	0	0
85		31	23		-	7								0			0	1	0	0	0	1	2	11	23	27	20	10	3	1	0	0
84		31	24		-	6								0			0	1		0	0	0	1	4	14	23	26	19	9	3	1	0	0
83		30	24		-	7								0				0		0	0	0	0	1	6	15	24	25	17	8	3	1	0	0
82		30	25		-	6								0				0				0	0	0	2	7	16	24	24	16	7	2	0	0	0
81		29	25		-	7												0				0	0	0	1	3	9	18	25	23	15	6	2	0	0
80		29	26		-	6												0						0	0	1	3	10	20	25	22	13	5	1	0	0
79		28	26		-	7												0							0	0	1	4	12	21	26	21	11	3	1	0	0
78		28	27		-	6												0							0	0	0	1	6	14	24	26	18	8	2	0	0
77		27	27		-	7																				0	0	0	2	7	17	26	25	15	5	1	0
76		27	28		-	6																					0	0	1	3	10	21	28	23	11	3	0
75		26	28		-	7																					0	0	0	1	5	14	26	29	18	6	1
74		26	29		-	6																						0	0	0	2	8	20	30	26	12	2
73		25	29		-	7																							0	0	1	4	13	27	32	19	5
72		25	30		-	6																								0	0	2	8	21	34	27	9
71		24	30		-	7																								0	0	1	4	15	32	35	15
70		24	31		-	6																								0	0	0	2	9	27	40	22
69		23	31		-	7																									0	0	1	5	21	42	31
68		23	32		-	6																										0	0	3	15	41	41
67		22	32		-	7																										0	0	1	10	37	51
66		22	33		-	6																										0	0	1	6	32	61
65		21	33		-	7																											0	0	4	27	69
64		21	34		-	6																											0	0	2	21	77
63		21	35		-	5																												0	1	16	83
62		20	35		-	6																												0	1	12	87
61		20	36		-	5																													0	9	91
60		19	36		-	6																													0	6	94
59		19	37		-	5																													0	4	96
58		18	37		-	6																													0	3	97
57		18	38		-	5																													0	2	98
56		17	38		-	6																														1	99
55		17	39		-	5																														1	99
54		16	39		-	6																														1	99
53		16	40		-	5																														1	99
52		15	40		-	6																														0	100
51		15	41		-	5																														0	100
50		14	41		-	6																															100
49		14	42		-	5																														0	100
48		13	42		-	6																															100
47		13	43		-	5																														2	98
16	-46																																				100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	7	8	10	11	14	17