Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances 2018-2019

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.05 to 99.8%

33 points 16 4-1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets	-2.7-0.4-0.4+2.7+2.7+2.8		-1.7*-0.2-0.5+1.6+1.4+1.7		-0.4-0.0-0.1+0.3+0.4+0.4
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils	+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning			-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1*+0.2+0.3
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars			+0.2+0.0+0.2+0.0-0.1-0.2
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins			+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus Blue Jackets finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

129	-155						In		99.9	%	100																6,068	*
128		46	12		-	3	In		99.8		100	0															3,468	*
127		45	12		-	4	In		99.8		100	0															5,019	*
126		45	13		-	3	In		99.5		100	0	0														7,470	*
125		44	13		-	4	In		99.2		100	0															10,549	*
124		44	14		-	3	In		98.7		99	1	0														14,615	*
123		43	14		-	4	In		98.2		99	1	0														19,716	*
122		43	15		-	3	In		97.4		99	1	0														25,811	*
121		42	15		-	4	In		96.1		98	2	0														33,345	*
120		41	15		-	5	In		93.9		97	3	0														42,072	*
119		41	16		-	4	In		91.5		95	4	0														52,076	*
118		40	16		-	5	In		88.2		94	6	0		0												63,031	*
117		40	17		-	4	In		83.5		91	8	1	0	0												74,302	*
116		39	17		-	5	In		78.0		88	11	1	0	0												85,900	*
115		39	18		-	4	In		70.9		84	14	2	0	0												97,942	*
114		38	18		-	5	In		62.6		79	18	3	0	0												108,851	*
113		38	19		-	4	In		53.5		74	22	4	0	0												118,226	*
112		37	19		-	5	In		44.1		67	27	5	0	0												126,507	*
111		37	20		-	4	In		34.2		60	32	8	0	0												132,875	*
110		36	20		-	5	In		25.1		52	37	10	0	0		0										137,035	*
109		36	21		-	4	In		17.1		44	42	13	1	1	0	0										138,233	*
108		35	21		-	5	In		10.6		36	45	17	1	1		0										136,963	*
107		35	22		-	4	In		6.0		28	48	20	2	2		0										132,992	*
106		34	22		-	5	In		3.1		21	49	24	4	3	0	0										127,061	*
105		34	23		-	4	In		1.4		15	48	26	6	4	0	0										118,679	*
104		33	23		-	5	In		0.5		10	45	28	9	6	0	0										109,100	*
103		33	24		-	4	In		0.2		6	42	28	13	9	0	0										97,904	*
102		32	24		-	5	In		0.0		4	37	27	18	13	0	1	0									86,603	*
101		32	25		-	4	In		0.0		2	30	25	23	18	0	2	0									75,711	*
100		31	25		-	5	In		No		1	25	21	27	22	1	3	0									64,739	*
99		31	26		-	4	In		No		0	19	16	31	27	2	4	0									54,497	*
98		30	26		-	5	In		No		0	14	12	31	32	4	7	0									44,399	*
97		30	27		-	4	100.0	%	No		0	10	8	31	34	6	11	0	0								36,139	*
96		29	27		-	5	100.0		No		0	6	5	29	34	11	15	1	0	0							28,993	*
95		29	28		-	4	100.0		No		0	4	3	24	32	14	21	2	0								22,620	*
94		28	28		-	5	99.8		No			3	1	19	28	19	26	3	0								17,373	*
93		28	29		-	4	99.4		No			1	1	15	22	22	32	7	1	0							12,815	*
92		27	29		-	5	98.6		No			1	0	11	16	25	35	10	1	0							9,812	*
91		27	30		-	4	96.5		No			0	0	7	10	26	36	17	3	0							7,034	*
90		26	30		-	5	92.7		No			0		4	7	21	35	25	6	1	0						5,003	*
89		26	31		-	4	85.8		No			0		2	3	21	29	30	11	3	0						3,554	*
88		25	31		-	5	73.9		No			0		1	2	16	24	31	19	7	1						2,415	*
87		25	32		-	4	62.3		No					1	1	12	16	33	26	10	2	0					1,691	*
86		24	32		-	5	47.4		No					0	0	8	9	29	30	18	4	0	0				1,093	*
85		24	33		-	4	29.3		No					0	0	4	6	18	34	25	9	2	0	0			694	*
84		23	33		-	5	21.4		No							3	2	17	29	28	15	6	1	0			462	*
83		23	34		-	4	10.3		No							2	0	8	24	33	20	10	2	0			301	*
82		22	34		-	5	4.7		No							1	1	3	11	29	37	13	4	1			171	*
81		22	35		-	4	3.0		No									3	4	21	33	26	12	1			100	*
80		21	35		-	5	Out		No										9	16	24	31	16	3	1		70	*
79		21	36		-	4	Out		No										5	14	14	42	21	5			43	*
78		21	37		-	3	Out		No												35	35	4	17	9		23	*
77		20	37		-	4	Out		No													36	45	18			11	*
76		20	38		-	3	Out		No														44	44	11		9	*
75		18	37		-	6	Out		No														25		50	25	4	*
74		18	38		-	5	Out		No															67	33		3	*
73		17	38		-	6	Out		No															50		50	2
72		19	41		-	1	Out		No																75	25	4	*
71		17	40		-	4	Out		No														50	50			2	*
33		0	61		-	0	Out		No																	100	200

Total:							99.8	%	31.3	%	45	28	12	6	5	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2,502,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets	+0.7+0.1+0.1-0.7-0.8-0.7
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils	-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins	+0.0*+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks	-0.0+0.0*-0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

133	-155						100
132		48	10		-	3	100	0
131		47	10		-	4	100
130		47	11		-	3	100	0
129		46	11		-	4	100	0
128		46	12		-	3	100	0	0
127		45	12		-	4	100	0	0
126		45	13		-	3	99	0	0		0
125		44	13		-	4	99	0	0
124		44	14		-	3	99	0	1		0
123		43	14		-	4	98	1	1		0
122		43	15		-	3	97	1	1		0
121		42	15		-	4	96	2	2		0
120		41	15		-	5	94	3	3		0
119		41	16		-	4	91	4	4		0
118		40	16		-	5	88	6	6		0				0
117		40	17		-	4	84	8	8	0	1	0	0		0
116		39	17		-	5	78	10	11	0	1	0	0		0
115		39	18		-	4	71	13	14	0	2	0	0		0
114		38	18		-	5	63	17	18	0	3	0	0		0
113		38	19		-	4	53	20	22	0	4	0	0		0
112		37	19		-	5	44	23	27	0	5	0	0		0
111		37	20		-	4	34	26	31	1	7	0	0		0	0
110		36	20		-	5	25	27	36	1	9	1	0		0				0
109		36	21		-	4	17	27	39	2	12	1	1		0	0	0		0
108		35	21		-	5	11	25	41	4	14	3	1		1	0			0
107		35	22		-	4	6	22	42	6	16	5	2	0	2	0			0
106		34	22		-	5	3	18	39	9	16	7	4	0	3	0	0		0	0
105		34	23		-	4	1	14	36	12	16	11	6	0	4	0	0		0
104		33	23		-	5	1	10	30	16	14	15	9	0	6	1	0		0
103		33	24		-	4	0	6	24	18	11	18	13	0	8	2	0		0	0
102		32	24		-	5	0	4	17	20	7	20	17	1	10	3	0		1	0	0
101		32	25		-	4	0	2	11	19	4	21	20	3	12	6	0		2	0	0
100		31	25		-	5		1	7	18	2	19	22	5	13	10	1	0	3	0	0
99		31	26		-	4		0	4	15	1	15	22	9	12	16	2	0	4	1	0
98		30	26		-	5		0	2	12	0	11	19	12	10	22	4	0	6	1	0	0
97		30	27		-	4		0	1	9	0	8	16	15	7	27	6	0	8	3	0	0	0
96		29	27		-	5		0	0	6	0	5	11	18	4	30	9	2	9	6	1	0	0	0
95		29	28		-	4		0	0	4		3	6	18	2	30	11	3	10	11	2	0	0
94		28	28		-	5			0	3		1	4	16	1	27	12	7	9	17	3	1	0
93		28	29		-	4			0	1		1	1	13	0	21	11	11	7	24	5	2	1	0
92		27	29		-	5				1		0	1	10	0	16	10	16	5	30	6	4	1	0	0
91		27	30		-	4			0	0		0	0	7	0	10	7	19	3	33	7	10	3	1	0	0
90		26	30		-	5				0				4		7	3	18	1	34	7	18	5	2	1	0	0
89		26	31		-	4				0			0	2		3	2	19	0	29	5	25	6	5	2	1	0	0
88		25	31		-	5				0				1		2	1	15		24	2	29	7	9	6	3	1	0
87		25	32		-	4								1		1	0	11		16	1	32	6	10	11	7	2	1	0
86		24	32		-	5								0		0	0	8		9	0	29	3	9	16	15	7	3	1		0
85		24	33		-	4								0		0		4		6		18	1	6	16	22	15	7	2	0	0
84		23	33		-	5												3		2		17	0	3	9	15	26	17	6	2	1
83		23	34		-	4												2		0		8		1	3	17	23	22	15	7	2
82		22	34		-	5												1		1		3			2	4	18	25	25	18	4	1
81		22	35		-	4																3				3	12	16	19	29	12	5	1
80		21	35		-	5																					3	14	20	20	23	14	6
79		21	36		-	4																				2	2		12	28	21	19	12	5
78		21	37		-	3																							17	22	17	13	13	9	9
77		20	37		-	4																									9	55	36
76		20	38		-	3																											56	44
75		18	37		-	6																											25	75
73	-74																																		100
72		19	41		-	1																													75		25
71		17	40		-	4																											50		50
33		0	61		-	0																															100

Total:							31	14	22	6	7	5	5	2	3	3	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0