New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2018-2019

Beat New York Rangers 3-1, playoff odds up 4.3 to 93.7%

26 points 13 7-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils	+4.3+3.8+4.2-1.7-1.6-5.8		+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.2*-0.1-0.4		+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.2-0.2-0.6
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes	+0.2-0.2-0.3-0.0-0.6-0.1
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres	+0.4-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.2
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins	-0.2-0.4-0.3-0.0-0.1+0.4				-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers					+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning			-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets					+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New York Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

127	-150						In		Yes		100																271	*
126		48	10		-	4	In		98.1	%	98	2															52	*
125		47	10		-	5	In		Yes		100																120	*
124		47	11		-	4	In		98.9		99		1														177	*
123		46	11		-	5	In		97.3		97	1	2														293	*
122		46	12		-	4	In		95.7		96	2	3														493	*
121		45	12		-	5	In		94.7		97	2	2														804	*
120		45	13		-	4	In		92.3		94	3	4														1,333	*
119		44	13		-	5	In		87.3		91	4	5														1,970	*
118		44	14		-	4	In		83.2		87	6	7		0												2,900	*
117		43	14		-	5	In		78.7		85	6	9		0												4,427	*
116		43	15		-	4	In		70.5		79	8	12	0	0												6,360	*
115		42	15		-	5	In		64.2		74	10	15	0	0												9,184	*
114		42	16		-	4	In		53.9		66	13	20	0	0												12,519	*
113		41	16		-	5	In		44.7		59	16	24	0	0												16,739	*
112		41	17		-	4	In		34.9		51	18	30	0	1		0										21,966	*
111		40	17		-	5	In		25.7		43	21	35	1	1		0										28,896	*
110		40	18		-	4	In		17.9		35	23	40	1	2		0										36,395	*
109		39	18		-	5	In		11.6		28	24	44	2	3		0										45,010	*
108		39	19		-	4	In		6.5		21	24	48	3	4		0										54,821	*
107		38	19		-	5	In		3.3		15	23	51	5	6	0	0										64,876	*
106		38	20		-	4	In		1.6		10	22	52	8	9	0	0										76,447	*
105		37	20		-	5	In		0.7		6	19	51	11	12	0	0										87,020	*
104		37	21		-	4	In		0.2		4	16	48	15	16	0	1										98,459	*
103		36	21		-	5	In		0.1		2	13	43	19	21	0	1	0									108,491	*
102		36	22		-	4	In		0.0		1	10	37	23	26	0	2	0									118,096	*
101		35	22		-	5	In		No		1	7	30	26	32	1	3	0									125,832	*
100		35	23		-	4	In		0.0		0	5	23	28	37	2	5	0									131,503	*
99		34	23		-	5	In		No		0	3	17	29	41	3	7	0									134,965	*
98		34	24		-	4	In		No		0	2	11	27	44	5	10	0									135,512	*
97		33	24		-	5	100.0	%	No		0	1	7	25	43	8	15	0	0								133,792	*
96		32	24		-	6	100.0		No		0	1	4	22	41	11	20	1	0								129,735	*
95		32	25		-	5	99.9		No		0	0	2	18	37	16	25	2	0	0							123,160	*
94		31	25		-	6	99.8		No		0	0	1	14	31	19	30	4	0	0							115,621	*
93		31	26		-	5	99.5		No			0	0	10	24	23	35	7	1	0							105,968	*
92		30	26		-	6	98.7		No			0	0	7	18	25	38	11	1	0							96,619	*
91		30	27		-	5	96.8		No			0	0	5	12	25	39	17	3	0	0						85,605	*
90		29	27		-	6	93.2		No			0	0	3	7	23	37	23	6	1	0	0					73,998	*
89		29	28		-	5	86.8		No				0	2	4	20	32	29	11	2	0	0					63,519	*
88		28	28		-	6	77.8		No			0	0	1	2	16	26	33	17	5	1	0					53,503	*
87		28	29		-	5	65.3		No					0	1	12	19	33	24	9	2	0	0				44,779	*
86		27	29		-	6	51.1		No					0	0	8	12	30	30	15	4	0	0	0			36,025	*
85		27	30		-	5	36.2		No					0	0	5	7	24	33	22	8	1	0	0			28,644	*
84		26	30		-	6	23.0		No					0	0	3	3	16	31	28	14	4	0	0			22,183	*
83		26	31		-	5	13.2		No					0	0	2	2	10	25	32	21	8	1	0			17,180	*
82		25	31		-	6	6.7		No						0	1	1	5	18	30	27	14	3	1	0		13,191	*
81		25	32		-	5	3.1		No							1	0	2	11	26	30	21	7	1	0		9,888	*
80		25	33		-	4	1.2		No							0	0	1	6	19	30	26	13	4	0	0	7,075	*
79		24	33		-	5	0.3		No							0		0	3	12	25	31	20	7	1	0	5,008	*
78		24	34		-	4	0.1		No							0		0	1	6	19	31	27	13	3	0	3,596	*
77		23	34		-	5	Out		No										0	3	12	28	30	19	6	1	2,465	*
76		23	35		-	4	Out		No										0	2	6	19	33	28	11	1	1,664	*
75		22	35		-	5	Out		No											0	4	15	29	30	18	3	1,088	*
74		22	36		-	4	Out		No											0	1	8	25	34	24	8	752	*
73		21	36		-	5	Out		No											0	1	4	15	34	35	11	504	*
72		21	37		-	4	Out		No													2	9	34	36	19	263	*
71		20	37		-	5	Out		No													2	7	25	46	20	177	*
70		20	38		-	4	Out		No														3	24	32	41	105	*
69		19	38		-	5	Out		No														1	10	43	46	84	*
68		18	38		-	6	Out		No															3	47	50	36	*
67		18	39		-	5	Out		No															4	33	63	24	*
66		17	39		-	6	Out		No															20	20	60	10	*
65		17	40		-	5	Out		No																40	60	5	*
26	-64						Out		No																	100	203	*

Total:							93.7	%	2.8	%	5	7	19	14	22	8	13	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2,502,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils	-0.9-0.7-0.8+0.4+0.3+1.2
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Columbus Blue Jackets	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins	+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers	-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning	-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0
Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues	+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Winnipeg Jets vs Minnesota Wild	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.0
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights	-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

127	-150						100
126		48	10		-	4	98		2
125		47	10		-	5	100
124		47	11		-	4	99	1			1
123		46	11		-	5	97		1		2
122		46	12		-	4	96		2		3
121		45	12		-	5	95	2	2		2
120		45	13		-	4	92	1	3		4
119		44	13		-	5	87	4	4		5
118		44	14		-	4	83	4	6		7				0
117		43	14		-	5	79	6	6		9				0
116		43	15		-	4	71	8	8		12	0	0		0
115		42	15		-	5	64	10	10	0	15	0	0		0
114		42	16		-	4	54	12	13	0	20	0	0		0
113		41	16		-	5	45	14	16	0	24	0	0		0
112		41	17		-	4	35	16	18	0	29	1	0		1	0			0
111		40	17		-	5	26	17	20	0	34	1	1		1	0			0
110		40	18		-	4	18	17	22	1	37	2	1		2	0			0
109		39	18		-	5	12	16	23	1	40	4	2		3	0			0
108		39	19		-	4	7	14	22	2	41	7	3	0	4	0			0
107		38	19		-	5	3	11	20	3	40	11	5	0	6	0	0		0
106		38	20		-	4	2	8	18	4	36	15	8	0	9	0	0		0
105		37	20		-	5	1	6	14	4	31	20	11	0	11	1	0		0
104		37	21		-	4	0	4	11	5	24	24	15	0	15	2	0		1	0
103		36	21		-	5	0	2	7	6	17	26	19	1	18	3	0		1	0	0
102		36	22		-	4	0	1	5	5	10	27	22	1	20	6	0	0	2	0	0
101		35	22		-	5		1	3	5	6	25	23	3	22	10	1	0	3	0	0
100		35	23		-	4	0	0	2	4	3	21	23	5	21	16	2	0	4	0	0
99		34	23		-	5		0	1	3	1	16	21	8	18	22	3	0	6	1	0
98		34	24		-	4		0	0	2	0	11	17	10	14	29	5	0	8	2	0	0
97		33	24		-	5		0	0	1	0	7	13	12	10	34	7	1	10	4	0	0	0
96		32	24		-	6		0	0	1	0	4	9	13	6	36	10	1	12	7	1	0	0
95		32	25		-	5		0	0	0		2	5	13	3	35	12	3	12	12	2	0	0	0
94		31	25		-	6		0	0	0		1	3	11	1	30	13	7	12	19	3	1	0	0
93		31	26		-	5			0	0		0	1	9	0	24	13	11	9	25	5	2	1	0	0
92		30	26		-	6				0		0	0	7	0	17	10	15	6	32	7	4	1	0	0
91		30	27		-	5				0		0	0	5	0	12	7	18	4	36	8	9	3	1	0	0
90		29	27		-	6				0		0	0	3		7	4	19	2	36	7	16	4	2	0	0	0
89		29	28		-	5						0	0	2		4	2	18	1	32	6	24	6	4	2	0	0	0
88		28	28		-	6				0		0	0	1		2	1	15	0	26	3	30	7	8	5	2	0	0	0
87		28	29		-	5							0	0		1	0	12	0	19	1	31	6	11	10	6	2	0	0	0
86		27	29		-	6								0		0	0	8	0	12	0	29	4	11	14	12	6	2	0	0	0
85		27	30		-	5								0		0	0	5		7	0	24	2	8	16	18	13	6	1	0	0
84		26	30		-	6								0		0	0	3		3	0	16	1	4	12	20	20	12	5	2	0	0
83		26	31		-	5								0		0		2		2		10	0	2	7	16	23	21	12	5	1	0	0
82		25	31		-	6										0		1		1		5	0	0	3	10	19	25	20	11	4	1	0	0
81		25	32		-	5												1		0		2		0	1	4	12	21	25	19	10	3	1	0
80		25	33		-	4												0		0		1			0	2	6	14	22	25	18	8	3	1	0	0
79		24	33		-	5												0				0			0	0	2	7	16	24	23	17	8	2	0	0
78		24	34		-	4												0				0				0	1	3	9	18	26	23	15	5	1	0
77		23	34		-	5																					0	1	4	10	21	27	22	10	4	1	0
76		23	35		-	4																						0	1	4	12	24	28	20	9	1	0
75		22	35		-	5																							0	2	8	19	25	26	15	5	0
74		22	36		-	4																								0	2	10	22	29	24	10	2
73		21	36		-	5																							0		1	4	15	30	30	17	3
72		21	37		-	4																									0	2	10	24	32	24	8
71		20	37		-	5																										1	6	15	37	30	11
70		20	38		-	4																											1	10	30	29	30
69		19	38		-	5																												7	15	39	38
68		18	38		-	6																												6	11	42	42
67		18	39		-	5																													8	38	54
66		17	39		-	6																												10	10	30	50
65		17	40		-	5																														40	60
26	-64																																				100

Total:							3	3	5	2	9	10	9	5	8	14	4	4	5	9	1	4	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0