Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 2018-2019

Lost to Vancouver Canucks 5-7, playoff odds down 4.4 to 85.6%

26 points 13 10-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks	-5.3-1.1-1.2+4.6+4.4+4.8		-0.4-0.2*-0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4		-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.5+0.4+0.5
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	+0.2+0.1-0.3-0.6-0.7-0.3				+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars	+0.2+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2		+0.1-0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights					+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning			-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Anaheim Ducks finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

123	-144						In		99.2	%	100																385	*
122		46	9		-	4	In		95.2		98	2															168	*
121		46	10		-	3	In		93.9		98	2															297	*
120		45	10		-	4	In		90.5		98	2															503	*
119		45	11		-	3	In		87.3		97	3															889	*
118		44	11		-	4	In		84.5		97	3															1,332	*
117		44	12		-	3	In		76.5		93	6	0														2,173	*
116		43	12		-	4	In		69.2		91	9	0														3,383	*
115		43	13		-	3	In		62.9		88	11	0														4,862	*
114		42	13		-	4	In		53.0		83	16	1	0													7,131	*
113		41	13		-	5	In		43.5		77	22	1	0													10,003	*
112		41	14		-	4	In		34.2		72	27	2	0	0												14,106	*
111		40	14		-	5	In		24.2		64	34	3	0	0												19,262	*
110		40	15		-	4	In		17.3		56	40	4	0	0												25,423	*
109		39	15		-	5	In		10.9		47	48	5	0	0												32,598	*
108		39	16		-	4	In		6.3		38	55	7	1	0												41,372	*
107		38	16		-	5	In		3.3		30	60	9	2	0		0										51,643	*
106		38	17		-	4	In		1.5		22	64	10	3	0	0	0										62,620	*
105		37	17		-	5	In		0.6		15	67	12	6	1	0	0										74,038	*
104		37	18		-	4	In		0.2		10	67	13	9	1	0	0										86,704	*
103		36	18		-	5	In		0.1		6	65	13	14	2	0	0										98,076	*
102		36	19		-	4	In		0.0		3	61	12	20	3	1	0										108,962	*
101		35	19		-	5	In		0.0		2	55	11	27	4	1	0	0									119,017	*
100		35	20		-	4	100.0	%	No		1	48	8	35	5	3	0	0	0								127,368	*
99		34	20		-	5	100.0		No		0	41	6	41	6	5	1	0	0								133,770	*
98		34	21		-	4	100.0		No		0	33	4	45	7	9	1	0	0								138,033	*
97		33	21		-	5	99.9		No		0	26	2	47	7	15	2	1	0	0							139,466	*
96		33	22		-	4	99.7		No		0	19	1	47	6	21	4	1	0	0							138,029	*
95		32	22		-	5	99.1		No		0	14	0	43	5	29	5	3	1	0	0						134,739	*
94		32	23		-	4	97.8		No			9	0	38	3	35	6	6	2	0	0						128,196	*
93		31	23		-	5	94.7		No			6	0	31	2	39	7	9	4	1	0						119,943	*
92		31	24		-	4	89.1		No			3	0	24	1	41	7	13	9	2	0	0	0				109,255	*
91		30	24		-	5	80.0		No			2	0	17	0	39	6	15	14	5	1	0	0				98,980	*
90		30	25		-	4	68.3		No			1	0	12	0	35	4	16	20	9	2	0	0				87,473	*
89		29	25		-	5	53.9		No			0		7	0	29	3	15	25	16	5	1	0				75,863	*
88		29	26		-	4	39.3		No			0		4	0	22	1	11	27	23	9	2	0	0			64,493	*
87		28	26		-	5	26.4		No			0		2		16	1	8	25	29	16	4	1	0			53,915	*
86		28	27		-	4	16.1		No			0		1		10	0	5	20	32	22	8	1	0	0		44,071	*
85		27	27		-	5	9.1		No			0		0		6	0	2	14	29	29	14	4	0	0		35,392	*
84		27	28		-	4	4.6		No			0		0		3	0	1	9	24	32	22	7	1	0		27,832	*
83		26	28		-	5	2.0		No					0		2	0	0	5	17	32	29	13	2	0		21,682	*
82		26	29		-	4	0.8		No					0		1		0	2	12	28	33	20	5	0		16,818	*
81		25	29		-	5	0.3		No							0		0	1	6	21	34	27	9	1		12,262	*
80		25	30		-	4	0.1		No							0			0	4	15	31	33	15	2		9,126	*
79		24	30		-	5	0.1		No							0			0	1	9	26	37	22	4		6,486	*
78		24	31		-	4	Out		No										0	1	5	19	37	30	8		4,657	*
77		23	31		-	5	Out		No										0	0	3	14	35	36	12		3,152	*
76		23	32		-	4	Out		No											0	1	9	29	42	19		2,226	*
75		22	32		-	5	Out		No											0	0	5	24	46	25		1,441	*
74		22	33		-	4	Out		No												0	2	17	45	36		947	*
73		21	33		-	5	Out		No												0	1	12	44	43		635	*
72		21	34		-	4	Out		No													1	9	40	49		368	*
71		20	34		-	5	Out		No												0	0	6	37	57		260	*
70		19	34		-	6	Out		No														3	23	74		158	*
69		19	35		-	5	Out		No														2	20	78		82	*
68		19	36		-	4	Out		No															20	80		54	*
67		18	36		-	5	Out		No														3	11	86		37	*
26	-66						Out		No																100		244	*

Total:							85.6	%	1.7	%	6	28	4	23	3	15	2	4	5	4	3	2	1	0	0		2,502,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks	+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.9-0.9-0.9
Colorado Avalanche vs Arizona Coyotes	-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Nashville Predators vs St. Louis Blues	-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning	+0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

124	-144						100
123		47	9		-	3	97	3
122		46	9		-	4	95	2	2
121		46	10		-	3	94	4	2
120		45	10		-	4	90	7	2
119		45	11		-	3	87	10	3
118		44	11		-	4	84	13	3
117		44	12		-	3	76	17	6	0	0
116		43	12		-	4	69	22	9	0	0
115		43	13		-	3	63	25	11	0	0
114		42	13		-	4	53	30	16	0	1		0
113		41	13		-	5	43	33	21	1	1		0
112		41	14		-	4	34	37	24	2	2	0	0		0
111		40	14		-	5	24	39	30	4	3	0	0		0
110		40	15		-	4	17	39	34	6	3	0	0		0
109		39	15		-	5	11	36	37	10	4	0	0		0
108		39	16		-	4	6	31	38	16	6	1	1		0
107		38	16		-	5	3	26	37	23	7	2	2	0	0				0
106		38	17		-	4	1	20	34	30	8	3	3	0	0	0	0		0
105		37	17		-	5	1	15	29	38	8	4	5	0	1	0	0		0
104		37	18		-	4	0	10	23	44	7	6	9	0	1	0	0		0
103		36	18		-	5	0	6	17	48	6	7	13	1	2	0	0		0
102		36	19		-	4	0	3	12	50	4	8	18	3	2	0	1		0
101		35	19		-	5	0	2	7	48	2	8	22	6	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
100		35	20		-	4		1	4	44	1	7	24	10	4	1	3	0	0	0	0		0
99		34	20		-	5		0	2	39	0	5	24	17	4	2	5	0	1	0	0		0
98		34	21		-	4		0	1	32	0	4	22	23	4	3	9	0	1	0	0		0
97		33	21		-	5		0	0	25	0	2	18	30	3	4	14	1	2	0	1		0	0
96		33	22		-	4		0	0	19	0	1	13	34	2	4	20	2	3	0	1	0	0	0
95		32	22		-	5		0	0	14	0	0	8	35	1	4	25	4	4	1	3	0	1	0	0
94		32	23		-	4			0	9		0	5	33	0	3	27	8	5	2	6	0	2	0	0
93		31	23		-	5			0	6		0	2	29	0	2	27	13	4	3	9	0	4	1	0
92		31	24		-	4				3		0	1	23	0	1	23	18	3	3	12	1	9	2	0	0	0
91		30	24		-	5				2		0	0	17	0	0	17	22	2	4	13	2	14	5	1	0	0
90		30	25		-	4				1		0	0	11	0	0	11	24	1	3	12	4	20	10	2	0	0	0
89		29	25		-	5				0			0	7		0	6	23	0	2	9	6	23	17	6	1	0	0
88		29	26		-	4				0			0	4		0	3	19	0	1	5	7	22	24	12	3	1	0	0
87		28	26		-	5				0			0	2			1	14	0	1	2	6	17	26	20	8	2	0	0	0
86		28	27		-	4				0				1			0	9		0	1	4	10	24	26	16	6	2	0	0	0
85		27	27		-	5				0				0			0	6	0	0	0	2	5	16	25	23	14	6	2	0	0	0
84		27	28		-	4				0				0			0	3		0	0	1	2	8	19	26	22	13	5	1	0	0	0
83		26	28		-	5								0			0	2		0	0	0	0	3	11	20	25	21	12	5	1	0	0
82		26	29		-	4								0			0	1				0	0	1	4	12	21	25	20	11	4	1	0	0	0
81		25	29		-	5												0				0	0	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	10	3	1	0	0
80		25	30		-	4												0						0	0	2	6	15	23	25	17	8	3	0	0
79		24	30		-	5												0								0	2	7	16	24	25	16	7	2	0	0
78		24	31		-	4																				0	1	3	8	19	26	24	14	5	1	0	0
77		23	31		-	5																				0	0	1	4	11	21	27	21	11	3	1	0
76		23	32		-	4																						0	1	4	12	25	30	18	8	2	0
75		22	32		-	5																							0	2	8	17	26	27	14	4	0
74		22	33		-	4																								1	2	11	22	28	26	8	2
73		21	33		-	5																								0	1	4	16	27	30	17	4
72		21	34		-	4																									0	4	10	23	34	23	7
71		20	34		-	5																										2	3	20	33	30	11
70		19	34		-	6																											1	8	35	34	22
69		19	35		-	5																											2	5	20	37	37
68		19	36		-	4																													11	54	35
67		18	36		-	5																													8	41	51
66		18	37		-	4																													6	31	63
65		17	37		-	5																														29	71
26	-64																																				100

Total:							2	5	7	21	2	3	9	14	1	1	9	6	1	1	3	1	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0